2026-08-25

Every probability published for this slate, beside what actually happened. Published before first pitch, graded that night, never edited. Rows that show a void carry the reason; they stay on the record rather than being removed.

← 2026-08-24 all days 2026-08-26 →

Provenance gap on this slate: the hits and home run predictions below cannot be shown to have preceded first pitch. All 214 were written in a single batch at 00:31 UTC, after the day's earliest first pitch. This site voids a strikeout prediction stamped eleven minutes late, so applying a looser standard here would be exactly the selective enforcement it exists to avoid. The rows stay in the record and in the running totals, and this note travels with them. Batter rows written from 7/18 onward carry per-row timestamps.

Strikeouts

85 graded
PitcherTeamOppLineP(over)KResultBrier
Aaron NolaPHISEA2.590%7over0.009
Aaron NolaPHISEA3.578%7over0.047
Aaron NolaPHISEA4.562%7over0.144
Aaron NolaPHISEA5.545%7over0.304
Aaron NolaPHISEA6.529%7over0.497
Aaron NolaPHISEA7.518%7under0.031
Aaron NolaPHISEA8.510%7under0.010
Adrian HouserSFCIN2.584%2under0.705
Adrian HouserSFCIN3.568%2under0.468
Adrian HouserSFCIN4.550%2under0.255
Adrian HouserSFCIN5.534%2under0.113
Adrian HouserSFCIN6.520%2under0.040
Adrian HouserSFCIN7.511%2under0.011
Adrian HouserSFCIN8.55%2under0.003
Brady SingerCINSF1.594%5over0.004
Brady SingerCINSF2.583%5over0.031
Brady SingerCINSF3.566%5over0.116
Brady SingerCINSF4.547%5over0.280
Brady SingerCINSF5.530%5under0.090
Brady SingerCINSF6.517%5under0.028
Brady SingerCINSF7.58%5under0.007
Brandon PfaadtAZCHC1.592%3over0.006
Brandon PfaadtAZCHC2.579%3over0.043
Brandon PfaadtAZCHC3.561%3under0.377
Brandon PfaadtAZCHC4.542%3under0.179
Brandon PfaadtAZCHC5.526%3under0.066
Brandon PfaadtAZCHC6.513%3under0.018
Brandon PfaadtAZCHC7.56%3under0.004
Clay HolmesCHCAZ0.593%5over0.004
Clay HolmesCHCAZ1.578%5over0.047
Clay HolmesCHCAZ2.559%5over0.170
Clay HolmesCHCAZ3.540%5over0.364
Clay HolmesCHCAZ4.524%5over0.577
Clay HolmesCHCAZ5.513%5under0.016
Clay HolmesCHCAZ6.56%5under0.004
Gage JumpATHMIN3.580%9over0.039
Gage JumpATHMIN4.566%9over0.118
Gage JumpATHMIN5.550%9over0.251
Gage JumpATHMIN6.535%9over0.419
Gage JumpATHMIN7.523%9over0.586
Gage JumpATHMIN8.515%9over0.728
Gage JumpATHMIN9.59%9under0.007
Gavin WilliamsCLELAA3.588%3under0.772
Gavin WilliamsCLELAA4.577%3under0.598
Gavin WilliamsCLELAA5.565%3under0.417
Gavin WilliamsCLELAA6.551%3under0.264
Gavin WilliamsCLELAA7.539%3under0.156
Gavin WilliamsCLELAA8.530%3under0.089
Gavin WilliamsCLELAA9.522%3under0.048
Gavin WilliamsCLELAA10.515%3under0.023
George KirbySEAPHI1.591%9over0.008
George KirbySEAPHI2.577%9over0.052
George KirbySEAPHI3.558%9over0.175
George KirbySEAPHI4.539%9over0.376
George KirbySEAPHI5.522%9over0.604
George KirbySEAPHI6.511%9over0.796
George KirbySEAPHI7.55%9over0.910
Michael KingSDPIT2.588%7over0.015
Michael KingSDPIT3.574%7over0.067
Michael KingSDPIT4.557%7over0.183
Michael KingSDPIT5.540%7over0.357
Michael KingSDPIT6.526%7over0.552
Michael KingSDPIT7.515%7under0.022
Michael KingSDPIT8.58%7under0.006
Paul SkenesPITSD3.582%4over0.031
Paul SkenesPITSD4.570%4under0.485
Paul SkenesPITSD5.555%4under0.307
Paul SkenesPITSD6.542%4under0.175
Paul SkenesPITSD7.530%4under0.092
Paul SkenesPITSD8.521%4under0.046
Paul SkenesPITSD9.514%4under0.021
Taj BradleyMINATH2.589%11over0.011
Taj BradleyMINATH3.577%11over0.055
Taj BradleyMINATH4.560%11over0.161
Taj BradleyMINATH5.542%11over0.331
Taj BradleyMINATH6.527%11over0.530
Taj BradleyMINATH7.516%11over0.709
Taj BradleyMINATH8.58%11over0.839
Walbert UreñaLAACLE2.587%3over0.016
Walbert UreñaLAACLE3.574%3under0.542
Walbert UreñaLAACLE4.557%3under0.320
Walbert UreñaLAACLE5.540%3under0.156
Walbert UreñaLAACLE6.525%3under0.063
Walbert UreñaLAACLE7.514%3under0.021
Walbert UreñaLAACLE8.58%3under0.006

Hits

297 graded, 24 voided
BatterTeamOpposing starterLineP(over)ActualResultBrier
Alika WilliamsATHTaj Bradley0.546%1over0.293
Alika WilliamsATHTaj Bradley1.513%1under0.018
Alika WilliamsATHTaj Bradley2.52%1under0.001
Brian ServenATHTaj Bradley0.554%0under0.289
Brian ServenATHTaj Bradley1.517%0under0.030
Brian ServenATHTaj Bradley2.53%0under0.001
Carlos CortesATHTaj Bradley0.555%1over0.205
Carlos CortesATHTaj Bradley1.518%1under0.032
Carlos CortesATHTaj Bradley2.53%1under0.001
Donovan WaltonATHTaj Bradley0.556%1over0.190
Donovan WaltonATHTaj Bradley1.519%1under0.034
Donovan WaltonATHTaj Bradley2.53%1under0.001
Henry BolteATHTaj Bradley0.559%1over0.172
Henry BolteATHTaj Bradley1.521%1under0.046
Henry BolteATHTaj Bradley2.54%1under0.001
Jeff McNeilATHTaj Bradley0.561%0under0.371
Jeff McNeilATHTaj Bradley1.521%0under0.045
Jeff McNeilATHTaj Bradley2.54%0under0.002
Lawrence ButlerATHTaj Bradley0.557%2over0.183
Lawrence ButlerATHTaj Bradley1.519%2over0.650
Lawrence ButlerATHTaj Bradley2.53%2under0.001
Tommy WhiteATHTaj Bradley0.560%1over0.163
Tommy WhiteATHTaj Bradley1.520%1under0.040
Tommy WhiteATHTaj Bradley2.54%1under0.001
Zack GelofATHTaj Bradley0.559%0under0.346
Zack GelofATHTaj Bradley1.521%0under0.044
Zack GelofATHTaj Bradley2.53%0under0.001
Corbin CarrollAZClay Holmes0.566%1over0.118
Corbin CarrollAZClay Holmes1.527%1under0.073
Corbin CarrollAZClay Holmes2.56%1under0.004
Gabriel MorenoAZClay Holmes0.566%1over0.114
Gabriel MorenoAZClay Holmes1.526%1under0.069
Gabriel MorenoAZClay Holmes2.55%1under0.003
Geraldo PerdomoAZClay Holmes0.566%2over0.113
Geraldo PerdomoAZClay Holmes1.526%2over0.551
Geraldo PerdomoAZClay Holmes2.57%2under0.005
Ildemaro VargasAZClay Holmes0.562%0under0.380
Ildemaro VargasAZClay Holmes1.526%0under0.067
Ildemaro VargasAZClay Holmes2.55%0under0.002
Jordan LawlarAZClay Holmes0.558%0under0.339
Jordan LawlarAZClay Holmes1.519%0under0.034
Jordan LawlarAZClay Holmes2.53%0under0.001
Lars NootbaarAZClay Holmes0.560%0under0.358
Lars NootbaarAZClay Holmes1.522%0under0.050
Lars NootbaarAZClay Holmes2.55%0under0.002
Max KeplerAZClay Holmes0.555%0under0.304
Max KeplerAZClay Holmes1.518%0under0.034
Max KeplerAZClay Holmes2.53%0under0.001
Nolan ArenadoAZClay Holmes0.563%0under0.392
Nolan ArenadoAZClay Holmes1.523%0under0.055
Nolan ArenadoAZClay Holmes2.56%0under0.003
Tim TawaAZClay Holmes0.562%0under0.383
Tim TawaAZClay Holmes1.523%0under0.054
Tim TawaAZClay Holmes2.55%0under0.002
Alex BregmanCHCBrandon Pfaadt0.566%0under0.440
Alex BregmanCHCBrandon Pfaadt1.527%0under0.072
Alex BregmanCHCBrandon Pfaadt2.56%0under0.003
Ian HappCHCBrandon Pfaadt0.556%1over0.193
Ian HappCHCBrandon Pfaadt1.521%1under0.045
Ian HappCHCBrandon Pfaadt2.55%1under0.002
Michael BuschCHCBrandon Pfaadt0.563%2over0.137
Michael BuschCHCBrandon Pfaadt1.523%2over0.588
Michael BuschCHCBrandon Pfaadt2.55%2under0.003
Michael ConfortoCHCBrandon Pfaadt0.553%1over0.225
Michael ConfortoCHCBrandon Pfaadt1.516%1under0.024
Michael ConfortoCHCBrandon Pfaadt2.53%1under0.001
Miguel AmayaCHCBrandon Pfaadt0.552%0under0.266
Miguel AmayaCHCBrandon Pfaadt1.516%0under0.025
Miguel AmayaCHCBrandon Pfaadt2.53%0under0.001
Nico HoernerCHCBrandon Pfaadt0.566%0under0.432
Nico HoernerCHCBrandon Pfaadt1.528%0under0.079
Nico HoernerCHCBrandon Pfaadt2.56%0under0.004
Pedro RamírezCHCBrandon Pfaadt0.562%1over0.145
Pedro RamírezCHCBrandon Pfaadt1.525%1under0.061
Pedro RamírezCHCBrandon Pfaadt2.55%1under0.002
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHCBrandon Pfaadt0.565%0under0.419
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHCBrandon Pfaadt1.527%0under0.072
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHCBrandon Pfaadt2.56%0under0.003
Seiya SuzukiCHCBrandon Pfaadt0.564%2over0.127
Seiya SuzukiCHCBrandon Pfaadt1.527%2over0.537
Seiya SuzukiCHCBrandon Pfaadt2.55%2under0.003
Elly De La CruzCINAdrian Houser0.565%1over0.125
Elly De La CruzCINAdrian Houser1.527%1under0.073
Elly De La CruzCINAdrian Houser2.56%1under0.004
Eugenio SuárezCINAdrian Houser0.557%0under0.327
Eugenio SuárezCINAdrian Houser1.521%0under0.046
Eugenio SuárezCINAdrian Houser2.54%0under0.002
Héctor RodríguezCINAdrian Houser0.553%1over0.217
Héctor RodríguezCINAdrian Houser1.517%1under0.028
Héctor RodríguezCINAdrian Houser2.53%1under0.001
JJ BledayCINAdrian Houser0.561%1over0.156
JJ BledayCINAdrian Houser1.522%1under0.047
JJ BledayCINAdrian Houser2.55%1under0.002
Ke'Bryan HayesCINAdrian Houser0.551%0under0.262
Ke'Bryan HayesCINAdrian Houser1.515%0under0.023
Ke'Bryan HayesCINAdrian Houser2.52%0under0.001
Matt McLainCINAdrian Houser0.557%0under0.330
Matt McLainCINAdrian Houser1.519%0under0.038
Matt McLainCINAdrian Houser2.54%0under0.002
Sal StewartCINAdrian Houser0.566%1over0.117
Sal StewartCINAdrian Houser1.527%1under0.074
Sal StewartCINAdrian Houser2.56%1under0.004
TJ FriedlCINAdrian Houser0.552%0under0.275
TJ FriedlCINAdrian Houser1.515%0under0.022
TJ FriedlCINAdrian Houser2.52%0under0.001
Tyler StephensonCINAdrian Houser0.561%0under0.366
Tyler StephensonCINAdrian Houser1.521%0under0.046
Tyler StephensonCINAdrian Houser2.55%0under0.002
Angel MartínezCLEWalbert Ureña0.562%voided scratch
Angel MartínezCLEWalbert Ureña1.523%voided scratch
Angel MartínezCLEWalbert Ureña2.55%voided scratch
Brayan RocchioCLEWalbert Ureña0.557%1over0.187
Brayan RocchioCLEWalbert Ureña1.522%1under0.047
Brayan RocchioCLEWalbert Ureña2.54%1under0.002
Jo AdellCLEWalbert Ureña0.557%0under0.330
Jo AdellCLEWalbert Ureña1.520%0under0.040
Jo AdellCLEWalbert Ureña2.54%0under0.001
José RamírezCLEWalbert Ureña0.559%3over0.164
José RamírezCLEWalbert Ureña1.521%3over0.624
José RamírezCLEWalbert Ureña2.55%3over0.912
Nathaniel LoweCLEWalbert Ureña0.561%voided scratch
Nathaniel LoweCLEWalbert Ureña1.523%voided scratch
Nathaniel LoweCLEWalbert Ureña2.55%voided scratch
Patrick BaileyCLEWalbert Ureña0.557%0under0.323
Patrick BaileyCLEWalbert Ureña1.518%0under0.033
Patrick BaileyCLEWalbert Ureña2.53%0under0.001
Petey HalpinCLEWalbert Ureña0.555%1over0.202
Petey HalpinCLEWalbert Ureña1.517%1under0.030
Petey HalpinCLEWalbert Ureña2.53%1under0.001
Steven KwanCLEWalbert Ureña0.561%5over0.155
Steven KwanCLEWalbert Ureña1.520%5over0.632
Steven KwanCLEWalbert Ureña2.55%5over0.911
Travis BazzanaCLEWalbert Ureña0.558%1over0.180
Travis BazzanaCLEWalbert Ureña1.520%1under0.040
Travis BazzanaCLEWalbert Ureña2.53%1under0.001
Adam FrazierLAAGavin Williams0.549%voided scratch
Adam FrazierLAAGavin Williams1.515%voided scratch
Adam FrazierLAAGavin Williams2.52%voided scratch
Christian MooreLAAGavin Williams0.555%1over0.200
Christian MooreLAAGavin Williams1.516%1under0.026
Christian MooreLAAGavin Williams2.53%1under0.001
Denzer GuzmanLAAGavin Williams0.552%1over0.233
Denzer GuzmanLAAGavin Williams1.516%1under0.026
Denzer GuzmanLAAGavin Williams2.53%1under0.001
Gustavo CamperoLAAGavin Williams0.553%1over0.221
Gustavo CamperoLAAGavin Williams1.514%1under0.018
Gustavo CamperoLAAGavin Williams2.52%1under0.001
Josh LoweLAAGavin Williams0.547%1over0.284
Josh LoweLAAGavin Williams1.514%1under0.019
Josh LoweLAAGavin Williams2.52%1under0.000
Mike TroutLAAGavin Williams0.558%2over0.175
Mike TroutLAAGavin Williams1.519%2over0.652
Mike TroutLAAGavin Williams2.54%2under0.001
Moisés BallesterosLAAGavin Williams0.557%0under0.328
Moisés BallesterosLAAGavin Williams1.517%0under0.029
Moisés BallesterosLAAGavin Williams2.53%0under0.001
Vaughn GrissomLAAGavin Williams0.560%2over0.158
Vaughn GrissomLAAGavin Williams1.520%2over0.643
Vaughn GrissomLAAGavin Williams2.53%2under0.001
Zach NetoLAAGavin Williams0.563%1over0.134
Zach NetoLAAGavin Williams1.521%1under0.043
Zach NetoLAAGavin Williams2.53%1under0.001
Brooks LeeMINGage Jump0.560%voided scratch
Brooks LeeMINGage Jump1.522%voided scratch
Brooks LeeMINGage Jump2.53%voided scratch
Byron BuxtonMINGage Jump0.560%0under0.354
Byron BuxtonMINGage Jump1.522%0under0.049
Byron BuxtonMINGage Jump2.54%0under0.002
Kaelen CulpepperMINGage Jump0.552%1over0.229
Kaelen CulpepperMINGage Jump1.519%1under0.035
Kaelen CulpepperMINGage Jump2.53%1under0.001
Kody ClemensMINGage Jump0.559%0under0.344
Kody ClemensMINGage Jump1.521%0under0.042
Kody ClemensMINGage Jump2.54%0under0.001
Luke KeaschallMINGage Jump0.562%0under0.386
Luke KeaschallMINGage Jump1.524%0under0.059
Luke KeaschallMINGage Jump2.55%0under0.002
Royce LewisMINGage Jump0.557%2over0.189
Royce LewisMINGage Jump1.520%2over0.643
Royce LewisMINGage Jump2.53%2under0.001
Ryan JeffersMINGage Jump0.565%0under0.417
Ryan JeffersMINGage Jump1.525%0under0.064
Ryan JeffersMINGage Jump2.55%0under0.003
Ryan KreidlerMINGage Jump0.550%0under0.245
Ryan KreidlerMINGage Jump1.514%0under0.020
Ryan KreidlerMINGage Jump2.52%0under0.001
Victor CaratiniMINGage Jump0.558%0under0.339
Victor CaratiniMINGage Jump1.519%0under0.035
Victor CaratiniMINGage Jump2.53%0under0.001
Alec BohmPHIGeorge Kirby0.563%0under0.402
Alec BohmPHIGeorge Kirby1.527%0under0.074
Alec BohmPHIGeorge Kirby2.56%0under0.004
Brandon MarshPHIGeorge Kirby0.560%1over0.158
Brandon MarshPHIGeorge Kirby1.523%1under0.053
Brandon MarshPHIGeorge Kirby2.55%1under0.002
Bryce HarperPHIGeorge Kirby0.564%2over0.127
Bryce HarperPHIGeorge Kirby1.524%2over0.582
Bryce HarperPHIGeorge Kirby2.54%2under0.002
Bryson StottPHIGeorge Kirby0.564%1over0.130
Bryson StottPHIGeorge Kirby1.526%1under0.066
Bryson StottPHIGeorge Kirby2.56%1under0.003
Garrett StubbsPHIGeorge Kirby0.549%0under0.236
Garrett StubbsPHIGeorge Kirby1.516%0under0.025
Garrett StubbsPHIGeorge Kirby2.53%0under0.001
Justin CrawfordPHIGeorge Kirby0.553%1over0.222
Justin CrawfordPHIGeorge Kirby1.517%1under0.030
Justin CrawfordPHIGeorge Kirby2.54%1under0.001
Kyle SchwarberPHIGeorge Kirby0.563%0under0.400
Kyle SchwarberPHIGeorge Kirby1.524%0under0.056
Kyle SchwarberPHIGeorge Kirby2.55%0under0.002
Luis ArraezPHIGeorge Kirby0.566%1over0.115
Luis ArraezPHIGeorge Kirby1.528%1under0.080
Luis ArraezPHIGeorge Kirby2.58%1under0.006
Trea TurnerPHIGeorge Kirby0.563%0under0.393
Trea TurnerPHIGeorge Kirby1.524%0under0.057
Trea TurnerPHIGeorge Kirby2.55%0under0.003
Brandon LowePITMichael King0.564%0under0.403
Brandon LowePITMichael King1.522%0under0.047
Brandon LowePITMichael King2.54%0under0.002
Bryan ReynoldsPITMichael King0.562%2over0.147
Bryan ReynoldsPITMichael King1.524%2over0.582
Bryan ReynoldsPITMichael King2.55%2under0.003
Henry DavisPITMichael King0.556%0under0.308
Henry DavisPITMichael King1.516%0under0.027
Henry DavisPITMichael King2.52%0under0.001
Jacob GonzalezPITMichael King0.554%0under0.295
Jacob GonzalezPITMichael King1.516%0under0.026
Jacob GonzalezPITMichael King2.53%0under0.001
Jake MangumPITMichael King0.561%voided scratch
Jake MangumPITMichael King1.523%voided scratch
Jake MangumPITMichael King2.55%voided scratch
Jared TrioloPITMichael King0.553%1over0.225
Jared TrioloPITMichael King1.517%1under0.030
Jared TrioloPITMichael King2.53%1under0.001
Nick GonzalesPITMichael King0.564%1over0.131
Nick GonzalesPITMichael King1.526%1under0.068
Nick GonzalesPITMichael King2.56%1under0.004
Oneil CruzPITMichael King0.562%1over0.142
Oneil CruzPITMichael King1.520%1under0.039
Oneil CruzPITMichael King2.54%1under0.001
Spencer HorwitzPITMichael King0.565%1over0.125
Spencer HorwitzPITMichael King1.526%1under0.067
Spencer HorwitzPITMichael King2.56%1under0.004
Dustin HarrisSDPaul Skenes0.552%1over0.235
Dustin HarrisSDPaul Skenes1.515%1under0.021
Dustin HarrisSDPaul Skenes2.52%1under0.001
Fernando Tatis Jr.SDPaul Skenes0.562%1over0.144
Fernando Tatis Jr.SDPaul Skenes1.526%1under0.068
Fernando Tatis Jr.SDPaul Skenes2.54%1under0.002
Jackson MerrillSDPaul Skenes0.555%voided scratch
Jackson MerrillSDPaul Skenes1.518%voided scratch
Jackson MerrillSDPaul Skenes2.53%voided scratch
Jake CronenworthSDPaul Skenes0.557%0under0.324
Jake CronenworthSDPaul Skenes1.519%0under0.036
Jake CronenworthSDPaul Skenes2.53%0under0.001
Luis CampusanoSDPaul Skenes0.553%0under0.286
Luis CampusanoSDPaul Skenes1.517%0under0.030
Luis CampusanoSDPaul Skenes2.53%0under0.001
Luis RengifoSDPaul Skenes0.556%0under0.312
Luis RengifoSDPaul Skenes1.519%0under0.036
Luis RengifoSDPaul Skenes2.54%0under0.001
Manny MachadoSDPaul Skenes0.555%0under0.303
Manny MachadoSDPaul Skenes1.518%0under0.034
Manny MachadoSDPaul Skenes2.53%0under0.001
Ty FranceSDPaul Skenes0.562%0under0.388
Ty FranceSDPaul Skenes1.524%0under0.057
Ty FranceSDPaul Skenes2.54%0under0.002
Xander BogaertsSDPaul Skenes0.552%1over0.234
Xander BogaertsSDPaul Skenes1.517%1under0.030
Xander BogaertsSDPaul Skenes2.53%1under0.001
Brock RoddenSEAAaron Nola0.553%0under0.285
Brock RoddenSEAAaron Nola1.518%0under0.031
Brock RoddenSEAAaron Nola2.53%0under0.001
Cal RaleighSEAAaron Nola0.554%1over0.216
Cal RaleighSEAAaron Nola1.516%1under0.027
Cal RaleighSEAAaron Nola2.53%1under0.001
Cole YoungSEAAaron Nola0.562%0under0.381
Cole YoungSEAAaron Nola1.522%0under0.047
Cole YoungSEAAaron Nola2.55%0under0.002
Dominic CanzoneSEAAaron Nola0.560%1over0.158
Dominic CanzoneSEAAaron Nola1.521%1under0.045
Dominic CanzoneSEAAaron Nola2.54%1under0.002
J.P. CrawfordSEAAaron Nola0.560%1over0.163
J.P. CrawfordSEAAaron Nola1.520%1under0.038
J.P. CrawfordSEAAaron Nola2.54%1under0.001
Josh NaylorSEAAaron Nola0.562%1over0.143
Josh NaylorSEAAaron Nola1.526%1under0.068
Josh NaylorSEAAaron Nola2.55%1under0.003
Julio RodríguezSEAAaron Nola0.560%1over0.158
Julio RodríguezSEAAaron Nola1.523%1under0.052
Julio RodríguezSEAAaron Nola2.54%1under0.002
Randy ArozarenaSEAAaron Nola0.563%0under0.396
Randy ArozarenaSEAAaron Nola1.525%0under0.060
Randy ArozarenaSEAAaron Nola2.55%0under0.002
Taylor WardSEAAaron Nola0.561%0under0.377
Taylor WardSEAAaron Nola1.519%0under0.038
Taylor WardSEAAaron Nola2.54%0under0.002
Christian KossSFBrady Singer0.551%voided scratch
Christian KossSFBrady Singer1.515%voided scratch
Christian KossSFBrady Singer2.53%voided scratch
Drew CavanaughSFBrady Singer0.554%3over0.214
Drew CavanaughSFBrady Singer1.515%3over0.717
Drew CavanaughSFBrady Singer2.53%3over0.950
Drew GilbertSFBrady Singer0.557%voided scratch
Drew GilbertSFBrady Singer1.520%voided scratch
Drew GilbertSFBrady Singer2.54%voided scratch
Grant McCraySFBrady Singer0.551%1over0.239
Grant McCraySFBrady Singer1.514%1under0.021
Grant McCraySFBrady Singer2.52%1under0.000
Jung Hoo LeeSFBrady Singer0.566%1over0.116
Jung Hoo LeeSFBrady Singer1.527%1under0.073
Jung Hoo LeeSFBrady Singer2.56%1under0.003
Rafael DeversSFBrady Singer0.563%1over0.135
Rafael DeversSFBrady Singer1.524%1under0.056
Rafael DeversSFBrady Singer2.55%1under0.003
Shay WhitcombSFBrady Singer0.552%0under0.268
Shay WhitcombSFBrady Singer1.515%0under0.021
Shay WhitcombSFBrady Singer2.53%0under0.001
Turner HillSFBrady Singer0.551%0under0.262
Turner HillSFBrady Singer1.514%0under0.020
Turner HillSFBrady Singer2.52%0under0.001

Home runs

99 graded, 8 voided
BatterTeamOpposing starterLineP(over)ActualResultBrier
Alika WilliamsATHTaj Bradley0.54%0under0.001
Brian ServenATHTaj Bradley0.59%0under0.009
Carlos CortesATHTaj Bradley0.55%1over0.907
Donovan WaltonATHTaj Bradley0.57%0under0.005
Henry BolteATHTaj Bradley0.59%0under0.009
Jeff McNeilATHTaj Bradley0.57%0under0.005
Lawrence ButlerATHTaj Bradley0.511%0under0.011
Tommy WhiteATHTaj Bradley0.57%0under0.005
Zack GelofATHTaj Bradley0.511%0under0.013
Corbin CarrollAZClay Holmes0.59%0under0.009
Gabriel MorenoAZClay Holmes0.510%0under0.009
Geraldo PerdomoAZClay Holmes0.57%0under0.005
Ildemaro VargasAZClay Holmes0.56%0under0.004
Jordan LawlarAZClay Holmes0.56%0under0.003
Lars NootbaarAZClay Holmes0.58%0under0.006
Max KeplerAZClay Holmes0.57%0under0.004
Nolan ArenadoAZClay Holmes0.510%0under0.010
Tim TawaAZClay Holmes0.59%0under0.008
Alex BregmanCHCBrandon Pfaadt0.513%0under0.017
Ian HappCHCBrandon Pfaadt0.510%1over0.810
Michael BuschCHCBrandon Pfaadt0.59%0under0.008
Michael ConfortoCHCBrandon Pfaadt0.57%0under0.005
Miguel AmayaCHCBrandon Pfaadt0.58%0under0.006
Nico HoernerCHCBrandon Pfaadt0.56%0under0.003
Pedro RamírezCHCBrandon Pfaadt0.58%0under0.007
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHCBrandon Pfaadt0.514%0under0.021
Seiya SuzukiCHCBrandon Pfaadt0.511%0under0.013
Elly De La CruzCINAdrian Houser0.513%0under0.017
Eugenio SuárezCINAdrian Houser0.510%0under0.009
Héctor RodríguezCINAdrian Houser0.54%0under0.002
JJ BledayCINAdrian Houser0.59%0under0.008
Ke'Bryan HayesCINAdrian Houser0.57%0under0.004
Matt McLainCINAdrian Houser0.59%0under0.007
Sal StewartCINAdrian Houser0.59%1over0.826
TJ FriedlCINAdrian Houser0.54%0under0.002
Tyler StephensonCINAdrian Houser0.511%0under0.011
Angel MartínezCLEWalbert Ureña0.56%voided scratch
Brayan RocchioCLEWalbert Ureña0.55%0under0.003
Jo AdellCLEWalbert Ureña0.511%0under0.012
José RamírezCLEWalbert Ureña0.55%0under0.003
Nathaniel LoweCLEWalbert Ureña0.58%voided scratch
Patrick BaileyCLEWalbert Ureña0.58%0under0.006
Petey HalpinCLEWalbert Ureña0.54%0under0.002
Steven KwanCLEWalbert Ureña0.52%0under0.000
Travis BazzanaCLEWalbert Ureña0.56%0under0.003
Adam FrazierLAAGavin Williams0.54%voided scratch
Christian MooreLAAGavin Williams0.55%1over0.898
Denzer GuzmanLAAGavin Williams0.54%0under0.002
Gustavo CamperoLAAGavin Williams0.54%0under0.002
Josh LoweLAAGavin Williams0.57%0under0.005
Mike TroutLAAGavin Williams0.56%0under0.004
Moisés BallesterosLAAGavin Williams0.57%0under0.005
Vaughn GrissomLAAGavin Williams0.55%2over0.905
Zach NetoLAAGavin Williams0.510%0under0.011
Brooks LeeMINGage Jump0.510%voided scratch
Byron BuxtonMINGage Jump0.58%0under0.006
Kaelen CulpepperMINGage Jump0.57%0under0.005
Kody ClemensMINGage Jump0.511%0under0.011
Luke KeaschallMINGage Jump0.59%0under0.007
Royce LewisMINGage Jump0.59%0under0.008
Ryan JeffersMINGage Jump0.510%0under0.010
Ryan KreidlerMINGage Jump0.56%0under0.003
Victor CaratiniMINGage Jump0.57%0under0.005
Alec BohmPHIGeorge Kirby0.510%0under0.010
Brandon MarshPHIGeorge Kirby0.58%0under0.006
Bryce HarperPHIGeorge Kirby0.511%0under0.012
Bryson StottPHIGeorge Kirby0.56%0under0.004
Garrett StubbsPHIGeorge Kirby0.55%0under0.002
Justin CrawfordPHIGeorge Kirby0.54%0under0.002
Kyle SchwarberPHIGeorge Kirby0.514%0under0.019
Luis ArraezPHIGeorge Kirby0.56%0under0.003
Trea TurnerPHIGeorge Kirby0.59%0under0.008
Brandon LowePITMichael King0.514%0under0.020
Bryan ReynoldsPITMichael King0.59%0under0.008
Henry DavisPITMichael King0.56%0under0.004
Jacob GonzalezPITMichael King0.57%0under0.005
Jake MangumPITMichael King0.57%voided scratch
Jared TrioloPITMichael King0.54%0under0.002
Nick GonzalesPITMichael King0.55%0under0.002
Oneil CruzPITMichael King0.512%1over0.782
Spencer HorwitzPITMichael King0.56%0under0.004
Dustin HarrisSDPaul Skenes0.52%0under0.001
Fernando Tatis Jr.SDPaul Skenes0.513%0under0.018
Jackson MerrillSDPaul Skenes0.510%voided scratch
Jake CronenworthSDPaul Skenes0.54%0under0.002
Luis CampusanoSDPaul Skenes0.56%0under0.004
Luis RengifoSDPaul Skenes0.55%0under0.002
Manny MachadoSDPaul Skenes0.59%0under0.008
Ty FranceSDPaul Skenes0.59%0under0.008
Xander BogaertsSDPaul Skenes0.57%0under0.004
Brock RoddenSEAAaron Nola0.57%0under0.005
Cal RaleighSEAAaron Nola0.510%1over0.814
Cole YoungSEAAaron Nola0.56%0under0.004
Dominic CanzoneSEAAaron Nola0.59%0under0.008
J.P. CrawfordSEAAaron Nola0.55%0under0.002
Josh NaylorSEAAaron Nola0.57%0under0.005
Julio RodríguezSEAAaron Nola0.59%0under0.008
Randy ArozarenaSEAAaron Nola0.511%0under0.013
Taylor WardSEAAaron Nola0.57%0under0.005
Christian KossSFBrady Singer0.55%voided scratch
Drew CavanaughSFBrady Singer0.53%0under0.001
Drew GilbertSFBrady Singer0.58%voided scratch
Grant McCraySFBrady Singer0.54%0under0.002
Jung Hoo LeeSFBrady Singer0.56%0under0.004
Rafael DeversSFBrady Singer0.511%1over0.800
Shay WhitcombSFBrady Singer0.58%0under0.007
Turner HillSFBrady Singer0.55%0under0.002

Brier is the squared error of a probability (0 perfect, 0.25 a coin flip, 1 confidently wrong). Totals are scored by CRPS over the whole distribution instead, so the two are not comparable. Machine-readable versions of everything here are in the raw artifacts.