2026-08-27
Every probability published for this slate, beside what actually happened. Published before first pitch, graded that night, never edited. Rows that show a void carry the reason; they stay on the record rather than being removed.
Strikeouts
94 graded| Pitcher | Team | Opp | Line | P(over) | K | Result | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale | ATL | LAD | 3.5 | 91% | 11 | over | 0.009 |
| Chris Sale | ATL | LAD | 4.5 | 82% | 11 | over | 0.034 |
| Chris Sale | ATL | LAD | 5.5 | 70% | 11 | over | 0.091 |
| Chris Sale | ATL | LAD | 6.5 | 57% | 11 | over | 0.186 |
| Chris Sale | ATL | LAD | 7.5 | 45% | 11 | over | 0.306 |
| Chris Sale | ATL | LAD | 8.5 | 34% | 11 | over | 0.430 |
| Chris Sale | ATL | LAD | 9.5 | 26% | 11 | over | 0.546 |
| Chris Sale | ATL | LAD | 10.5 | 19% | 11 | over | 0.661 |
| Gabriel Hughes | COL | WSH | 1.5 | 90% | 3 | over | 0.010 |
| Gabriel Hughes | COL | WSH | 2.5 | 76% | 3 | over | 0.060 |
| Gabriel Hughes | COL | WSH | 3.5 | 57% | 3 | under | 0.320 |
| Gabriel Hughes | COL | WSH | 4.5 | 38% | 3 | under | 0.141 |
| Gabriel Hughes | COL | WSH | 5.5 | 22% | 3 | under | 0.047 |
| Gabriel Hughes | COL | WSH | 6.5 | 11% | 3 | under | 0.011 |
| Gabriel Hughes | COL | WSH | 7.5 | 5% | 3 | under | 0.002 |
| Gerrit Cole | NYY | HOU | 3.5 | 84% | 5 | over | 0.026 |
| Gerrit Cole | NYY | HOU | 4.5 | 70% | 5 | over | 0.088 |
| Gerrit Cole | NYY | HOU | 5.5 | 54% | 5 | under | 0.296 |
| Gerrit Cole | NYY | HOU | 6.5 | 39% | 5 | under | 0.153 |
| Gerrit Cole | NYY | HOU | 7.5 | 26% | 5 | under | 0.069 |
| Gerrit Cole | NYY | HOU | 8.5 | 17% | 5 | under | 0.028 |
| Gerrit Cole | NYY | HOU | 9.5 | 10% | 5 | under | 0.010 |
| Hayden Wesneski | HOU | NYY | 2.5 | 84% | 6 | over | 0.024 |
| Hayden Wesneski | HOU | NYY | 3.5 | 70% | 6 | over | 0.093 |
| Hayden Wesneski | HOU | NYY | 4.5 | 52% | 6 | over | 0.227 |
| Hayden Wesneski | HOU | NYY | 5.5 | 36% | 6 | over | 0.410 |
| Hayden Wesneski | HOU | NYY | 6.5 | 22% | 6 | under | 0.050 |
| Hayden Wesneski | HOU | NYY | 7.5 | 13% | 6 | under | 0.016 |
| Hayden Wesneski | HOU | NYY | 8.5 | 7% | 6 | under | 0.005 |
| Jacob Misiorowski | MIL | NYM | 3.5 | 87% | 6 | over | 0.018 |
| Jacob Misiorowski | MIL | NYM | 4.5 | 75% | 6 | over | 0.063 |
| Jacob Misiorowski | MIL | NYM | 5.5 | 61% | 6 | over | 0.155 |
| Jacob Misiorowski | MIL | NYM | 6.5 | 46% | 6 | under | 0.212 |
| Jacob Misiorowski | MIL | NYM | 7.5 | 33% | 6 | under | 0.111 |
| Jacob Misiorowski | MIL | NYM | 8.5 | 23% | 6 | under | 0.055 |
| Jacob Misiorowski | MIL | NYM | 9.5 | 16% | 6 | under | 0.024 |
| Jacob Misiorowski | MIL | NYM | 10.5 | 10% | 6 | under | 0.009 |
| Jake Irvin | WSH | COL | 2.5 | 84% | 6 | over | 0.026 |
| Jake Irvin | WSH | COL | 3.5 | 68% | 6 | over | 0.100 |
| Jake Irvin | WSH | COL | 4.5 | 51% | 6 | over | 0.242 |
| Jake Irvin | WSH | COL | 5.5 | 34% | 6 | over | 0.433 |
| Jake Irvin | WSH | COL | 6.5 | 21% | 6 | under | 0.043 |
| Jake Irvin | WSH | COL | 7.5 | 11% | 6 | under | 0.013 |
| Jake Irvin | WSH | COL | 8.5 | 6% | 6 | under | 0.003 |
| Jose Cabrera | AZ | SF | 1.5 | 88% | 4 | over | 0.015 |
| Jose Cabrera | AZ | SF | 2.5 | 71% | 4 | over | 0.086 |
| Jose Cabrera | AZ | SF | 3.5 | 50% | 4 | over | 0.247 |
| Jose Cabrera | AZ | SF | 4.5 | 31% | 4 | under | 0.097 |
| Jose Cabrera | AZ | SF | 5.5 | 16% | 4 | under | 0.027 |
| Jose Cabrera | AZ | SF | 6.5 | 7% | 4 | under | 0.005 |
| Jose Cabrera | AZ | SF | 7.5 | 3% | 4 | under | 0.001 |
| Landen Roupp | SF | AZ | 2.5 | 82% | 3 | over | 0.031 |
| Landen Roupp | SF | AZ | 3.5 | 66% | 3 | under | 0.435 |
| Landen Roupp | SF | AZ | 4.5 | 48% | 3 | under | 0.227 |
| Landen Roupp | SF | AZ | 5.5 | 31% | 3 | under | 0.095 |
| Landen Roupp | SF | AZ | 6.5 | 18% | 3 | under | 0.032 |
| Landen Roupp | SF | AZ | 7.5 | 9% | 3 | under | 0.008 |
| Landen Roupp | SF | AZ | 8.5 | 4% | 3 | under | 0.002 |
| Noah Cameron | KC | TOR | 2.5 | 86% | 3 | over | 0.019 |
| Noah Cameron | KC | TOR | 3.5 | 72% | 3 | under | 0.521 |
| Noah Cameron | KC | TOR | 4.5 | 55% | 3 | under | 0.303 |
| Noah Cameron | KC | TOR | 5.5 | 38% | 3 | under | 0.146 |
| Noah Cameron | KC | TOR | 6.5 | 24% | 3 | under | 0.058 |
| Noah Cameron | KC | TOR | 7.5 | 14% | 3 | under | 0.019 |
| Noah Cameron | KC | TOR | 8.5 | 7% | 3 | under | 0.005 |
| Sean Manaea | NYM | MIL | 3.5 | 86% | 3 | under | 0.747 |
| Sean Manaea | NYM | MIL | 4.5 | 76% | 3 | under | 0.574 |
| Sean Manaea | NYM | MIL | 5.5 | 63% | 3 | under | 0.401 |
| Sean Manaea | NYM | MIL | 6.5 | 51% | 3 | under | 0.257 |
| Sean Manaea | NYM | MIL | 7.5 | 40% | 3 | under | 0.156 |
| Sean Manaea | NYM | MIL | 8.5 | 30% | 3 | under | 0.093 |
| Sean Manaea | NYM | MIL | 9.5 | 23% | 3 | under | 0.052 |
| Sean Manaea | NYM | MIL | 10.5 | 16% | 3 | under | 0.026 |
| Spencer Arrighetti | TOR | KC | 1.5 | 92% | 4 | over | 0.006 |
| Spencer Arrighetti | TOR | KC | 2.5 | 79% | 4 | over | 0.043 |
| Spencer Arrighetti | TOR | KC | 3.5 | 62% | 4 | over | 0.147 |
| Spencer Arrighetti | TOR | KC | 4.5 | 43% | 4 | under | 0.184 |
| Spencer Arrighetti | TOR | KC | 5.5 | 27% | 4 | under | 0.070 |
| Spencer Arrighetti | TOR | KC | 6.5 | 14% | 4 | under | 0.020 |
| Spencer Arrighetti | TOR | KC | 7.5 | 7% | 4 | under | 0.005 |
| Trevor Rogers | BAL | STL | 2.5 | 87% | 7 | over | 0.017 |
| Trevor Rogers | BAL | STL | 3.5 | 72% | 7 | over | 0.076 |
| Trevor Rogers | BAL | STL | 4.5 | 54% | 7 | over | 0.208 |
| Trevor Rogers | BAL | STL | 5.5 | 37% | 7 | over | 0.401 |
| Trevor Rogers | BAL | STL | 6.5 | 22% | 7 | over | 0.608 |
| Trevor Rogers | BAL | STL | 7.5 | 12% | 7 | under | 0.014 |
| Trevor Rogers | BAL | STL | 8.5 | 6% | 7 | under | 0.003 |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | ATL | 3.5 | 81% | 8 | over | 0.036 |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | ATL | 4.5 | 66% | 8 | over | 0.113 |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | ATL | 5.5 | 50% | 8 | over | 0.245 |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | ATL | 6.5 | 36% | 8 | over | 0.415 |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | ATL | 7.5 | 24% | 8 | over | 0.585 |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | ATL | 8.5 | 15% | 8 | under | 0.021 |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | ATL | 9.5 | 8% | 8 | under | 0.007 |
Hits
354 graded, 24 voided| Batter | Team | Opposing starter | Line | P(over) | Actual | Result | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.5 | 56% | 0 | under | 0.309 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 1.5 | 18% | 0 | under | 0.034 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Drake Baldwin | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.5 | 63% | 1 | over | 0.140 |
| Drake Baldwin | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 1.5 | 24% | 1 | under | 0.057 |
| Drake Baldwin | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 2.5 | 5% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.5 | 48% | 1 | over | 0.275 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 1.5 | 13% | 1 | under | 0.016 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 2.5 | 2% | 1 | under | 0.000 |
| Lane Thomas | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.5 | 51% | 0 | under | 0.255 |
| Lane Thomas | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 1.5 | 15% | 0 | under | 0.021 |
| Lane Thomas | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 2.5 | 2% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.5 | 61% | 0 | under | 0.368 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 1.5 | 21% | 0 | under | 0.046 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Mauricio Dubón | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.5 | 62% | 0 | under | 0.386 |
| Mauricio Dubón | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 1.5 | 23% | 0 | under | 0.051 |
| Mauricio Dubón | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.5 | 64% | 1 | over | 0.127 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 1.5 | 24% | 1 | under | 0.057 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 2.5 | 5% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.5 | 55% | 0 | under | 0.302 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 1.5 | 16% | 0 | under | 0.025 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Ozzie Albies | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.5 | 61% | 1 | over | 0.149 |
| Ozzie Albies | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 1.5 | 22% | 1 | under | 0.049 |
| Ozzie Albies | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Corbin Carroll | AZ | Landen Roupp | 0.5 | 60% | 0 | under | 0.363 |
| Corbin Carroll | AZ | Landen Roupp | 1.5 | 21% | 0 | under | 0.042 |
| Corbin Carroll | AZ | Landen Roupp | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Gabriel Moreno | AZ | Landen Roupp | 0.5 | 64% | 1 | over | 0.126 |
| Gabriel Moreno | AZ | Landen Roupp | 1.5 | 24% | 1 | under | 0.059 |
| Gabriel Moreno | AZ | Landen Roupp | 2.5 | 5% | 1 | under | 0.003 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | AZ | Landen Roupp | 0.5 | 61% | 2 | over | 0.150 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | AZ | Landen Roupp | 1.5 | 21% | 2 | over | 0.625 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | AZ | Landen Roupp | 2.5 | 5% | 2 | under | 0.002 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | AZ | Landen Roupp | 0.5 | 61% | 0 | under | 0.373 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | AZ | Landen Roupp | 1.5 | 22% | 0 | under | 0.049 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | AZ | Landen Roupp | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Lars Nootbaar | AZ | Landen Roupp | 0.5 | 57% | 1 | over | 0.187 |
| Lars Nootbaar | AZ | Landen Roupp | 1.5 | 19% | 1 | under | 0.038 |
| Lars Nootbaar | AZ | Landen Roupp | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Max Kepler | AZ | Landen Roupp | 0.5 | 55% | 1 | over | 0.199 |
| Max Kepler | AZ | Landen Roupp | 1.5 | 19% | 1 | under | 0.035 |
| Max Kepler | AZ | Landen Roupp | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Nolan Arenado | AZ | Landen Roupp | 0.5 | 59% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Nolan Arenado | AZ | Landen Roupp | 1.5 | 20% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Nolan Arenado | AZ | Landen Roupp | 2.5 | 3% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | AZ | Landen Roupp | 0.5 | 56% | 0 | under | 0.316 |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | AZ | Landen Roupp | 1.5 | 18% | 0 | under | 0.031 |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | AZ | Landen Roupp | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Tim Tawa | AZ | Landen Roupp | 0.5 | 58% | 0 | under | 0.333 |
| Tim Tawa | AZ | Landen Roupp | 1.5 | 20% | 0 | under | 0.038 |
| Tim Tawa | AZ | Landen Roupp | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 0.5 | 66% | 2 | over | 0.118 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 1.5 | 27% | 2 | over | 0.526 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 2.5 | 6% | 2 | under | 0.004 |
| Coby Mayo | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 0.5 | 58% | 1 | over | 0.177 |
| Coby Mayo | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 1.5 | 22% | 1 | under | 0.047 |
| Coby Mayo | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Colton Cowser | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 0.5 | 57% | 1 | over | 0.187 |
| Colton Cowser | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 1.5 | 20% | 1 | under | 0.041 |
| Colton Cowser | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Dylan Beavers | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 0.5 | 61% | 0 | under | 0.378 |
| Dylan Beavers | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 1.5 | 21% | 0 | under | 0.044 |
| Dylan Beavers | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Gunnar Henderson | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 0.5 | 65% | 1 | over | 0.121 |
| Gunnar Henderson | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 1.5 | 26% | 1 | under | 0.067 |
| Gunnar Henderson | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 2.5 | 6% | 1 | under | 0.003 |
| Jackson Holliday | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 0.5 | 62% | 2 | over | 0.148 |
| Jackson Holliday | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 1.5 | 22% | 2 | over | 0.604 |
| Jackson Holliday | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 2.5 | 5% | 2 | under | 0.003 |
| Leody Taveras | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 0.5 | 58% | 0 | under | 0.339 |
| Leody Taveras | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 1.5 | 21% | 0 | under | 0.044 |
| Leody Taveras | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Pete Alonso | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 0.5 | 65% | 0 | under | 0.417 |
| Pete Alonso | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 1.5 | 31% | 0 | under | 0.093 |
| Pete Alonso | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 2.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| Samuel Basallo | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 0.5 | 59% | 0 | under | 0.343 |
| Samuel Basallo | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 1.5 | 19% | 0 | under | 0.038 |
| Samuel Basallo | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Brett Sullivan | COL | Jake Irvin | 0.5 | 57% | 1 | over | 0.181 |
| Brett Sullivan | COL | Jake Irvin | 1.5 | 19% | 1 | under | 0.036 |
| Brett Sullivan | COL | Jake Irvin | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Cole Carrigg | COL | Jake Irvin | 0.5 | 63% | 0 | under | 0.391 |
| Cole Carrigg | COL | Jake Irvin | 1.5 | 23% | 0 | under | 0.055 |
| Cole Carrigg | COL | Jake Irvin | 2.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Connor Norby | COL | Jake Irvin | 0.5 | 57% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Connor Norby | COL | Jake Irvin | 1.5 | 20% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Connor Norby | COL | Jake Irvin | 2.5 | 3% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Ezequiel Tovar | COL | Jake Irvin | 0.5 | 52% | 0 | under | 0.273 |
| Ezequiel Tovar | COL | Jake Irvin | 1.5 | 15% | 0 | under | 0.023 |
| Ezequiel Tovar | COL | Jake Irvin | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Jake McCarthy | COL | Jake Irvin | 0.5 | 63% | 0 | under | 0.391 |
| Jake McCarthy | COL | Jake Irvin | 1.5 | 24% | 0 | under | 0.058 |
| Jake McCarthy | COL | Jake Irvin | 2.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| TJ Rumfield | COL | Jake Irvin | 0.5 | 63% | — | voided scratch | — |
| TJ Rumfield | COL | Jake Irvin | 1.5 | 24% | — | voided scratch | — |
| TJ Rumfield | COL | Jake Irvin | 2.5 | 5% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Troy Johnston | COL | Jake Irvin | 0.5 | 60% | 1 | over | 0.159 |
| Troy Johnston | COL | Jake Irvin | 1.5 | 22% | 1 | under | 0.046 |
| Troy Johnston | COL | Jake Irvin | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Willi Castro | COL | Jake Irvin | 0.5 | 60% | 1 | over | 0.157 |
| Willi Castro | COL | Jake Irvin | 1.5 | 24% | 1 | under | 0.056 |
| Willi Castro | COL | Jake Irvin | 2.5 | 5% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Zac Veen | COL | Jake Irvin | 0.5 | 48% | 0 | under | 0.230 |
| Zac Veen | COL | Jake Irvin | 1.5 | 13% | 0 | under | 0.016 |
| Zac Veen | COL | Jake Irvin | 2.5 | 2% | 0 | under | 0.000 |
| Cam Smith | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 0.5 | 54% | 0 | under | 0.292 |
| Cam Smith | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 1.5 | 15% | 0 | under | 0.023 |
| Cam Smith | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 2.5 | 2% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Christian Walker | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 0.5 | 58% | 3 | over | 0.176 |
| Christian Walker | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 1.5 | 20% | 3 | over | 0.638 |
| Christian Walker | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 2.5 | 4% | 3 | over | 0.925 |
| Daulton Varsho | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 0.5 | 59% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Daulton Varsho | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 1.5 | 21% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Daulton Varsho | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 2.5 | 5% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Isaac Paredes | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 0.5 | 61% | 2 | over | 0.153 |
| Isaac Paredes | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 1.5 | 23% | 2 | over | 0.594 |
| Isaac Paredes | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 2.5 | 4% | 2 | under | 0.002 |
| Jeremy Peña | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 0.5 | 59% | 1 | over | 0.168 |
| Jeremy Peña | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 1.5 | 21% | 1 | under | 0.042 |
| Jeremy Peña | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 0.5 | 60% | 0 | under | 0.359 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 1.5 | 22% | 0 | under | 0.048 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 2.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Taylor Trammell | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 0.5 | 52% | 1 | over | 0.227 |
| Taylor Trammell | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 1.5 | 15% | 1 | under | 0.021 |
| Taylor Trammell | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Yainer Diaz | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 0.5 | 61% | 1 | over | 0.156 |
| Yainer Diaz | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 1.5 | 22% | 1 | under | 0.049 |
| Yainer Diaz | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 0.5 | 63% | 0 | under | 0.394 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 1.5 | 24% | 0 | under | 0.058 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 2.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.5 | 63% | 2 | over | 0.138 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 1.5 | 24% | 2 | over | 0.583 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 2.5 | 6% | 2 | under | 0.003 |
| Carter Jensen | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.5 | 59% | 1 | over | 0.165 |
| Carter Jensen | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 1.5 | 20% | 1 | under | 0.041 |
| Carter Jensen | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Isaac Collins | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.5 | 59% | 1 | over | 0.167 |
| Isaac Collins | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 1.5 | 20% | 1 | under | 0.039 |
| Isaac Collins | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Jac Caglianone | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.5 | 60% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Jac Caglianone | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 1.5 | 22% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Jac Caglianone | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 2.5 | 4% | — | voided scratch | — |
| John Rave | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.5 | 57% | 0 | under | 0.326 |
| John Rave | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 1.5 | 18% | 0 | under | 0.034 |
| John Rave | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Josh Rojas | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.5 | 52% | 1 | over | 0.227 |
| Josh Rojas | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 1.5 | 16% | 1 | under | 0.025 |
| Josh Rojas | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Kyle Isbel | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.5 | 58% | 1 | over | 0.178 |
| Kyle Isbel | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 1.5 | 20% | 1 | under | 0.039 |
| Kyle Isbel | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.5 | 59% | 1 | over | 0.165 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 1.5 | 20% | 1 | under | 0.041 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.5 | 63% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 1.5 | 23% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 2.5 | 4% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Alex Call | LAD | Chris Sale | 0.5 | 53% | 0 | under | 0.284 |
| Alex Call | LAD | Chris Sale | 1.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.019 |
| Alex Call | LAD | Chris Sale | 2.5 | 2% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Ben Rortvedt | LAD | Chris Sale | 0.5 | 47% | 1 | over | 0.282 |
| Ben Rortvedt | LAD | Chris Sale | 1.5 | 14% | 1 | under | 0.020 |
| Ben Rortvedt | LAD | Chris Sale | 2.5 | 2% | 1 | under | 0.000 |
| Enrique Hernández | LAD | Chris Sale | 0.5 | 50% | 0 | under | 0.251 |
| Enrique Hernández | LAD | Chris Sale | 1.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.019 |
| Enrique Hernández | LAD | Chris Sale | 2.5 | 2% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Chris Sale | 0.5 | 63% | 1 | over | 0.139 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Chris Sale | 1.5 | 24% | 1 | under | 0.056 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Chris Sale | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Miguel Rojas | LAD | Chris Sale | 0.5 | 55% | 1 | over | 0.199 |
| Miguel Rojas | LAD | Chris Sale | 1.5 | 17% | 1 | under | 0.029 |
| Miguel Rojas | LAD | Chris Sale | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | Chris Sale | 0.5 | 61% | 2 | over | 0.156 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | Chris Sale | 1.5 | 21% | 2 | over | 0.629 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | Chris Sale | 2.5 | 4% | 2 | under | 0.002 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAD | Chris Sale | 0.5 | 63% | 0 | under | 0.393 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAD | Chris Sale | 1.5 | 22% | 0 | under | 0.048 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAD | Chris Sale | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Teoscar Hernández | LAD | Chris Sale | 0.5 | 55% | 0 | under | 0.299 |
| Teoscar Hernández | LAD | Chris Sale | 1.5 | 18% | 0 | under | 0.032 |
| Teoscar Hernández | LAD | Chris Sale | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Tommy Edman | LAD | Chris Sale | 0.5 | 61% | 0 | under | 0.376 |
| Tommy Edman | LAD | Chris Sale | 1.5 | 23% | 0 | under | 0.051 |
| Tommy Edman | LAD | Chris Sale | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Andrew Vaughn | MIL | Sean Manaea | 0.5 | 59% | 2 | over | 0.166 |
| Andrew Vaughn | MIL | Sean Manaea | 1.5 | 22% | 2 | over | 0.615 |
| Andrew Vaughn | MIL | Sean Manaea | 2.5 | 4% | 2 | under | 0.002 |
| Cooper Pratt | MIL | Sean Manaea | 0.5 | 52% | 1 | over | 0.226 |
| Cooper Pratt | MIL | Sean Manaea | 1.5 | 17% | 1 | under | 0.028 |
| Cooper Pratt | MIL | Sean Manaea | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| David Hamilton | MIL | Sean Manaea | 0.5 | 56% | 2 | over | 0.192 |
| David Hamilton | MIL | Sean Manaea | 1.5 | 19% | 2 | over | 0.651 |
| David Hamilton | MIL | Sean Manaea | 2.5 | 3% | 2 | under | 0.001 |
| Gary Sánchez | MIL | Sean Manaea | 0.5 | 56% | 0 | under | 0.318 |
| Gary Sánchez | MIL | Sean Manaea | 1.5 | 19% | 0 | under | 0.035 |
| Gary Sánchez | MIL | Sean Manaea | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Jackson Chourio | MIL | Sean Manaea | 0.5 | 63% | 4 | over | 0.136 |
| Jackson Chourio | MIL | Sean Manaea | 1.5 | 26% | 4 | over | 0.553 |
| Jackson Chourio | MIL | Sean Manaea | 2.5 | 7% | 4 | over | 0.862 |
| Joey Ortiz | MIL | Sean Manaea | 0.5 | 59% | 2 | over | 0.170 |
| Joey Ortiz | MIL | Sean Manaea | 1.5 | 20% | 2 | over | 0.645 |
| Joey Ortiz | MIL | Sean Manaea | 2.5 | 4% | 2 | under | 0.001 |
| Luis Lara | MIL | Sean Manaea | 0.5 | 61% | 1 | over | 0.155 |
| Luis Lara | MIL | Sean Manaea | 1.5 | 22% | 1 | under | 0.050 |
| Luis Lara | MIL | Sean Manaea | 2.5 | 5% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Sal Frelick | MIL | Sean Manaea | 0.5 | 56% | 0 | under | 0.315 |
| Sal Frelick | MIL | Sean Manaea | 1.5 | 20% | 0 | under | 0.040 |
| Sal Frelick | MIL | Sean Manaea | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| William Contreras | MIL | Sean Manaea | 0.5 | 63% | 0 | under | 0.395 |
| William Contreras | MIL | Sean Manaea | 1.5 | 25% | 0 | under | 0.061 |
| William Contreras | MIL | Sean Manaea | 2.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| A.J. Ewing | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 0.5 | 57% | 0 | under | 0.323 |
| A.J. Ewing | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 1.5 | 19% | 0 | under | 0.035 |
| A.J. Ewing | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Brett Baty | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 0.5 | 50% | 0 | under | 0.253 |
| Brett Baty | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 1.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.021 |
| Brett Baty | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 2.5 | 2% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Carson Benge | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 0.5 | 58% | 0 | under | 0.341 |
| Carson Benge | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 1.5 | 24% | 0 | under | 0.057 |
| Carson Benge | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Christopher Morel | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 0.5 | 50% | 1 | over | 0.250 |
| Christopher Morel | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 1.5 | 14% | 1 | under | 0.018 |
| Christopher Morel | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 2.5 | 2% | 1 | under | 0.000 |
| Francisco Alvarez | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 0.5 | 51% | 0 | under | 0.258 |
| Francisco Alvarez | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 1.5 | 15% | 0 | under | 0.024 |
| Francisco Alvarez | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 0.5 | 57% | 0 | under | 0.322 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 1.5 | 19% | 0 | under | 0.035 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Jared Young | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 0.5 | 57% | 1 | over | 0.187 |
| Jared Young | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 1.5 | 17% | 1 | under | 0.030 |
| Jared Young | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Luis Robert Jr. | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 0.5 | 54% | 1 | over | 0.208 |
| Luis Robert Jr. | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 1.5 | 18% | 1 | under | 0.032 |
| Luis Robert Jr. | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Marcus Semien | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 0.5 | 51% | 0 | under | 0.263 |
| Marcus Semien | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 1.5 | 16% | 0 | under | 0.027 |
| Marcus Semien | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Austin Wells | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 0.5 | 58% | 0 | under | 0.336 |
| Austin Wells | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 1.5 | 17% | 0 | under | 0.029 |
| Austin Wells | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Ben Rice | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 0.5 | 63% | 2 | over | 0.140 |
| Ben Rice | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 1.5 | 24% | 2 | over | 0.582 |
| Ben Rice | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 2.5 | 4% | 2 | under | 0.002 |
| Cody Bellinger | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 0.5 | 63% | 0 | under | 0.402 |
| Cody Bellinger | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 1.5 | 20% | 0 | under | 0.042 |
| Cody Bellinger | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| George Lombard Jr. | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 0.5 | 59% | 1 | over | 0.169 |
| George Lombard Jr. | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 1.5 | 21% | 1 | under | 0.044 |
| George Lombard Jr. | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 0.5 | 59% | 1 | over | 0.167 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 1.5 | 21% | 1 | under | 0.043 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| José Caballero | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 0.5 | 56% | 1 | over | 0.195 |
| José Caballero | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 1.5 | 18% | 1 | under | 0.034 |
| José Caballero | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Luis García Jr. | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 0.5 | 65% | 0 | under | 0.418 |
| Luis García Jr. | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 1.5 | 26% | 0 | under | 0.068 |
| Luis García Jr. | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 2.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Spencer Jones | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 0.5 | 54% | 0 | under | 0.296 |
| Spencer Jones | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 1.5 | 17% | 0 | under | 0.030 |
| Spencer Jones | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Trent Grisham | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 0.5 | 64% | 0 | under | 0.403 |
| Trent Grisham | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 1.5 | 24% | 0 | under | 0.059 |
| Trent Grisham | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 2.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Bryce Eldridge | SF | Jose Cabrera | 0.5 | 63% | 1 | over | 0.139 |
| Bryce Eldridge | SF | Jose Cabrera | 1.5 | 24% | 1 | under | 0.058 |
| Bryce Eldridge | SF | Jose Cabrera | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Christian Koss | SF | Jose Cabrera | 0.5 | 57% | 0 | under | 0.327 |
| Christian Koss | SF | Jose Cabrera | 1.5 | 20% | 0 | under | 0.042 |
| Christian Koss | SF | Jose Cabrera | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Drew Cavanaugh | SF | Jose Cabrera | 0.5 | 60% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Drew Cavanaugh | SF | Jose Cabrera | 1.5 | 19% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Drew Cavanaugh | SF | Jose Cabrera | 2.5 | 3% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Drew Gilbert | SF | Jose Cabrera | 0.5 | 62% | 1 | over | 0.145 |
| Drew Gilbert | SF | Jose Cabrera | 1.5 | 24% | 1 | under | 0.056 |
| Drew Gilbert | SF | Jose Cabrera | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Jonah Cox | SF | Jose Cabrera | 0.5 | 55% | 2 | over | 0.203 |
| Jonah Cox | SF | Jose Cabrera | 1.5 | 17% | 2 | over | 0.681 |
| Jonah Cox | SF | Jose Cabrera | 2.5 | 3% | 2 | under | 0.001 |
| Nate Furman | SF | Jose Cabrera | 0.5 | 55% | 0 | under | 0.299 |
| Nate Furman | SF | Jose Cabrera | 1.5 | 16% | 0 | under | 0.026 |
| Nate Furman | SF | Jose Cabrera | 2.5 | 2% | 0 | under | 0.000 |
| Rafael Devers | SF | Jose Cabrera | 0.5 | 65% | 2 | over | 0.123 |
| Rafael Devers | SF | Jose Cabrera | 1.5 | 26% | 2 | over | 0.544 |
| Rafael Devers | SF | Jose Cabrera | 2.5 | 6% | 2 | under | 0.003 |
| Shay Whitcomb | SF | Jose Cabrera | 0.5 | 59% | 0 | under | 0.345 |
| Shay Whitcomb | SF | Jose Cabrera | 1.5 | 17% | 0 | under | 0.030 |
| Shay Whitcomb | SF | Jose Cabrera | 2.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Turner Hill | SF | Jose Cabrera | 0.5 | 55% | 1 | over | 0.203 |
| Turner Hill | SF | Jose Cabrera | 1.5 | 21% | 1 | under | 0.043 |
| Turner Hill | SF | Jose Cabrera | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Alec Burleson | STL | Trevor Rogers | 0.5 | 65% | 2 | over | 0.122 |
| Alec Burleson | STL | Trevor Rogers | 1.5 | 25% | 2 | over | 0.560 |
| Alec Burleson | STL | Trevor Rogers | 2.5 | 5% | 2 | under | 0.003 |
| Blaze Jordan | STL | Trevor Rogers | 0.5 | 61% | 1 | over | 0.148 |
| Blaze Jordan | STL | Trevor Rogers | 1.5 | 23% | 1 | under | 0.051 |
| Blaze Jordan | STL | Trevor Rogers | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Iván Herrera | STL | Trevor Rogers | 0.5 | 63% | 0 | under | 0.397 |
| Iván Herrera | STL | Trevor Rogers | 1.5 | 24% | 0 | under | 0.058 |
| Iván Herrera | STL | Trevor Rogers | 2.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Jordan Walker | STL | Trevor Rogers | 0.5 | 63% | 2 | over | 0.138 |
| Jordan Walker | STL | Trevor Rogers | 1.5 | 24% | 2 | over | 0.573 |
| Jordan Walker | STL | Trevor Rogers | 2.5 | 5% | 2 | under | 0.003 |
| Joshua Báez | STL | Trevor Rogers | 0.5 | 57% | 1 | over | 0.182 |
| Joshua Báez | STL | Trevor Rogers | 1.5 | 18% | 1 | under | 0.031 |
| Joshua Báez | STL | Trevor Rogers | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| José Fermín | STL | Trevor Rogers | 0.5 | 58% | 1 | over | 0.172 |
| José Fermín | STL | Trevor Rogers | 1.5 | 19% | 1 | under | 0.038 |
| José Fermín | STL | Trevor Rogers | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Nathan Church | STL | Trevor Rogers | 0.5 | 59% | 1 | over | 0.167 |
| Nathan Church | STL | Trevor Rogers | 1.5 | 21% | 1 | under | 0.045 |
| Nathan Church | STL | Trevor Rogers | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Pedro Pagés | STL | Trevor Rogers | 0.5 | 54% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Pedro Pagés | STL | Trevor Rogers | 1.5 | 17% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Pedro Pagés | STL | Trevor Rogers | 2.5 | 3% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Ramón Urías | STL | Trevor Rogers | 0.5 | 55% | 1 | over | 0.203 |
| Ramón Urías | STL | Trevor Rogers | 1.5 | 16% | 1 | under | 0.024 |
| Ramón Urías | STL | Trevor Rogers | 2.5 | 2% | 1 | under | 0.000 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | Noah Cameron | 0.5 | 64% | 1 | over | 0.129 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | Noah Cameron | 1.5 | 24% | 1 | under | 0.060 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | Noah Cameron | 2.5 | 5% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Charles McAdoo | TOR | Noah Cameron | 0.5 | 59% | 1 | over | 0.168 |
| Charles McAdoo | TOR | Noah Cameron | 1.5 | 19% | 1 | under | 0.038 |
| Charles McAdoo | TOR | Noah Cameron | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Daz Cameron | TOR | Noah Cameron | 0.5 | 56% | 0 | under | 0.310 |
| Daz Cameron | TOR | Noah Cameron | 1.5 | 19% | 0 | under | 0.035 |
| Daz Cameron | TOR | Noah Cameron | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Ernie Clement | TOR | Noah Cameron | 0.5 | 60% | 1 | over | 0.157 |
| Ernie Clement | TOR | Noah Cameron | 1.5 | 24% | 1 | under | 0.058 |
| Ernie Clement | TOR | Noah Cameron | 2.5 | 5% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| George Springer | TOR | Noah Cameron | 0.5 | 62% | 2 | over | 0.145 |
| George Springer | TOR | Noah Cameron | 1.5 | 21% | 2 | over | 0.622 |
| George Springer | TOR | Noah Cameron | 2.5 | 4% | 2 | under | 0.002 |
| Kazuma Okamoto | TOR | Noah Cameron | 0.5 | 59% | 1 | over | 0.168 |
| Kazuma Okamoto | TOR | Noah Cameron | 1.5 | 21% | 1 | under | 0.044 |
| Kazuma Okamoto | TOR | Noah Cameron | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Myles Straw | TOR | Noah Cameron | 0.5 | 54% | 1 | over | 0.209 |
| Myles Straw | TOR | Noah Cameron | 1.5 | 17% | 1 | under | 0.028 |
| Myles Straw | TOR | Noah Cameron | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Nathan Lukes | TOR | Noah Cameron | 0.5 | 61% | 1 | over | 0.154 |
| Nathan Lukes | TOR | Noah Cameron | 1.5 | 23% | 1 | under | 0.055 |
| Nathan Lukes | TOR | Noah Cameron | 2.5 | 5% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | Noah Cameron | 0.5 | 65% | 0 | under | 0.422 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | Noah Cameron | 1.5 | 23% | 0 | under | 0.052 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | Noah Cameron | 2.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Andrés Chaparro | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 0.5 | 55% | 1 | over | 0.201 |
| Andrés Chaparro | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 1.5 | 16% | 1 | under | 0.027 |
| Andrés Chaparro | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| Brady House | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 0.5 | 57% | 1 | over | 0.181 |
| Brady House | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 1.5 | 20% | 1 | under | 0.038 |
| Brady House | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
| CJ Abrams | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 0.5 | 63% | 1 | over | 0.135 |
| CJ Abrams | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 1.5 | 24% | 1 | under | 0.056 |
| CJ Abrams | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 2.5 | 4% | 1 | under | 0.002 |
| Daylen Lile | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 0.5 | 63% | 3 | over | 0.136 |
| Daylen Lile | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 1.5 | 25% | 3 | over | 0.565 |
| Daylen Lile | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 2.5 | 5% | 3 | over | 0.900 |
| Dylan Crews | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 0.5 | 59% | 2 | over | 0.168 |
| Dylan Crews | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 1.5 | 21% | 2 | over | 0.629 |
| Dylan Crews | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 2.5 | 4% | 2 | under | 0.001 |
| Jacob Young | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 0.5 | 57% | 2 | over | 0.189 |
| Jacob Young | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 1.5 | 20% | 2 | over | 0.644 |
| Jacob Young | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 2.5 | 4% | 2 | under | 0.002 |
| Jorbit Vivas | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 0.5 | 59% | 0 | under | 0.344 |
| Jorbit Vivas | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 1.5 | 20% | 0 | under | 0.040 |
| Jorbit Vivas | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 2.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 0.5 | 61% | 2 | over | 0.154 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 1.5 | 24% | 2 | over | 0.580 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 2.5 | 5% | 2 | under | 0.003 |
| Nasim Nuñez | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 0.5 | 54% | 1 | over | 0.209 |
| Nasim Nuñez | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 1.5 | 20% | 1 | under | 0.039 |
| Nasim Nuñez | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 2.5 | 3% | 1 | under | 0.001 |
Home runs
118 graded, 8 voided| Batter | Team | Opposing starter | Line | P(over) | Actual | Result | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.5 | 10% | 0 | under | 0.011 |
| Drake Baldwin | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.5 | 9% | 1 | over | 0.828 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| Lane Thomas | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.007 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.5 | 17% | 0 | under | 0.029 |
| Mauricio Dubón | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.5 | 7% | 0 | under | 0.005 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.008 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.008 |
| Ozzie Albies | ATL | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.009 |
| Corbin Carroll | AZ | Landen Roupp | 0.5 | 10% | 0 | under | 0.009 |
| Gabriel Moreno | AZ | Landen Roupp | 0.5 | 9% | 1 | over | 0.821 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | AZ | Landen Roupp | 0.5 | 7% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | AZ | Landen Roupp | 0.5 | 8% | 0 | under | 0.007 |
| Lars Nootbaar | AZ | Landen Roupp | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.008 |
| Max Kepler | AZ | Landen Roupp | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.007 |
| Nolan Arenado | AZ | Landen Roupp | 0.5 | 10% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | AZ | Landen Roupp | 0.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| Tim Tawa | AZ | Landen Roupp | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.009 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 0.5 | 13% | 0 | under | 0.018 |
| Coby Mayo | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 0.5 | 10% | 1 | over | 0.811 |
| Colton Cowser | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 0.5 | 13% | 0 | under | 0.018 |
| Dylan Beavers | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 0.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.019 |
| Gunnar Henderson | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 0.5 | 11% | 0 | under | 0.011 |
| Jackson Holliday | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 0.5 | 8% | 0 | under | 0.007 |
| Leody Taveras | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.008 |
| Pete Alonso | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 0.5 | 21% | 0 | under | 0.046 |
| Samuel Basallo | BAL | Gordon Graceffo | 0.5 | 15% | 0 | under | 0.024 |
| Brett Sullivan | COL | Jake Irvin | 0.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.019 |
| Cole Carrigg | COL | Jake Irvin | 0.5 | 8% | 0 | under | 0.007 |
| Connor Norby | COL | Jake Irvin | 0.5 | 12% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Ezequiel Tovar | COL | Jake Irvin | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.009 |
| Jake McCarthy | COL | Jake Irvin | 0.5 | 10% | 0 | under | 0.010 |
| TJ Rumfield | COL | Jake Irvin | 0.5 | 6% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Troy Johnston | COL | Jake Irvin | 0.5 | 8% | 0 | under | 0.007 |
| Willi Castro | COL | Jake Irvin | 0.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.021 |
| Zac Veen | COL | Jake Irvin | 0.5 | 10% | 0 | under | 0.010 |
| Cam Smith | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 0.5 | 11% | 0 | under | 0.012 |
| Christian Walker | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 0.5 | 9% | 1 | over | 0.820 |
| Daulton Varsho | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 0.5 | 9% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Isaac Paredes | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.009 |
| Jeremy Peña | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 0.5 | 13% | 1 | over | 0.761 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 0.5 | 7% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| Taylor Trammell | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.008 |
| Yainer Diaz | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 0.5 | 10% | 0 | under | 0.010 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Gerrit Cole | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.008 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.5 | 10% | 0 | under | 0.011 |
| Carter Jensen | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.5 | 10% | 1 | over | 0.807 |
| Isaac Collins | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.008 |
| Jac Caglianone | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.5 | 14% | — | voided scratch | — |
| John Rave | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.5 | 8% | 0 | under | 0.006 |
| Josh Rojas | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Kyle Isbel | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.5 | 7% | 0 | under | 0.005 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.5 | 10% | 0 | under | 0.009 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Spencer Arrighetti | 0.5 | 10% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Alex Call | LAD | Chris Sale | 0.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| Ben Rortvedt | LAD | Chris Sale | 0.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Enrique Hernández | LAD | Chris Sale | 0.5 | 7% | 0 | under | 0.005 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Chris Sale | 0.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Miguel Rojas | LAD | Chris Sale | 0.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | Chris Sale | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.008 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAD | Chris Sale | 0.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.021 |
| Teoscar Hernández | LAD | Chris Sale | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.009 |
| Tommy Edman | LAD | Chris Sale | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.009 |
| Andrew Vaughn | MIL | Sean Manaea | 0.5 | 12% | 0 | under | 0.014 |
| Cooper Pratt | MIL | Sean Manaea | 0.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| David Hamilton | MIL | Sean Manaea | 0.5 | 7% | 0 | under | 0.005 |
| Gary Sánchez | MIL | Sean Manaea | 0.5 | 10% | 0 | under | 0.011 |
| Jackson Chourio | MIL | Sean Manaea | 0.5 | 11% | 2 | over | 0.796 |
| Joey Ortiz | MIL | Sean Manaea | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.008 |
| Luis Lara | MIL | Sean Manaea | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.007 |
| Sal Frelick | MIL | Sean Manaea | 0.5 | 7% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| William Contreras | MIL | Sean Manaea | 0.5 | 10% | 0 | under | 0.010 |
| A.J. Ewing | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 0.5 | 7% | 0 | under | 0.005 |
| Brett Baty | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 0.5 | 11% | 0 | under | 0.013 |
| Carson Benge | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 0.5 | 10% | 0 | under | 0.010 |
| Christopher Morel | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 0.5 | 8% | 0 | under | 0.007 |
| Francisco Alvarez | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 0.5 | 10% | 0 | under | 0.011 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 0.5 | 13% | 0 | under | 0.017 |
| Jared Young | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 0.5 | 8% | 0 | under | 0.006 |
| Luis Robert Jr. | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 0.5 | 11% | 0 | under | 0.012 |
| Marcus Semien | NYM | Jacob Misiorowski | 0.5 | 8% | 0 | under | 0.007 |
| Austin Wells | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 0.5 | 10% | 0 | under | 0.010 |
| Ben Rice | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 0.5 | 11% | 0 | under | 0.012 |
| Cody Bellinger | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.008 |
| George Lombard Jr. | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 0.5 | 8% | 0 | under | 0.006 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 0.5 | 10% | 0 | under | 0.010 |
| José Caballero | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.008 |
| Luis García Jr. | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 0.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.020 |
| Spencer Jones | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 0.5 | 13% | 0 | under | 0.017 |
| Trent Grisham | NYY | Hayden Wesneski | 0.5 | 12% | 0 | under | 0.013 |
| Bryce Eldridge | SF | Jose Cabrera | 0.5 | 12% | 0 | under | 0.013 |
| Christian Koss | SF | Jose Cabrera | 0.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Drew Cavanaugh | SF | Jose Cabrera | 0.5 | 7% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Drew Gilbert | SF | Jose Cabrera | 0.5 | 15% | 1 | over | 0.725 |
| Jonah Cox | SF | Jose Cabrera | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.009 |
| Nate Furman | SF | Jose Cabrera | 0.5 | 8% | 0 | under | 0.006 |
| Rafael Devers | SF | Jose Cabrera | 0.5 | 16% | 0 | under | 0.027 |
| Shay Whitcomb | SF | Jose Cabrera | 0.5 | 15% | 0 | under | 0.023 |
| Turner Hill | SF | Jose Cabrera | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.008 |
| Alec Burleson | STL | Trevor Rogers | 0.5 | 12% | 0 | under | 0.013 |
| Blaze Jordan | STL | Trevor Rogers | 0.5 | 9% | 1 | over | 0.834 |
| Iván Herrera | STL | Trevor Rogers | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.009 |
| Jordan Walker | STL | Trevor Rogers | 0.5 | 11% | 0 | under | 0.012 |
| Joshua Báez | STL | Trevor Rogers | 0.5 | 16% | 0 | under | 0.024 |
| José Fermín | STL | Trevor Rogers | 0.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.004 |
| Nathan Church | STL | Trevor Rogers | 0.5 | 6% | 0 | under | 0.003 |
| Pedro Pagés | STL | Trevor Rogers | 0.5 | 5% | — | voided scratch | — |
| Ramón Urías | STL | Trevor Rogers | 0.5 | 7% | 1 | over | 0.859 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | Noah Cameron | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.008 |
| Charles McAdoo | TOR | Noah Cameron | 0.5 | 8% | 0 | under | 0.006 |
| Daz Cameron | TOR | Noah Cameron | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.009 |
| Ernie Clement | TOR | Noah Cameron | 0.5 | 4% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| George Springer | TOR | Noah Cameron | 0.5 | 8% | 1 | over | 0.846 |
| Kazuma Okamoto | TOR | Noah Cameron | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.008 |
| Myles Straw | TOR | Noah Cameron | 0.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
| Nathan Lukes | TOR | Noah Cameron | 0.5 | 8% | 0 | under | 0.007 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | Noah Cameron | 0.5 | 9% | 0 | under | 0.009 |
| Andrés Chaparro | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 0.5 | 16% | 0 | under | 0.025 |
| Brady House | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 0.5 | 11% | 0 | under | 0.012 |
| CJ Abrams | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 0.5 | 12% | 0 | under | 0.014 |
| Daylen Lile | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 0.5 | 14% | 1 | over | 0.741 |
| Dylan Crews | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 0.5 | 14% | 0 | under | 0.018 |
| Jacob Young | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 0.5 | 7% | 0 | under | 0.005 |
| Jorbit Vivas | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 0.5 | 3% | 0 | under | 0.001 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 0.5 | 8% | 1 | over | 0.840 |
| Nasim Nuñez | WSH | Gabriel Hughes | 0.5 | 5% | 0 | under | 0.002 |
Run totals
7 graded| Game | Mean | P(over 8.5) | Actual | CRPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL at WSH | 9.41 | 54% | 8 | 1.126 |
| KC at TOR | 8.74 | 48% | 15 | 4.303 |
| BAL at STL | 8.75 | 48% | 12 | 2.156 |
| AZ at SF | 9.16 | 53% | 7 | 1.293 |
| HOU at NYY | 8.47 | 45% | 6 | 1.361 |
| MIL at NYM | 8.63 | 47% | 10 | 1.297 |
| LAD at ATL | 8.41 | 45% | 1 | 5.003 |
Brier is the squared error of a probability (0 perfect, 0.25 a coin flip, 1 confidently wrong). Totals are scored by CRPS over the whole distribution instead, so the two are not comparable. Machine-readable versions of everything here are in the raw artifacts.