2026-08-03
Every probability published for this slate, beside what actually happened. Published before first pitch, graded that night, never edited. Rows that show a void carry the reason; they stay on the record rather than being removed.
Strikeouts
105 graded| Pitcher | Team | Opp | Line | P(over) | K | Result | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola | PHI | WSH | 2.5 | 91% | 5 | over | 0.008 |
| Aaron Nola | PHI | WSH | 3.5 | 75% | 5 | over | 0.062 |
| Aaron Nola | PHI | WSH | 4.5 | 61% | 5 | over | 0.150 |
| Aaron Nola | PHI | WSH | 5.5 | 46% | 5 | under | 0.210 |
| Aaron Nola | PHI | WSH | 6.5 | 29% | 5 | under | 0.083 |
| Aaron Nola | PHI | WSH | 7.5 | 21% | 5 | under | 0.044 |
| Aaron Nola | PHI | WSH | 8.5 | 15% | 5 | under | 0.023 |
| Andrew Alvarez | WSH | PHI | 2.5 | 88% | 5 | over | 0.015 |
| Andrew Alvarez | WSH | PHI | 3.5 | 69% | 5 | over | 0.097 |
| Andrew Alvarez | WSH | PHI | 4.5 | 54% | 5 | over | 0.214 |
| Andrew Alvarez | WSH | PHI | 5.5 | 36% | 5 | under | 0.130 |
| Andrew Alvarez | WSH | PHI | 6.5 | 20% | 5 | under | 0.039 |
| Andrew Alvarez | WSH | PHI | 7.5 | 11% | 5 | under | 0.013 |
| Andrew Alvarez | WSH | PHI | 8.5 | 6% | 5 | under | 0.004 |
| Brandon Pfaadt | AZ | SD | 1.5 | 92% | 3 | over | 0.006 |
| Brandon Pfaadt | AZ | SD | 2.5 | 74% | 3 | over | 0.068 |
| Brandon Pfaadt | AZ | SD | 3.5 | 54% | 3 | under | 0.296 |
| Brandon Pfaadt | AZ | SD | 4.5 | 36% | 3 | under | 0.128 |
| Brandon Pfaadt | AZ | SD | 5.5 | 23% | 3 | under | 0.052 |
| Brandon Pfaadt | AZ | SD | 6.5 | 13% | 3 | under | 0.017 |
| Brandon Pfaadt | AZ | SD | 7.5 | 7% | 3 | under | 0.005 |
| Brandon Sproat | MIL | PIT | 3.5 | 82% | 4 | over | 0.033 |
| Brandon Sproat | MIL | PIT | 4.5 | 68% | 4 | under | 0.467 |
| Brandon Sproat | MIL | PIT | 5.5 | 48% | 4 | under | 0.234 |
| Brandon Sproat | MIL | PIT | 6.5 | 29% | 4 | under | 0.082 |
| Brandon Sproat | MIL | PIT | 7.5 | 19% | 4 | under | 0.037 |
| Brandon Sproat | MIL | PIT | 8.5 | 11% | 4 | under | 0.012 |
| Brandon Sproat | MIL | PIT | 9.5 | 7% | 4 | under | 0.005 |
| Bubba Chandler | PIT | MIL | 1.5 | 93% | 5 | over | 0.005 |
| Bubba Chandler | PIT | MIL | 2.5 | 80% | 5 | over | 0.041 |
| Bubba Chandler | PIT | MIL | 3.5 | 63% | 5 | over | 0.140 |
| Bubba Chandler | PIT | MIL | 4.5 | 43% | 5 | over | 0.325 |
| Bubba Chandler | PIT | MIL | 5.5 | 26% | 5 | under | 0.066 |
| Bubba Chandler | PIT | MIL | 6.5 | 16% | 5 | under | 0.026 |
| Bubba Chandler | PIT | MIL | 7.5 | 8% | 5 | under | 0.007 |
| Cal Quantrill | TEX | SF | 1.5 | 91% | 4 | over | 0.008 |
| Cal Quantrill | TEX | SF | 2.5 | 77% | 4 | over | 0.053 |
| Cal Quantrill | TEX | SF | 3.5 | 60% | 4 | over | 0.162 |
| Cal Quantrill | TEX | SF | 4.5 | 40% | 4 | under | 0.161 |
| Cal Quantrill | TEX | SF | 5.5 | 25% | 4 | under | 0.063 |
| Cal Quantrill | TEX | SF | 6.5 | 14% | 4 | under | 0.019 |
| Cal Quantrill | TEX | SF | 7.5 | 7% | 4 | under | 0.005 |
| Cam Schlittler | NYY | STL | 3.5 | 86% | 6 | over | 0.021 |
| Cam Schlittler | NYY | STL | 4.5 | 75% | 6 | over | 0.061 |
| Cam Schlittler | NYY | STL | 5.5 | 63% | 6 | over | 0.136 |
| Cam Schlittler | NYY | STL | 6.5 | 51% | 6 | under | 0.257 |
| Cam Schlittler | NYY | STL | 7.5 | 28% | 6 | under | 0.077 |
| Cam Schlittler | NYY | STL | 8.5 | 18% | 6 | under | 0.032 |
| Cam Schlittler | NYY | STL | 9.5 | 8% | 6 | under | 0.007 |
| Ian Seymour | TB | COL | 2.5 | 91% | 9 | over | 0.009 |
| Ian Seymour | TB | COL | 3.5 | 72% | 9 | over | 0.077 |
| Ian Seymour | TB | COL | 4.5 | 53% | 9 | over | 0.222 |
| Ian Seymour | TB | COL | 5.5 | 45% | 9 | over | 0.298 |
| Ian Seymour | TB | COL | 6.5 | 32% | 9 | over | 0.464 |
| Ian Seymour | TB | COL | 7.5 | 10% | 9 | over | 0.803 |
| Ian Seymour | TB | COL | 8.5 | 5% | 9 | over | 0.894 |
| Justin Wrobleski | LAD | CHC | 2.5 | 90% | 4 | over | 0.009 |
| Justin Wrobleski | LAD | CHC | 3.5 | 77% | 4 | over | 0.053 |
| Justin Wrobleski | LAD | CHC | 4.5 | 52% | 4 | under | 0.269 |
| Justin Wrobleski | LAD | CHC | 5.5 | 36% | 4 | under | 0.131 |
| Justin Wrobleski | LAD | CHC | 6.5 | 23% | 4 | under | 0.051 |
| Justin Wrobleski | LAD | CHC | 7.5 | 10% | 4 | under | 0.010 |
| Justin Wrobleski | LAD | CHC | 8.5 | 5% | 4 | under | 0.002 |
| Logan Webb | SF | TEX | 2.5 | 85% | 8 | over | 0.022 |
| Logan Webb | SF | TEX | 3.5 | 71% | 8 | over | 0.085 |
| Logan Webb | SF | TEX | 4.5 | 53% | 8 | over | 0.225 |
| Logan Webb | SF | TEX | 5.5 | 39% | 8 | over | 0.377 |
| Logan Webb | SF | TEX | 6.5 | 22% | 8 | over | 0.608 |
| Logan Webb | SF | TEX | 7.5 | 12% | 8 | over | 0.767 |
| Logan Webb | SF | TEX | 8.5 | 5% | 8 | under | 0.003 |
| Matthew Boyd | CHC | LAD | 2.5 | 85% | 3 | over | 0.023 |
| Matthew Boyd | CHC | LAD | 3.5 | 65% | 3 | under | 0.418 |
| Matthew Boyd | CHC | LAD | 4.5 | 50% | 3 | under | 0.253 |
| Matthew Boyd | CHC | LAD | 5.5 | 30% | 3 | under | 0.092 |
| Matthew Boyd | CHC | LAD | 6.5 | 18% | 3 | under | 0.033 |
| Matthew Boyd | CHC | LAD | 7.5 | 11% | 3 | under | 0.011 |
| Matthew Boyd | CHC | LAD | 8.5 | 6% | 3 | under | 0.004 |
| Michael King | SD | AZ | 2.5 | 84% | 5 | over | 0.025 |
| Michael King | SD | AZ | 3.5 | 70% | 5 | over | 0.092 |
| Michael King | SD | AZ | 4.5 | 54% | 5 | over | 0.208 |
| Michael King | SD | AZ | 5.5 | 36% | 5 | under | 0.129 |
| Michael King | SD | AZ | 6.5 | 21% | 5 | under | 0.046 |
| Michael King | SD | AZ | 7.5 | 15% | 5 | under | 0.022 |
| Michael King | SD | AZ | 8.5 | 10% | 5 | under | 0.010 |
| Michael Lorenzen | COL | TB | 1.5 | 94% | 0 | under | 0.882 |
| Michael Lorenzen | COL | TB | 2.5 | 77% | 0 | under | 0.587 |
| Michael Lorenzen | COL | TB | 3.5 | 50% | 0 | under | 0.245 |
| Michael Lorenzen | COL | TB | 4.5 | 34% | 0 | under | 0.116 |
| Michael Lorenzen | COL | TB | 5.5 | 24% | 0 | under | 0.059 |
| Michael Lorenzen | COL | TB | 6.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.021 |
| Michael Lorenzen | COL | TB | 7.5 | 8% | 0 | under | 0.006 |
| Michael McGreevy | STL | NYY | 1.5 | 92% | 5 | over | 0.007 |
| Michael McGreevy | STL | NYY | 2.5 | 79% | 5 | over | 0.045 |
| Michael McGreevy | STL | NYY | 3.5 | 63% | 5 | over | 0.134 |
| Michael McGreevy | STL | NYY | 4.5 | 44% | 5 | over | 0.309 |
| Michael McGreevy | STL | NYY | 5.5 | 24% | 5 | under | 0.059 |
| Michael McGreevy | STL | NYY | 6.5 | 14% | 5 | under | 0.020 |
| Michael McGreevy | STL | NYY | 7.5 | 7% | 5 | under | 0.006 |
| Shane Bieber | TOR | HOU | 1.5 | 90% | 6 | over | 0.010 |
| Shane Bieber | TOR | HOU | 2.5 | 76% | 6 | over | 0.058 |
| Shane Bieber | TOR | HOU | 3.5 | 61% | 6 | over | 0.150 |
| Shane Bieber | TOR | HOU | 4.5 | 44% | 6 | over | 0.317 |
| Shane Bieber | TOR | HOU | 5.5 | 24% | 6 | over | 0.584 |
| Shane Bieber | TOR | HOU | 6.5 | 14% | 6 | under | 0.020 |
| Shane Bieber | TOR | HOU | 7.5 | 7% | 6 | under | 0.005 |
Hits
393 graded, 27 voided| Batter | Team | Opposing starter | Line | P(over) | Actual | Result | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Del Castillo | AZ | Michael King | 0.5 | 59% | 1 | over | 0.170 |
| Adrian Del Castillo | AZ | Michael King | 1.5 | 18% | 1 | under | 0.034 |
| Adrian Del Castillo | AZ | Michael King | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Corbin Carroll | AZ | Michael King | 0.5 | 69% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Corbin Carroll | AZ | Michael King | 1.5 | 23% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Corbin Carroll | AZ | Michael King | 2.5 | 5% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | AZ | Michael King | 0.5 | 68% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | AZ | Michael King | 1.5 | 25% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | AZ | Michael King | 2.5 | 6% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | AZ | Michael King | 0.5 | 67% | 2 | over | 0.107 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | AZ | Michael King | 1.5 | 22% | 2 | over | 0.602 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | AZ | Michael King | 2.5 | 5% | 2 | under | 0.003 |
| Ketel Marte | AZ | Michael King | 0.5 | 69% | 0 | under | 0.476 |
| Ketel Marte | AZ | Michael King | 1.5 | 25% | 0 | under | 0.065 |
| Ketel Marte | AZ | Michael King | 2.5 | 7% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| Max Kepler | AZ | Michael King | 0.5 | 63% | 0 | under | 0.398 |
| Max Kepler | AZ | Michael King | 1.5 | 23% | 0 | under | 0.051 |
| Max Kepler | AZ | Michael King | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Nolan Arenado | AZ | Michael King | 0.5 | 62% | 1 | over | 0.145 |
| Nolan Arenado | AZ | Michael King | 1.5 | 24% | 1 | under | 0.056 |
| Nolan Arenado | AZ | Michael King | 2.5 | 5% | 1 | under | 0.003 |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | AZ | Michael King | 0.5 | 58% | 0 | under | 0.336 |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | AZ | Michael King | 1.5 | 20% | 0 | under | 0.040 |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | AZ | Michael King | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Tim Tawa | AZ | Michael King | 0.5 | 59% | 3 | over | 0.169 |
| Tim Tawa | AZ | Michael King | 1.5 | 21% | 3 | over | 0.622 |
| Tim Tawa | AZ | Michael King | 2.5 | 4% | 3 | over | 0.920 |
| Alex Bregman | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 0.5 | 69% | 1 | over | 0.095 |
| Alex Bregman | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 1.5 | 27% | 1 | under | 0.076 |
| Alex Bregman | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 2.5 | 6% | 1 | under | 0.004 |
| Carson Kelly | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 0.5 | 65% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Carson Kelly | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 1.5 | 25% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Carson Kelly | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 2.5 | 6% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Dansby Swanson | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 0.5 | 58% | 2 | over | 0.175 |
| Dansby Swanson | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 1.5 | 17% | 2 | over | 0.693 |
| Dansby Swanson | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 2.5 | 3% | 2 | under | 0.001 |
| Kevin Alcántara | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 0.5 | 57% | 1 | over | 0.187 |
| Kevin Alcántara | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 1.5 | 13% | 1 | under | 0.018 |
| Kevin Alcántara | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Michael Busch | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 0.5 | 64% | 2 | over | 0.132 |
| Michael Busch | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 1.5 | 25% | 2 | over | 0.563 |
| Michael Busch | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 2.5 | 6% | 2 | under | 0.003 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 0.5 | 64% | 0 | under | 0.412 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 1.5 | 28% | 0 | under | 0.078 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 2.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| Pedro Ramírez | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 0.5 | 64% | 1 | over | 0.126 |
| Pedro Ramírez | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 1.5 | 24% | 1 | under | 0.056 |
| Pedro Ramírez | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 2.5 | 5% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 0.5 | 70% | 1 | over | 0.088 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 1.5 | 24% | 1 | under | 0.060 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 2.5 | 5% | 1 | under | 0.003 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 0.5 | 67% | 1 | over | 0.110 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 1.5 | 27% | 1 | under | 0.074 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 2.5 | 6% | 1 | under | 0.004 |
| Cole Carrigg | COL | Ian Seymour | 0.5 | 66% | 2 | over | 0.119 |
| Cole Carrigg | COL | Ian Seymour | 1.5 | 25% | 2 | over | 0.564 |
| Cole Carrigg | COL | Ian Seymour | 2.5 | 6% | 2 | under | 0.004 |
| Ezequiel Tovar | COL | Ian Seymour | 0.5 | 49% | 4 | over | 0.263 |
| Ezequiel Tovar | COL | Ian Seymour | 1.5 | 14% | 4 | over | 0.740 |
| Ezequiel Tovar | COL | Ian Seymour | 2.5 | 2% | 4 | over | 0.956 |
| Hunter Goodman | COL | Ian Seymour | 0.5 | 61% | 0 | under | 0.373 |
| Hunter Goodman | COL | Ian Seymour | 1.5 | 23% | 0 | under | 0.051 |
| Hunter Goodman | COL | Ian Seymour | 2.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Jake McCarthy | COL | Ian Seymour | 0.5 | 67% | 1 | over | 0.108 |
| Jake McCarthy | COL | Ian Seymour | 1.5 | 26% | 1 | under | 0.065 |
| Jake McCarthy | COL | Ian Seymour | 2.5 | 5% | 1 | under | 0.003 |
| Kyle Karros | COL | Ian Seymour | 0.5 | 61% | 2 | over | 0.155 |
| Kyle Karros | COL | Ian Seymour | 1.5 | 20% | 2 | over | 0.635 |
| Kyle Karros | COL | Ian Seymour | 2.5 | 4% | 2 | under | 0.002 |
| Mickey Moniak | COL | Ian Seymour | 0.5 | 63% | 2 | over | 0.134 |
| Mickey Moniak | COL | Ian Seymour | 1.5 | 26% | 2 | over | 0.541 |
| Mickey Moniak | COL | Ian Seymour | 2.5 | 10% | 2 | under | 0.009 |
| Troy Johnston | COL | Ian Seymour | 0.5 | 56% | 1 | over | 0.193 |
| Troy Johnston | COL | Ian Seymour | 1.5 | 18% | 1 | under | 0.032 |
| Troy Johnston | COL | Ian Seymour | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Tyler Freeman | COL | Ian Seymour | 0.5 | 55% | 1 | over | 0.200 |
| Tyler Freeman | COL | Ian Seymour | 1.5 | 19% | 1 | under | 0.037 |
| Tyler Freeman | COL | Ian Seymour | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Willi Castro | COL | Ian Seymour | 0.5 | 57% | 2 | over | 0.182 |
| Willi Castro | COL | Ian Seymour | 1.5 | 21% | 2 | over | 0.622 |
| Willi Castro | COL | Ian Seymour | 2.5 | 5% | 2 | under | 0.003 |
| Cam Smith | HOU | Shane Bieber | 0.5 | 64% | 2 | over | 0.129 |
| Cam Smith | HOU | Shane Bieber | 1.5 | 24% | 2 | over | 0.571 |
| Cam Smith | HOU | Shane Bieber | 2.5 | 5% | 2 | under | 0.002 |
| Christian Walker | HOU | Shane Bieber | 0.5 | 65% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Christian Walker | HOU | Shane Bieber | 1.5 | 23% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Christian Walker | HOU | Shane Bieber | 2.5 | 5% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Daulton Varsho | HOU | Shane Bieber | 0.5 | 61% | 1 | over | 0.149 |
| Daulton Varsho | HOU | Shane Bieber | 1.5 | 22% | 1 | under | 0.050 |
| Daulton Varsho | HOU | Shane Bieber | 2.5 | 5% | 1 | under | 0.003 |
| Isaac Paredes | HOU | Shane Bieber | 0.5 | 68% | 0 | under | 0.463 |
| Isaac Paredes | HOU | Shane Bieber | 1.5 | 27% | 0 | under | 0.071 |
| Isaac Paredes | HOU | Shane Bieber | 2.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Jeremy Peña | HOU | Shane Bieber | 0.5 | 68% | 1 | over | 0.105 |
| Jeremy Peña | HOU | Shane Bieber | 1.5 | 30% | 1 | under | 0.093 |
| Jeremy Peña | HOU | Shane Bieber | 2.5 | 9% | 1 | under | 0.008 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | Shane Bieber | 0.5 | 65% | 2 | over | 0.121 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | Shane Bieber | 1.5 | 27% | 2 | over | 0.531 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | Shane Bieber | 2.5 | 7% | 2 | under | 0.005 |
| Taylor Trammell | HOU | Shane Bieber | 0.5 | 57% | 0 | under | 0.327 |
| Taylor Trammell | HOU | Shane Bieber | 1.5 | 17% | 0 | under | 0.030 |
| Taylor Trammell | HOU | Shane Bieber | 2.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Yainer Diaz | HOU | Shane Bieber | 0.5 | 68% | 2 | over | 0.099 |
| Yainer Diaz | HOU | Shane Bieber | 1.5 | 29% | 2 | over | 0.506 |
| Yainer Diaz | HOU | Shane Bieber | 2.5 | 7% | 2 | under | 0.005 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Shane Bieber | 0.5 | 69% | 1 | over | 0.094 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Shane Bieber | 1.5 | 34% | 1 | under | 0.113 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Shane Bieber | 2.5 | 7% | 1 | under | 0.005 |
| Andy Pages | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 0.5 | 67% | 1 | over | 0.106 |
| Andy Pages | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 1.5 | 25% | 1 | under | 0.061 |
| Andy Pages | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 2.5 | 7% | 1 | under | 0.005 |
| Eliezer Alfonzo | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 0.5 | 50% | 1 | over | 0.248 |
| Eliezer Alfonzo | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 1.5 | 14% | 1 | under | 0.019 |
| Eliezer Alfonzo | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Enrique Hernández | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 0.5 | 54% | 0 | under | 0.288 |
| Enrique Hernández | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 1.5 | 16% | 0 | under | 0.024 |
| Enrique Hernández | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 0.5 | 68% | 1 | over | 0.101 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 1.5 | 24% | 1 | under | 0.056 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 2.5 | 6% | 1 | under | 0.003 |
| Kyle Tucker | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 0.5 | 62% | 2 | over | 0.142 |
| Kyle Tucker | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 1.5 | 20% | 2 | over | 0.635 |
| Kyle Tucker | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 2.5 | 4% | 2 | under | 0.002 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 0.5 | 63% | 0 | under | 0.392 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 1.5 | 23% | 0 | under | 0.055 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 2.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 0.5 | 64% | 2 | over | 0.126 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 1.5 | 24% | 2 | over | 0.580 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 2.5 | 6% | 2 | under | 0.004 |
| Teoscar Hernández | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 0.5 | 61% | 2 | over | 0.150 |
| Teoscar Hernández | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 1.5 | 23% | 2 | over | 0.599 |
| Teoscar Hernández | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 2.5 | 5% | 2 | under | 0.002 |
| Tommy Edman | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 0.5 | 61% | 1 | over | 0.156 |
| Tommy Edman | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 1.5 | 22% | 1 | under | 0.049 |
| Tommy Edman | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 2.5 | 5% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Andrew Vaughn | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 0.5 | 63% | 1 | over | 0.136 |
| Andrew Vaughn | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 1.5 | 23% | 1 | under | 0.055 |
| Andrew Vaughn | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 2.5 | 5% | 1 | under | 0.003 |
| Brice Turang | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 0.5 | 69% | 0 | under | 0.474 |
| Brice Turang | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 1.5 | 25% | 0 | under | 0.061 |
| Brice Turang | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 2.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 0.5 | 67% | 0 | under | 0.444 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 1.5 | 27% | 0 | under | 0.073 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 2.5 | 7% | 0 | under | 0.005 |
| David Hamilton | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 0.5 | 55% | 1 | over | 0.207 |
| David Hamilton | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 1.5 | 17% | 1 | under | 0.029 |
| David Hamilton | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Garrett Mitchell | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 0.5 | 63% | 0 | under | 0.395 |
| Garrett Mitchell | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 1.5 | 24% | 0 | under | 0.059 |
| Garrett Mitchell | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 2.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Jackson Chourio | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 0.5 | 67% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Jackson Chourio | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 1.5 | 27% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Jackson Chourio | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 2.5 | 6% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Jake Bauers | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 0.5 | 64% | 1 | over | 0.130 |
| Jake Bauers | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 1.5 | 25% | 1 | under | 0.061 |
| Jake Bauers | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 2.5 | 5% | 1 | under | 0.003 |
| Joey Ortiz | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 0.5 | 59% | 3 | over | 0.170 |
| Joey Ortiz | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 1.5 | 20% | 3 | over | 0.647 |
| Joey Ortiz | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 2.5 | 4% | 3 | over | 0.924 |
| William Contreras | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 0.5 | 69% | 0 | under | 0.470 |
| William Contreras | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 1.5 | 24% | 0 | under | 0.058 |
| William Contreras | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 2.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Austin Wells | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 0.5 | 59% | 2 | over | 0.170 |
| Austin Wells | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 1.5 | 17% | 2 | over | 0.693 |
| Austin Wells | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 2.5 | 3% | 2 | under | 0.001 |
| Ben Rice | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 0.5 | 72% | 0 | under | 0.519 |
| Ben Rice | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 1.5 | 31% | 0 | under | 0.097 |
| Ben Rice | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 2.5 | 10% | 0 | under | 0.010 |
| Jasson Domínguez | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 0.5 | 65% | 1 | over | 0.125 |
| Jasson Domínguez | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 1.5 | 26% | 1 | under | 0.066 |
| Jasson Domínguez | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 2.5 | 6% | 1 | under | 0.004 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 0.5 | 64% | 0 | under | 0.404 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 1.5 | 25% | 0 | under | 0.060 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 2.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| José Caballero | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 0.5 | 61% | 1 | over | 0.155 |
| José Caballero | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 1.5 | 21% | 1 | under | 0.044 |
| José Caballero | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Luis García Jr. | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 0.5 | 69% | 2 | over | 0.097 |
| Luis García Jr. | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 1.5 | 29% | 2 | over | 0.501 |
| Luis García Jr. | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 2.5 | 8% | 2 | under | 0.006 |
| Ryan McMahon | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 0.5 | 62% | 2 | over | 0.147 |
| Ryan McMahon | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 1.5 | 20% | 2 | over | 0.634 |
| Ryan McMahon | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 2.5 | 4% | 2 | under | 0.002 |
| Spencer Jones | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 0.5 | 51% | 0 | under | 0.264 |
| Spencer Jones | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 1.5 | 16% | 0 | under | 0.026 |
| Spencer Jones | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Trent Grisham | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 0.5 | 63% | 2 | over | 0.140 |
| Trent Grisham | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 1.5 | 26% | 2 | over | 0.550 |
| Trent Grisham | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 2.5 | 5% | 2 | under | 0.002 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 0.5 | 63% | 1 | over | 0.134 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 1.5 | 22% | 1 | under | 0.047 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 0.5 | 50% | 0 | under | 0.251 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 1.5 | 16% | 0 | under | 0.025 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 0.5 | 63% | 1 | over | 0.135 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 1.5 | 22% | 1 | under | 0.048 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 2.5 | 6% | 1 | under | 0.004 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 0.5 | 61% | 1 | over | 0.153 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 1.5 | 20% | 1 | under | 0.041 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Derek Hill | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 0.5 | 53% | 1 | over | 0.222 |
| Derek Hill | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 1.5 | 17% | 1 | under | 0.028 |
| Derek Hill | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Edmundo Sosa | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 0.5 | 59% | 1 | over | 0.167 |
| Edmundo Sosa | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 1.5 | 20% | 1 | under | 0.039 |
| Edmundo Sosa | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Garrett Stubbs | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 0.5 | 51% | 0 | under | 0.256 |
| Garrett Stubbs | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 1.5 | 15% | 0 | under | 0.022 |
| Garrett Stubbs | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 2.5 | 2% | 0 | under | 0.000 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 0.5 | 61% | 0 | under | 0.373 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 1.5 | 22% | 0 | under | 0.049 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 2.5 | 8% | 0 | under | 0.006 |
| Trea Turner | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 0.5 | 70% | 0 | under | 0.497 |
| Trea Turner | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 1.5 | 26% | 0 | under | 0.066 |
| Trea Turner | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 2.5 | 8% | 0 | under | 0.007 |
| Brandon Lowe | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 0.5 | 62% | 1 | over | 0.147 |
| Brandon Lowe | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 1.5 | 24% | 1 | under | 0.058 |
| Brandon Lowe | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 2.5 | 6% | 1 | under | 0.003 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 0.5 | 70% | 2 | over | 0.088 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 1.5 | 26% | 2 | over | 0.555 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 2.5 | 8% | 2 | under | 0.006 |
| Endy Rodríguez | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 0.5 | 67% | 3 | over | 0.111 |
| Endy Rodríguez | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 1.5 | 27% | 3 | over | 0.534 |
| Endy Rodríguez | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 2.5 | 7% | 3 | over | 0.857 |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 0.5 | 59% | 0 | under | 0.346 |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 1.5 | 21% | 0 | under | 0.043 |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Henry Davis | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 0.5 | 55% | 0 | under | 0.304 |
| Henry Davis | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 1.5 | 16% | 0 | under | 0.026 |
| Henry Davis | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Jacob Gonzalez | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 0.5 | 57% | 0 | under | 0.323 |
| Jacob Gonzalez | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 1.5 | 18% | 0 | under | 0.032 |
| Jacob Gonzalez | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Jake Mangum | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 0.5 | 67% | 1 | over | 0.111 |
| Jake Mangum | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 1.5 | 27% | 1 | under | 0.072 |
| Jake Mangum | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 2.5 | 6% | 1 | under | 0.003 |
| Nick Gonzales | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 0.5 | 65% | 0 | under | 0.421 |
| Nick Gonzales | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 1.5 | 28% | 0 | under | 0.080 |
| Nick Gonzales | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 2.5 | 7% | 0 | under | 0.005 |
| Spencer Horwitz | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 0.5 | 65% | 1 | over | 0.122 |
| Spencer Horwitz | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 1.5 | 24% | 1 | under | 0.058 |
| Spencer Horwitz | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 2.5 | 6% | 1 | under | 0.003 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 0.5 | 73% | 0 | under | 0.537 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 1.5 | 26% | 0 | under | 0.070 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 2.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Jackson Merrill | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 0.5 | 67% | 1 | over | 0.108 |
| Jackson Merrill | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 1.5 | 26% | 1 | under | 0.070 |
| Jackson Merrill | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 2.5 | 6% | 1 | under | 0.003 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 0.5 | 66% | 0 | under | 0.433 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 1.5 | 25% | 0 | under | 0.065 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 2.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Luis Campusano | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 0.5 | 65% | 2 | over | 0.123 |
| Luis Campusano | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 1.5 | 24% | 2 | over | 0.579 |
| Luis Campusano | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 2.5 | 6% | 2 | under | 0.003 |
| Luis Rengifo | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 0.5 | 66% | 1 | over | 0.113 |
| Luis Rengifo | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 1.5 | 25% | 1 | under | 0.063 |
| Luis Rengifo | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 2.5 | 6% | 1 | under | 0.004 |
| Manny Machado | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 0.5 | 69% | 0 | under | 0.477 |
| Manny Machado | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 1.5 | 22% | 0 | under | 0.047 |
| Manny Machado | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Sung-Mun Song | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 0.5 | 58% | 1 | over | 0.177 |
| Sung-Mun Song | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 1.5 | 18% | 1 | under | 0.033 |
| Sung-Mun Song | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Ty France | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 0.5 | 66% | 0 | under | 0.430 |
| Ty France | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 1.5 | 30% | 0 | under | 0.087 |
| Ty France | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 2.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| Xander Bogaerts | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 0.5 | 65% | 1 | over | 0.125 |
| Xander Bogaerts | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 1.5 | 23% | 1 | under | 0.051 |
| Xander Bogaerts | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Christian Koss | SF | Cal Quantrill | 0.5 | 53% | 1 | over | 0.218 |
| Christian Koss | SF | Cal Quantrill | 1.5 | 16% | 1 | under | 0.027 |
| Christian Koss | SF | Cal Quantrill | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Daniel Susac | SF | Cal Quantrill | 0.5 | 60% | 0 | under | 0.359 |
| Daniel Susac | SF | Cal Quantrill | 1.5 | 22% | 0 | under | 0.050 |
| Daniel Susac | SF | Cal Quantrill | 2.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Drew Gilbert | SF | Cal Quantrill | 0.5 | 59% | 1 | over | 0.169 |
| Drew Gilbert | SF | Cal Quantrill | 1.5 | 19% | 1 | under | 0.035 |
| Drew Gilbert | SF | Cal Quantrill | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Grant McCray | SF | Cal Quantrill | 0.5 | 48% | 0 | under | 0.234 |
| Grant McCray | SF | Cal Quantrill | 1.5 | 13% | 0 | under | 0.017 |
| Grant McCray | SF | Cal Quantrill | 2.5 | 2% | 0 | under | 0.000 |
| Jung Hoo Lee | SF | Cal Quantrill | 0.5 | 72% | 3 | over | 0.076 |
| Jung Hoo Lee | SF | Cal Quantrill | 1.5 | 28% | 3 | over | 0.520 |
| Jung Hoo Lee | SF | Cal Quantrill | 2.5 | 6% | 3 | over | 0.876 |
| Rafael Devers | SF | Cal Quantrill | 0.5 | 71% | 0 | under | 0.498 |
| Rafael Devers | SF | Cal Quantrill | 1.5 | 25% | 0 | under | 0.063 |
| Rafael Devers | SF | Cal Quantrill | 2.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Willy Adames | SF | Cal Quantrill | 0.5 | 66% | 0 | under | 0.438 |
| Willy Adames | SF | Cal Quantrill | 1.5 | 23% | 0 | under | 0.053 |
| Willy Adames | SF | Cal Quantrill | 2.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Alec Burleson | STL | Cam Schlittler | 0.5 | 67% | 3 | over | 0.112 |
| Alec Burleson | STL | Cam Schlittler | 1.5 | 23% | 3 | over | 0.586 |
| Alec Burleson | STL | Cam Schlittler | 2.5 | 5% | 3 | over | 0.895 |
| Iván Herrera | STL | Cam Schlittler | 0.5 | 62% | 0 | under | 0.388 |
| Iván Herrera | STL | Cam Schlittler | 1.5 | 20% | 0 | under | 0.041 |
| Iván Herrera | STL | Cam Schlittler | 2.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| JJ Wetherholt | STL | Cam Schlittler | 0.5 | 63% | 1 | over | 0.140 |
| JJ Wetherholt | STL | Cam Schlittler | 1.5 | 23% | 1 | under | 0.052 |
| JJ Wetherholt | STL | Cam Schlittler | 2.5 | 5% | 1 | under | 0.003 |
| Jimmy Crooks | STL | Cam Schlittler | 0.5 | 48% | 1 | over | 0.268 |
| Jimmy Crooks | STL | Cam Schlittler | 1.5 | 11% | 1 | under | 0.013 |
| Jimmy Crooks | STL | Cam Schlittler | 2.5 | 2% | 1 | under | 0.000 |
| Jordan Walker | STL | Cam Schlittler | 0.5 | 64% | 2 | over | 0.128 |
| Jordan Walker | STL | Cam Schlittler | 1.5 | 22% | 2 | over | 0.602 |
| Jordan Walker | STL | Cam Schlittler | 2.5 | 5% | 2 | under | 0.003 |
| José Fermín | STL | Cam Schlittler | 0.5 | 58% | — | voided scratch | — |
| José Fermín | STL | Cam Schlittler | 1.5 | 19% | — | voided scratch | — |
| José Fermín | STL | Cam Schlittler | 2.5 | 4% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | Cam Schlittler | 0.5 | 60% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | Cam Schlittler | 1.5 | 21% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | Cam Schlittler | 2.5 | 4% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Masyn Winn | STL | Cam Schlittler | 0.5 | 58% | 0 | under | 0.341 |
| Masyn Winn | STL | Cam Schlittler | 1.5 | 20% | 0 | under | 0.040 |
| Masyn Winn | STL | Cam Schlittler | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Nathan Church | STL | Cam Schlittler | 0.5 | 50% | 2 | over | 0.247 |
| Nathan Church | STL | Cam Schlittler | 1.5 | 14% | 2 | over | 0.748 |
| Nathan Church | STL | Cam Schlittler | 2.5 | 2% | 2 | under | 0.001 |
| Cedric Mullins | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 0.5 | 63% | 2 | over | 0.139 |
| Cedric Mullins | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 1.5 | 23% | 2 | over | 0.599 |
| Cedric Mullins | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 2.5 | 4% | 2 | under | 0.001 |
| Chandler Simpson | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 0.5 | 66% | 2 | over | 0.115 |
| Chandler Simpson | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 1.5 | 26% | 2 | over | 0.545 |
| Chandler Simpson | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 2.5 | 7% | 2 | under | 0.005 |
| Jonathan Aranda | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 0.5 | 69% | 4 | over | 0.095 |
| Jonathan Aranda | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 1.5 | 30% | 4 | over | 0.492 |
| Jonathan Aranda | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 2.5 | 7% | 4 | over | 0.858 |
| Junior Caminero | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 0.5 | 70% | 2 | over | 0.090 |
| Junior Caminero | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 1.5 | 28% | 2 | over | 0.518 |
| Junior Caminero | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 2.5 | 9% | 2 | under | 0.007 |
| Richie Palacios | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 0.5 | 61% | 2 | over | 0.154 |
| Richie Palacios | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 1.5 | 18% | 2 | over | 0.668 |
| Richie Palacios | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 2.5 | 4% | 2 | under | 0.001 |
| Taylor Walls | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 0.5 | 52% | 2 | over | 0.227 |
| Taylor Walls | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 1.5 | 16% | 2 | over | 0.706 |
| Taylor Walls | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 2.5 | 3% | 2 | under | 0.001 |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 0.5 | 62% | 0 | under | 0.379 |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 1.5 | 20% | 0 | under | 0.041 |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 2.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Yandy Díaz | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 0.5 | 71% | 0 | under | 0.506 |
| Yandy Díaz | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 1.5 | 27% | 0 | under | 0.074 |
| Yandy Díaz | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 2.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| Austin Wynns | TEX | Logan Webb | 0.5 | 50% | 1 | over | 0.246 |
| Austin Wynns | TEX | Logan Webb | 1.5 | 16% | 1 | under | 0.026 |
| Austin Wynns | TEX | Logan Webb | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Brandon Nimmo | TEX | Logan Webb | 0.5 | 69% | 0 | under | 0.475 |
| Brandon Nimmo | TEX | Logan Webb | 1.5 | 24% | 0 | under | 0.060 |
| Brandon Nimmo | TEX | Logan Webb | 2.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Logan Webb | 0.5 | 65% | 1 | over | 0.124 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Logan Webb | 1.5 | 22% | 1 | under | 0.048 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Logan Webb | 2.5 | 5% | 1 | under | 0.003 |
| Evan Carter | TEX | Logan Webb | 0.5 | 59% | 0 | under | 0.350 |
| Evan Carter | TEX | Logan Webb | 1.5 | 18% | 0 | under | 0.034 |
| Evan Carter | TEX | Logan Webb | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Ezequiel Duran | TEX | Logan Webb | 0.5 | 64% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Ezequiel Duran | TEX | Logan Webb | 1.5 | 25% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Ezequiel Duran | TEX | Logan Webb | 2.5 | 5% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Jake Burger | TEX | Logan Webb | 0.5 | 58% | 0 | under | 0.332 |
| Jake Burger | TEX | Logan Webb | 1.5 | 21% | 0 | under | 0.046 |
| Jake Burger | TEX | Logan Webb | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Joc Pederson | TEX | Logan Webb | 0.5 | 60% | 1 | over | 0.160 |
| Joc Pederson | TEX | Logan Webb | 1.5 | 19% | 1 | under | 0.037 |
| Joc Pederson | TEX | Logan Webb | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Nicky Lopez | TEX | Logan Webb | 0.5 | 61% | 0 | under | 0.367 |
| Nicky Lopez | TEX | Logan Webb | 1.5 | 22% | 0 | under | 0.049 |
| Nicky Lopez | TEX | Logan Webb | 2.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Wyatt Langford | TEX | Logan Webb | 0.5 | 68% | 0 | under | 0.457 |
| Wyatt Langford | TEX | Logan Webb | 1.5 | 26% | 0 | under | 0.070 |
| Wyatt Langford | TEX | Logan Webb | 2.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | Cristian Javier | 0.5 | 64% | 1 | over | 0.128 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | Cristian Javier | 1.5 | 24% | 1 | under | 0.060 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | Cristian Javier | 2.5 | 5% | 1 | under | 0.003 |
| Andrés Giménez | TOR | Cristian Javier | 0.5 | 57% | 0 | under | 0.327 |
| Andrés Giménez | TOR | Cristian Javier | 1.5 | 20% | 0 | under | 0.040 |
| Andrés Giménez | TOR | Cristian Javier | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Ernie Clement | TOR | Cristian Javier | 0.5 | 66% | 0 | under | 0.440 |
| Ernie Clement | TOR | Cristian Javier | 1.5 | 26% | 0 | under | 0.067 |
| Ernie Clement | TOR | Cristian Javier | 2.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| George Springer | TOR | Cristian Javier | 0.5 | 66% | 1 | over | 0.117 |
| George Springer | TOR | Cristian Javier | 1.5 | 27% | 1 | under | 0.075 |
| George Springer | TOR | Cristian Javier | 2.5 | 7% | 1 | under | 0.005 |
| Jesús Sánchez | TOR | Cristian Javier | 0.5 | 60% | 1 | over | 0.157 |
| Jesús Sánchez | TOR | Cristian Javier | 1.5 | 21% | 1 | under | 0.044 |
| Jesús Sánchez | TOR | Cristian Javier | 2.5 | 5% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Kazuma Okamoto | TOR | Cristian Javier | 0.5 | 66% | 2 | over | 0.116 |
| Kazuma Okamoto | TOR | Cristian Javier | 1.5 | 26% | 2 | over | 0.544 |
| Kazuma Okamoto | TOR | Cristian Javier | 2.5 | 7% | 2 | under | 0.004 |
| Myles Straw | TOR | Cristian Javier | 0.5 | 60% | 2 | over | 0.157 |
| Myles Straw | TOR | Cristian Javier | 1.5 | 19% | 2 | over | 0.662 |
| Myles Straw | TOR | Cristian Javier | 2.5 | 4% | 2 | under | 0.001 |
| Nathan Lukes | TOR | Cristian Javier | 0.5 | 66% | 0 | under | 0.437 |
| Nathan Lukes | TOR | Cristian Javier | 1.5 | 26% | 0 | under | 0.066 |
| Nathan Lukes | TOR | Cristian Javier | 2.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | Cristian Javier | 0.5 | 68% | 0 | under | 0.465 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | Cristian Javier | 1.5 | 26% | 0 | under | 0.068 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | Cristian Javier | 2.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| CJ Abrams | WSH | Aaron Nola | 0.5 | 69% | 0 | under | 0.480 |
| CJ Abrams | WSH | Aaron Nola | 1.5 | 27% | 0 | under | 0.071 |
| CJ Abrams | WSH | Aaron Nola | 2.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.008 |
| Daylen Lile | WSH | Aaron Nola | 0.5 | 66% | 1 | over | 0.117 |
| Daylen Lile | WSH | Aaron Nola | 1.5 | 26% | 1 | under | 0.066 |
| Daylen Lile | WSH | Aaron Nola | 2.5 | 6% | 1 | under | 0.004 |
| Jacob Young | WSH | Aaron Nola | 0.5 | 57% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Jacob Young | WSH | Aaron Nola | 1.5 | 18% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Jacob Young | WSH | Aaron Nola | 2.5 | 4% | — | voided scratch | — |
| James Wood | WSH | Aaron Nola | 0.5 | 71% | 1 | over | 0.083 |
| James Wood | WSH | Aaron Nola | 1.5 | 28% | 1 | under | 0.078 |
| James Wood | WSH | Aaron Nola | 2.5 | 10% | 1 | under | 0.010 |
| Jorbit Vivas | WSH | Aaron Nola | 0.5 | 58% | 0 | under | 0.335 |
| Jorbit Vivas | WSH | Aaron Nola | 1.5 | 19% | 0 | under | 0.034 |
| Jorbit Vivas | WSH | Aaron Nola | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| José Tena | WSH | Aaron Nola | 0.5 | 58% | 0 | under | 0.331 |
| José Tena | WSH | Aaron Nola | 1.5 | 18% | 0 | under | 0.032 |
| José Tena | WSH | Aaron Nola | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Aaron Nola | 0.5 | 63% | 2 | over | 0.137 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Aaron Nola | 1.5 | 24% | 2 | over | 0.580 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Aaron Nola | 2.5 | 7% | 2 | under | 0.005 |
| Nasim Nuñez | WSH | Aaron Nola | 0.5 | 58% | 0 | under | 0.333 |
| Nasim Nuñez | WSH | Aaron Nola | 1.5 | 18% | 0 | under | 0.033 |
| Nasim Nuñez | WSH | Aaron Nola | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
Home runs
131 graded, 9 voided| Batter | Team | Opposing starter | Line | P(over) | Actual | Result | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Del Castillo | AZ | Michael King | 0.5 | 10% | 0 | under | 0.010 |
| Corbin Carroll | AZ | Michael King | 0.5 | 16% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | AZ | Michael King | 0.5 | 14% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | AZ | Michael King | 0.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.020 |
| Ketel Marte | AZ | Michael King | 0.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.019 |
| Max Kepler | AZ | Michael King | 0.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.019 |
| Nolan Arenado | AZ | Michael King | 0.5 | 15% | 0 | under | 0.022 |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | AZ | Michael King | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.008 |
| Tim Tawa | AZ | Michael King | 0.5 | 13% | 1 | over | 0.760 |
| Alex Bregman | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 0.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.019 |
| Carson Kelly | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 0.5 | 13% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Dansby Swanson | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 0.5 | 11% | 0 | under | 0.013 |
| Kevin Alcántara | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 0.5 | 8% | 1 | over | 0.843 |
| Michael Busch | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 0.5 | 14% | 1 | over | 0.745 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 0.5 | 10% | 0 | under | 0.010 |
| Pedro Ramírez | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 0.5 | 8% | 0 | under | 0.007 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 0.5 | 16% | 0 | under | 0.027 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | Justin Wrobleski | 0.5 | 17% | 1 | over | 0.692 |
| Cole Carrigg | COL | Ian Seymour | 0.5 | 11% | 0 | under | 0.013 |
| Ezequiel Tovar | COL | Ian Seymour | 0.5 | 9% | 1 | over | 0.830 |
| Hunter Goodman | COL | Ian Seymour | 0.5 | 22% | 0 | under | 0.048 |
| Jake McCarthy | COL | Ian Seymour | 0.5 | 11% | 0 | under | 0.012 |
| Kyle Karros | COL | Ian Seymour | 0.5 | 15% | 0 | under | 0.022 |
| Mickey Moniak | COL | Ian Seymour | 0.5 | 15% | 1 | over | 0.723 |
| Troy Johnston | COL | Ian Seymour | 0.5 | 8% | 0 | under | 0.006 |
| Tyler Freeman | COL | Ian Seymour | 0.5 | 7% | 0 | under | 0.005 |
| Willi Castro | COL | Ian Seymour | 0.5 | 21% | 0 | under | 0.044 |
| Cam Smith | HOU | Shane Bieber | 0.5 | 19% | 0 | under | 0.035 |
| Christian Walker | HOU | Shane Bieber | 0.5 | 17% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Daulton Varsho | HOU | Shane Bieber | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.009 |
| Isaac Paredes | HOU | Shane Bieber | 0.5 | 17% | 0 | under | 0.028 |
| Jeremy Peña | HOU | Shane Bieber | 0.5 | 20% | 0 | under | 0.040 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | Shane Bieber | 0.5 | 18% | 0 | under | 0.032 |
| Taylor Trammell | HOU | Shane Bieber | 0.5 | 13% | 0 | under | 0.016 |
| Yainer Diaz | HOU | Shane Bieber | 0.5 | 17% | 0 | under | 0.029 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Shane Bieber | 0.5 | 25% | 0 | under | 0.065 |
| Andy Pages | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 0.5 | 13% | 0 | under | 0.016 |
| Eliezer Alfonzo | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 0.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| Enrique Hernández | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 0.5 | 10% | 0 | under | 0.010 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.009 |
| Kyle Tucker | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 0.5 | 12% | 0 | under | 0.015 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 0.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.020 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 0.5 | 20% | 0 | under | 0.042 |
| Teoscar Hernández | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 0.5 | 13% | 1 | over | 0.762 |
| Tommy Edman | LAD | Matthew Boyd | 0.5 | 10% | 1 | over | 0.807 |
| Andrew Vaughn | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 0.5 | 13% | 0 | under | 0.017 |
| Brice Turang | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 0.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.019 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 0.5 | 12% | 0 | under | 0.014 |
| David Hamilton | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.008 |
| Garrett Mitchell | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 0.5 | 13% | 0 | under | 0.017 |
| Jackson Chourio | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 0.5 | 12% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Jake Bauers | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 0.5 | 18% | 0 | under | 0.034 |
| Joey Ortiz | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 0.5 | 11% | 0 | under | 0.013 |
| William Contreras | MIL | Bubba Chandler | 0.5 | 13% | 0 | under | 0.017 |
| Austin Wells | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 0.5 | 15% | 1 | over | 0.724 |
| Ben Rice | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 0.5 | 25% | 0 | under | 0.064 |
| Jasson Domínguez | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 0.5 | 15% | 0 | under | 0.021 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 0.5 | 22% | 0 | under | 0.049 |
| José Caballero | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 0.5 | 13% | 1 | over | 0.756 |
| Luis García Jr. | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 0.5 | 21% | 1 | over | 0.624 |
| Ryan McMahon | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 0.5 | 16% | 1 | over | 0.708 |
| Spencer Jones | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 0.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.020 |
| Trent Grisham | NYY | Michael McGreevy | 0.5 | 16% | 1 | over | 0.710 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 0.5 | 13% | 0 | under | 0.017 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 0.5 | 11% | 0 | under | 0.011 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 0.5 | 14% | 1 | over | 0.743 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 0.5 | 11% | 0 | under | 0.013 |
| Derek Hill | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 0.5 | 11% | 1 | over | 0.790 |
| Edmundo Sosa | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 0.5 | 11% | 0 | under | 0.013 |
| Garrett Stubbs | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 0.5 | 7% | 0 | under | 0.005 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 0.5 | 16% | 0 | under | 0.025 |
| Trea Turner | PHI | Andrew Alvarez | 0.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.020 |
| Brandon Lowe | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 0.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.021 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 0.5 | 15% | 0 | under | 0.022 |
| Endy Rodríguez | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 0.5 | 16% | 0 | under | 0.026 |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 0.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.021 |
| Henry Davis | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 0.5 | 10% | 0 | under | 0.009 |
| Jacob Gonzalez | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.009 |
| Jake Mangum | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 0.5 | 7% | 0 | under | 0.005 |
| Nick Gonzales | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 0.5 | 12% | 0 | under | 0.014 |
| Spencer Horwitz | PIT | Brandon Sproat | 0.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.020 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 0.5 | 16% | 0 | under | 0.026 |
| Jackson Merrill | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 0.5 | 19% | 0 | under | 0.035 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 0.5 | 10% | 0 | under | 0.011 |
| Luis Campusano | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 0.5 | 12% | 0 | under | 0.014 |
| Luis Rengifo | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 0.5 | 8% | 0 | under | 0.007 |
| Manny Machado | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 0.5 | 18% | 0 | under | 0.033 |
| Sung-Mun Song | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 0.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Ty France | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 0.5 | 18% | 0 | under | 0.033 |
| Xander Bogaerts | SD | Brandon Pfaadt | 0.5 | 11% | 0 | under | 0.012 |
| Christian Koss | SF | Cal Quantrill | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.007 |
| Daniel Susac | SF | Cal Quantrill | 0.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.019 |
| Drew Gilbert | SF | Cal Quantrill | 0.5 | 10% | 0 | under | 0.011 |
| Grant McCray | SF | Cal Quantrill | 0.5 | 7% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| Jung Hoo Lee | SF | Cal Quantrill | 0.5 | 7% | 2 | over | 0.869 |
| Rafael Devers | SF | Cal Quantrill | 0.5 | 17% | 0 | under | 0.029 |
| Willy Adames | SF | Cal Quantrill | 0.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.018 |
| Alec Burleson | STL | Cam Schlittler | 0.5 | 14% | 3 | over | 0.740 |
| Iván Herrera | STL | Cam Schlittler | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.009 |
| JJ Wetherholt | STL | Cam Schlittler | 0.5 | 13% | 0 | under | 0.018 |
| Jimmy Crooks | STL | Cam Schlittler | 0.5 | 11% | 1 | over | 0.799 |
| Jordan Walker | STL | Cam Schlittler | 0.5 | 15% | 0 | under | 0.021 |
| José Fermín | STL | Cam Schlittler | 0.5 | 12% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | Cam Schlittler | 0.5 | 13% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Masyn Winn | STL | Cam Schlittler | 0.5 | 11% | 0 | under | 0.012 |
| Nathan Church | STL | Cam Schlittler | 0.5 | 8% | 1 | over | 0.849 |
| Cedric Mullins | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 0.5 | 15% | 0 | under | 0.024 |
| Chandler Simpson | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 0.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| Jonathan Aranda | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 0.5 | 21% | 0 | under | 0.044 |
| Junior Caminero | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 0.5 | 22% | 2 | over | 0.614 |
| Richie Palacios | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 0.5 | 11% | 1 | over | 0.785 |
| Taylor Walls | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 0.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 0.5 | 18% | 0 | under | 0.033 |
| Yandy Díaz | TB | Michael Lorenzen | 0.5 | 17% | 0 | under | 0.029 |
| Austin Wynns | TEX | Logan Webb | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.008 |
| Brandon Nimmo | TEX | Logan Webb | 0.5 | 15% | 0 | under | 0.022 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Logan Webb | 0.5 | 17% | 0 | under | 0.028 |
| Evan Carter | TEX | Logan Webb | 0.5 | 7% | 0 | under | 0.005 |
| Ezequiel Duran | TEX | Logan Webb | 0.5 | 15% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Jake Burger | TEX | Logan Webb | 0.5 | 19% | 0 | under | 0.036 |
| Joc Pederson | TEX | Logan Webb | 0.5 | 18% | 0 | under | 0.033 |
| Nicky Lopez | TEX | Logan Webb | 0.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Wyatt Langford | TEX | Logan Webb | 0.5 | 17% | 0 | under | 0.029 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | Cristian Javier | 0.5 | 10% | 1 | over | 0.815 |
| Andrés Giménez | TOR | Cristian Javier | 0.5 | 7% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| Ernie Clement | TOR | Cristian Javier | 0.5 | 8% | 0 | under | 0.006 |
| George Springer | TOR | Cristian Javier | 0.5 | 17% | 0 | under | 0.028 |
| Jesús Sánchez | TOR | Cristian Javier | 0.5 | 13% | 0 | under | 0.016 |
| Kazuma Okamoto | TOR | Cristian Javier | 0.5 | 20% | 0 | under | 0.042 |
| Myles Straw | TOR | Cristian Javier | 0.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| Nathan Lukes | TOR | Cristian Javier | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.009 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | Cristian Javier | 0.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.020 |
| CJ Abrams | WSH | Aaron Nola | 0.5 | 17% | 0 | under | 0.028 |
| Daylen Lile | WSH | Aaron Nola | 0.5 | 15% | 1 | over | 0.729 |
| Jacob Young | WSH | Aaron Nola | 0.5 | 9% | — | voided scratch | — |
| James Wood | WSH | Aaron Nola | 0.5 | 22% | 0 | under | 0.050 |
| Jorbit Vivas | WSH | Aaron Nola | 0.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| José Tena | WSH | Aaron Nola | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.009 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Aaron Nola | 0.5 | 8% | 0 | under | 0.006 |
| Nasim Nuñez | WSH | Aaron Nola | 0.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
Run totals
8 graded| Game | Mean | P(over 8.5) | Actual | CRPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF at TEX | 9.74 | 57% | 6 | 2.018 |
| WSH at PHI | 9.07 | 51% | 9 | 1.023 |
| STL at NYY | 8.89 | 49% | 20 | 8.725 |
| PIT at MIL | 8.86 | 49% | 7 | 1.148 |
| TOR at HOU | 9.81 | 57% | 4 | 3.437 |
| TB at COL | 9.69 | 57% | 22 | 9.774 |
| LAD at CHC | 9.09 | 52% | 15 | 3.979 |
| SD at AZ | 9.40 | 55% | 6 | 1.845 |
Brier is the squared error of a probability (0 perfect, 0.25 a coin flip, 1 confidently wrong). Totals are scored by CRPS over the whole distribution instead, so the two are not comparable. Machine-readable versions of everything here are in the raw artifacts.