2026-09-03

Every probability published for this slate, beside what actually happened. Published before first pitch, graded that night, never edited. Rows that show a void carry the reason; they stay on the record rather than being removed.

← 2026-09-02 all days 2026-09-04 →

Strikeouts

119 graded
PitcherTeamOppLineP(over)KResultBrier
Blade TidwellSFPIT1.590%5over0.010
Blade TidwellSFPIT2.575%5over0.060
Blade TidwellSFPIT3.557%5over0.188
Blade TidwellSFPIT4.538%5over0.385
Blade TidwellSFPIT5.523%5under0.051
Blade TidwellSFPIT6.512%5under0.014
Blade TidwellSFPIT7.55%5under0.003
Brandon YoungBALBOS1.593%7over0.005
Brandon YoungBALBOS2.581%7over0.035
Brandon YoungBALBOS3.563%7over0.134
Brandon YoungBALBOS4.544%7over0.316
Brandon YoungBALBOS5.526%7over0.541
Brandon YoungBALBOS6.514%7over0.744
Brandon YoungBALBOS7.56%7under0.004
Cal QuantrillTEXTB2.583%5over0.028
Cal QuantrillTEXTB3.567%5over0.109
Cal QuantrillTEXTB4.548%5over0.268
Cal QuantrillTEXTB5.531%5under0.095
Cal QuantrillTEXTB6.517%5under0.030
Cal QuantrillTEXTB7.58%5under0.007
Cal QuantrillTEXTB8.54%5under0.001
Hunter BrownHOUCWS3.581%7over0.038
Hunter BrownHOUCWS4.565%7over0.119
Hunter BrownHOUCWS5.548%7over0.266
Hunter BrownHOUCWS6.532%7over0.456
Hunter BrownHOUCWS7.519%7under0.037
Hunter BrownHOUCWS8.510%7under0.011
Hunter BrownHOUCWS9.55%7under0.003
Jack PerkinsATHSEA2.584%7over0.025
Jack PerkinsATHSEA3.569%7over0.099
Jack PerkinsATHSEA4.550%7over0.249
Jack PerkinsATHSEA5.533%7over0.453
Jack PerkinsATHSEA6.519%7over0.659
Jack PerkinsATHSEA7.59%7under0.009
Jack PerkinsATHSEA8.54%7under0.002
Jake BennettBOSBAL2.585%7over0.023
Jake BennettBOSBAL3.569%7over0.094
Jake BennettBOSBAL4.551%7over0.240
Jake BennettBOSBAL5.533%7over0.442
Jake BennettBOSBAL6.519%7over0.649
Jake BennettBOSBAL7.510%7under0.009
Jake BennettBOSBAL8.54%7under0.002
José SorianoTORCLE1.591%2over0.008
José SorianoTORCLE2.578%2under0.612
José SorianoTORCLE3.561%2under0.370
José SorianoTORCLE4.543%2under0.182
José SorianoTORCLE5.527%2under0.073
José SorianoTORCLE6.515%2under0.023
José SorianoTORCLE7.58%2under0.006
Kade AndersonSEAATH2.584%3over0.027
Kade AndersonSEAATH3.567%3under0.451
Kade AndersonSEAATH4.548%3under0.230
Kade AndersonSEAATH5.530%3under0.091
Kade AndersonSEAATH6.516%3under0.027
Kade AndersonSEAATH7.58%3under0.006
Kade AndersonSEAATH8.53%3under0.001
Kevin GausmanCHCMIL2.592%9over0.007
Kevin GausmanCHCMIL3.581%9over0.037
Kevin GausmanCHCMIL4.565%9over0.121
Kevin GausmanCHCMIL5.548%9over0.272
Kevin GausmanCHCMIL6.531%9over0.470
Kevin GausmanCHCMIL7.518%9over0.669
Kevin GausmanCHCMIL8.59%9over0.822
Logan HendersonMILCHC2.590%7over0.009
Logan HendersonMILCHC3.578%7over0.048
Logan HendersonMILCHC4.562%7over0.146
Logan HendersonMILCHC5.544%7over0.313
Logan HendersonMILCHC6.528%7over0.516
Logan HendersonMILCHC7.516%7under0.025
Logan HendersonMILCHC8.58%7under0.006
Luis CastilloCWSHOU1.591%3over0.009
Luis CastilloCWSHOU2.576%3over0.058
Luis CastilloCWSHOU3.557%3under0.323
Luis CastilloCWSHOU4.538%3under0.141
Luis CastilloCWSHOU5.522%3under0.048
Luis CastilloCWSHOU6.511%3under0.012
Luis CastilloCWSHOU7.55%3under0.002
Michael WachaKCMIA1.594%7over0.004
Michael WachaKCMIA2.582%7over0.032
Michael WachaKCMIA3.566%7over0.117
Michael WachaKCMIA4.547%7over0.279
Michael WachaKCMIA5.530%7over0.487
Michael WachaKCMIA6.517%7over0.689
Michael WachaKCMIA7.58%7under0.007
Quinn MathewsSTLLAD1.592%4over0.006
Quinn MathewsSTLLAD2.579%4over0.043
Quinn MathewsSTLLAD3.562%4over0.144
Quinn MathewsSTLLAD4.544%4under0.191
Quinn MathewsSTLLAD5.528%4under0.076
Quinn MathewsSTLLAD6.515%4under0.024
Quinn MathewsSTLLAD7.58%4under0.006
Sandy AlcantaraMIAKC1.591%2over0.008
Sandy AlcantaraMIAKC2.577%2under0.598
Sandy AlcantaraMIAKC3.558%2under0.342
Sandy AlcantaraMIAKC4.539%2under0.152
Sandy AlcantaraMIAKC5.523%2under0.052
Sandy AlcantaraMIAKC6.512%2under0.013
Sandy AlcantaraMIAKC7.55%2under0.003
Shane McClanahanTBTEX1.593%3over0.006
Shane McClanahanTBTEX2.580%3over0.042
Shane McClanahanTBTEX3.561%3under0.373
Shane McClanahanTBTEX4.541%3under0.170
Shane McClanahanTBTEX5.524%3under0.060
Shane McClanahanTBTEX6.512%3under0.015
Shane McClanahanTBTEX7.55%3under0.003
Tanner BibeeCLETOR2.585%4over0.023
Tanner BibeeCLETOR3.569%4over0.095
Tanner BibeeCLETOR4.550%4under0.253
Tanner BibeeCLETOR5.532%4under0.105
Tanner BibeeCLETOR6.518%4under0.033
Tanner BibeeCLETOR7.59%4under0.008
Tanner BibeeCLETOR8.54%4under0.001
Tarik SkubalLADSTL3.586%6over0.019
Tarik SkubalLADSTL4.573%6over0.072
Tarik SkubalLADSTL5.557%6over0.183
Tarik SkubalLADSTL6.541%6under0.167
Tarik SkubalLADSTL7.526%6under0.070
Tarik SkubalLADSTL8.515%6under0.023
Tarik SkubalLADSTL9.58%6under0.006

Hits

423 graded, 54 voided
BatterTeamOpposing starterLineP(over)ActualResultBrier
Alika WilliamsATHKade Anderson0.552%1over0.231
Alika WilliamsATHKade Anderson1.518%1under0.032
Alika WilliamsATHKade Anderson2.53%1under0.001
Brian ServenATHKade Anderson0.553%voided scratch
Brian ServenATHKade Anderson1.519%voided scratch
Brian ServenATHKade Anderson2.54%voided scratch
Henry BolteATHKade Anderson0.566%2over0.118
Henry BolteATHKade Anderson1.522%2over0.615
Henry BolteATHKade Anderson2.54%2under0.001
Jeff McNeilATHKade Anderson0.566%2over0.118
Jeff McNeilATHKade Anderson1.523%2over0.596
Jeff McNeilATHKade Anderson2.55%2under0.002
Jonah HeimATHKade Anderson0.557%1over0.184
Jonah HeimATHKade Anderson1.522%1under0.049
Jonah HeimATHKade Anderson2.55%1under0.003
Lawrence ButlerATHKade Anderson0.561%2over0.156
Lawrence ButlerATHKade Anderson1.523%2over0.595
Lawrence ButlerATHKade Anderson2.56%2under0.004
Max MuncyATHKade Anderson0.554%1over0.216
Max MuncyATHKade Anderson1.517%1under0.029
Max MuncyATHKade Anderson2.53%1under0.001
Michael StefanicATHKade Anderson0.561%1over0.150
Michael StefanicATHKade Anderson1.519%1under0.037
Michael StefanicATHKade Anderson2.53%1under0.001
Zack GelofATHKade Anderson0.559%2over0.171
Zack GelofATHKade Anderson1.523%2over0.597
Zack GelofATHKade Anderson2.54%2under0.001
Blaze AlexanderBALJake Bennett0.564%1over0.126
Blaze AlexanderBALJake Bennett1.523%1under0.052
Blaze AlexanderBALJake Bennett2.54%1under0.002
Carlos NarváezBALJake Bennett0.551%0under0.257
Carlos NarváezBALJake Bennett1.514%0under0.021
Carlos NarváezBALJake Bennett2.52%0under0.000
Christian Encarnacion-StrandBALJake Bennett0.565%2over0.126
Christian Encarnacion-StrandBALJake Bennett1.522%2over0.604
Christian Encarnacion-StrandBALJake Bennett2.54%2under0.001
Coby MayoBALJake Bennett0.558%1over0.174
Coby MayoBALJake Bennett1.519%1under0.035
Coby MayoBALJake Bennett2.53%1under0.001
Dylan BeaversBALJake Bennett0.558%voided scratch
Dylan BeaversBALJake Bennett1.520%voided scratch
Dylan BeaversBALJake Bennett2.54%voided scratch
Gunnar HendersonBALJake Bennett0.564%1over0.128
Gunnar HendersonBALJake Bennett1.526%1under0.067
Gunnar HendersonBALJake Bennett2.56%1under0.004
Leody TaverasBALJake Bennett0.557%voided scratch
Leody TaverasBALJake Bennett1.521%voided scratch
Leody TaverasBALJake Bennett2.54%voided scratch
Luis Robert Jr.BALJake Bennett0.559%1over0.166
Luis Robert Jr.BALJake Bennett1.521%1under0.043
Luis Robert Jr.BALJake Bennett2.54%1under0.002
Pete AlonsoBALJake Bennett0.564%1over0.127
Pete AlonsoBALJake Bennett1.524%1under0.055
Pete AlonsoBALJake Bennett2.54%1under0.002
Adley RutschmanBOSBrandon Young0.567%2over0.111
Adley RutschmanBOSBrandon Young1.525%2over0.558
Adley RutschmanBOSBrandon Young2.55%2under0.003
Caleb DurbinBOSBrandon Young0.563%0under0.399
Caleb DurbinBOSBrandon Young1.523%0under0.052
Caleb DurbinBOSBrandon Young2.54%0under0.002
Eli WhiteBOSBrandon Young0.553%1over0.220
Eli WhiteBOSBrandon Young1.516%1under0.025
Eli WhiteBOSBrandon Young2.53%1under0.001
Isiah Kiner-FalefaBOSBrandon Young0.563%1over0.139
Isiah Kiner-FalefaBOSBrandon Young1.519%1under0.036
Isiah Kiner-FalefaBOSBrandon Young2.53%1under0.001
Jarren DuranBOSBrandon Young0.558%0under0.333
Jarren DuranBOSBrandon Young1.520%0under0.039
Jarren DuranBOSBrandon Young2.54%0under0.001
Mickey GasperBOSBrandon Young0.563%0under0.403
Mickey GasperBOSBrandon Young1.525%0under0.064
Mickey GasperBOSBrandon Young2.55%0under0.003
Nick SogardBOSBrandon Young0.567%1over0.110
Nick SogardBOSBrandon Young1.526%1under0.068
Nick SogardBOSBrandon Young2.55%1under0.003
Roman AnthonyBOSBrandon Young0.567%voided scratch
Roman AnthonyBOSBrandon Young1.526%voided scratch
Roman AnthonyBOSBrandon Young2.56%voided scratch
Wilyer AbreuBOSBrandon Young0.567%0under0.455
Wilyer AbreuBOSBrandon Young1.526%0under0.069
Wilyer AbreuBOSBrandon Young2.56%0under0.004
Alex BregmanCHCLogan Henderson0.565%1over0.123
Alex BregmanCHCLogan Henderson1.522%1under0.049
Alex BregmanCHCLogan Henderson2.54%1under0.002
Carson KellyCHCLogan Henderson0.562%1over0.145
Carson KellyCHCLogan Henderson1.522%1under0.050
Carson KellyCHCLogan Henderson2.54%1under0.002
Ian HappCHCLogan Henderson0.560%0under0.354
Ian HappCHCLogan Henderson1.519%0under0.036
Ian HappCHCLogan Henderson2.53%0under0.001
Michael BuschCHCLogan Henderson0.563%0under0.399
Michael BuschCHCLogan Henderson1.517%0under0.030
Michael BuschCHCLogan Henderson2.53%0under0.001
Michael ConfortoCHCLogan Henderson0.552%0under0.266
Michael ConfortoCHCLogan Henderson1.514%0under0.019
Michael ConfortoCHCLogan Henderson2.52%0under0.000
Nico HoernerCHCLogan Henderson0.562%0under0.389
Nico HoernerCHCLogan Henderson1.523%0under0.053
Nico HoernerCHCLogan Henderson2.54%0under0.002
Pedro RamírezCHCLogan Henderson0.561%0under0.377
Pedro RamírezCHCLogan Henderson1.522%0under0.050
Pedro RamírezCHCLogan Henderson2.54%0under0.001
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHCLogan Henderson0.566%voided scratch
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHCLogan Henderson1.523%voided scratch
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHCLogan Henderson2.54%voided scratch
Seiya SuzukiCHCLogan Henderson0.564%0under0.408
Seiya SuzukiCHCLogan Henderson1.525%0under0.064
Seiya SuzukiCHCLogan Henderson2.54%0under0.002
Angel GenaoCLEJosé Soriano0.562%voided scratch
Angel GenaoCLEJosé Soriano1.522%voided scratch
Angel GenaoCLEJosé Soriano2.54%voided scratch
Austin HedgesCLEJosé Soriano0.552%1over0.228
Austin HedgesCLEJosé Soriano1.515%1under0.024
Austin HedgesCLEJosé Soriano2.52%1under0.001
Brayan RocchioCLEJosé Soriano0.560%0under0.360
Brayan RocchioCLEJosé Soriano1.520%0under0.039
Brayan RocchioCLEJosé Soriano2.53%0under0.001
Chase DeLauterCLEJosé Soriano0.564%1over0.132
Chase DeLauterCLEJosé Soriano1.523%1under0.053
Chase DeLauterCLEJosé Soriano2.54%1under0.002
Jo AdellCLEJosé Soriano0.561%voided scratch
Jo AdellCLEJosé Soriano1.522%voided scratch
Jo AdellCLEJosé Soriano2.54%voided scratch
José RamírezCLEJosé Soriano0.565%1over0.125
José RamírezCLEJosé Soriano1.523%1under0.053
José RamírezCLEJosé Soriano2.54%1under0.002
Nathaniel LoweCLEJosé Soriano0.565%voided scratch
Nathaniel LoweCLEJosé Soriano1.522%voided scratch
Nathaniel LoweCLEJosé Soriano2.54%voided scratch
Steven KwanCLEJosé Soriano0.566%2over0.113
Steven KwanCLEJosé Soriano1.527%2over0.536
Steven KwanCLEJosé Soriano2.54%2under0.002
Travis BazzanaCLEJosé Soriano0.559%0under0.348
Travis BazzanaCLEJosé Soriano1.519%0under0.037
Travis BazzanaCLEJosé Soriano2.53%0under0.001
Andrew BenintendiCWSHunter Brown0.559%0under0.343
Andrew BenintendiCWSHunter Brown1.518%0under0.034
Andrew BenintendiCWSHunter Brown2.53%0under0.001
Braden MontgomeryCWSHunter Brown0.561%1over0.154
Braden MontgomeryCWSHunter Brown1.520%1under0.040
Braden MontgomeryCWSHunter Brown2.53%1under0.001
Chase MeidrothCWSHunter Brown0.567%2over0.111
Chase MeidrothCWSHunter Brown1.523%2over0.588
Chase MeidrothCWSHunter Brown2.54%2under0.002
Colson MontgomeryCWSHunter Brown0.560%0under0.357
Colson MontgomeryCWSHunter Brown1.519%0under0.038
Colson MontgomeryCWSHunter Brown2.53%0under0.001
Jake RogersCWSHunter Brown0.553%1over0.220
Jake RogersCWSHunter Brown1.515%1under0.022
Jake RogersCWSHunter Brown2.53%1under0.001
Miguel VargasCWSHunter Brown0.563%2over0.135
Miguel VargasCWSHunter Brown1.523%2over0.600
Miguel VargasCWSHunter Brown2.55%2under0.003
Munetaka MurakamiCWSHunter Brown0.558%0under0.341
Munetaka MurakamiCWSHunter Brown1.518%0under0.033
Munetaka MurakamiCWSHunter Brown2.53%0under0.001
Sam AntonacciCWSHunter Brown0.563%1over0.137
Sam AntonacciCWSHunter Brown1.522%1under0.049
Sam AntonacciCWSHunter Brown2.55%1under0.002
Tristan PetersCWSHunter Brown0.558%0under0.336
Tristan PetersCWSHunter Brown1.518%0under0.033
Tristan PetersCWSHunter Brown2.53%0under0.001
Christian WalkerHOULuis Castillo0.563%2over0.133
Christian WalkerHOULuis Castillo1.521%2over0.626
Christian WalkerHOULuis Castillo2.54%2under0.002
Daulton VarshoHOULuis Castillo0.563%1over0.139
Daulton VarshoHOULuis Castillo1.522%1under0.047
Daulton VarshoHOULuis Castillo2.54%1under0.002
Isaac ParedesHOULuis Castillo0.568%1over0.102
Isaac ParedesHOULuis Castillo1.526%1under0.068
Isaac ParedesHOULuis Castillo2.55%1under0.003
Jeremy PeñaHOULuis Castillo0.565%0under0.422
Jeremy PeñaHOULuis Castillo1.524%0under0.058
Jeremy PeñaHOULuis Castillo2.54%0under0.002
Jose AltuveHOULuis Castillo0.564%1over0.131
Jose AltuveHOULuis Castillo1.525%1under0.061
Jose AltuveHOULuis Castillo2.55%1under0.002
LaMonte Wade Jr.HOULuis Castillo0.552%1over0.230
LaMonte Wade Jr.HOULuis Castillo1.514%1under0.019
LaMonte Wade Jr.HOULuis Castillo2.52%1under0.000
Taylor TrammellHOULuis Castillo0.554%1over0.210
Taylor TrammellHOULuis Castillo1.515%1under0.021
Taylor TrammellHOULuis Castillo2.52%1under0.000
Yainer DiazHOULuis Castillo0.561%1over0.149
Yainer DiazHOULuis Castillo1.522%1under0.049
Yainer DiazHOULuis Castillo2.54%1under0.002
Yordan AlvarezHOULuis Castillo0.568%0under0.456
Yordan AlvarezHOULuis Castillo1.527%0under0.072
Yordan AlvarezHOULuis Castillo2.55%0under0.003
Bobby Witt Jr.KCSandy Alcantara0.569%0under0.475
Bobby Witt Jr.KCSandy Alcantara1.525%0under0.062
Bobby Witt Jr.KCSandy Alcantara2.54%0under0.002
Carter JensenKCSandy Alcantara0.565%3over0.120
Carter JensenKCSandy Alcantara1.524%3over0.575
Carter JensenKCSandy Alcantara2.54%3over0.920
Isaac CollinsKCSandy Alcantara0.561%voided scratch
Isaac CollinsKCSandy Alcantara1.523%voided scratch
Isaac CollinsKCSandy Alcantara2.55%voided scratch
Jac CaglianoneKCSandy Alcantara0.566%2over0.119
Jac CaglianoneKCSandy Alcantara1.524%2over0.571
Jac CaglianoneKCSandy Alcantara2.54%2under0.002
Josh RojasKCSandy Alcantara0.558%0under0.331
Josh RojasKCSandy Alcantara1.520%0under0.039
Josh RojasKCSandy Alcantara2.53%0under0.001
Kyle IsbelKCSandy Alcantara0.557%2over0.188
Kyle IsbelKCSandy Alcantara1.518%2over0.668
Kyle IsbelKCSandy Alcantara2.53%2under0.001
Michael MasseyKCSandy Alcantara0.563%1over0.139
Michael MasseyKCSandy Alcantara1.522%1under0.050
Michael MasseyKCSandy Alcantara2.54%1under0.001
Salvador PerezKCSandy Alcantara0.563%1over0.135
Salvador PerezKCSandy Alcantara1.522%1under0.049
Salvador PerezKCSandy Alcantara2.54%1under0.002
Vinnie PasquantinoKCSandy Alcantara0.568%1over0.105
Vinnie PasquantinoKCSandy Alcantara1.526%1under0.065
Vinnie PasquantinoKCSandy Alcantara2.55%1under0.002
Alex CallLADQuinn Mathews0.556%0under0.317
Alex CallLADQuinn Mathews1.517%0under0.030
Alex CallLADQuinn Mathews2.53%0under0.001
Enrique HernándezLADQuinn Mathews0.545%0under0.203
Enrique HernándezLADQuinn Mathews1.512%0under0.014
Enrique HernándezLADQuinn Mathews2.51%0under0.000
Freddie FreemanLADQuinn Mathews0.565%0under0.424
Freddie FreemanLADQuinn Mathews1.523%0under0.053
Freddie FreemanLADQuinn Mathews2.54%0under0.002
Kyle TuckerLADQuinn Mathews0.561%0under0.374
Kyle TuckerLADQuinn Mathews1.523%0under0.054
Kyle TuckerLADQuinn Mathews2.56%0under0.004
Miguel RojasLADQuinn Mathews0.557%0under0.328
Miguel RojasLADQuinn Mathews1.518%0under0.033
Miguel RojasLADQuinn Mathews2.53%0under0.001
Mookie BettsLADQuinn Mathews0.562%voided scratch
Mookie BettsLADQuinn Mathews1.522%voided scratch
Mookie BettsLADQuinn Mathews2.54%voided scratch
Teoscar HernándezLADQuinn Mathews0.559%voided scratch
Teoscar HernándezLADQuinn Mathews1.520%voided scratch
Teoscar HernándezLADQuinn Mathews2.54%voided scratch
Tommy EdmanLADQuinn Mathews0.563%voided scratch
Tommy EdmanLADQuinn Mathews1.524%voided scratch
Tommy EdmanLADQuinn Mathews2.54%voided scratch
Will SmithLADQuinn Mathews0.562%0under0.379
Will SmithLADQuinn Mathews1.517%0under0.030
Will SmithLADQuinn Mathews2.53%0under0.001
Agustín RamírezMIAMichael Wacha0.558%1over0.178
Agustín RamírezMIAMichael Wacha1.520%1under0.041
Agustín RamírezMIAMichael Wacha2.54%1under0.001
Graham PauleyMIAMichael Wacha0.554%0under0.290
Graham PauleyMIAMichael Wacha1.514%0under0.020
Graham PauleyMIAMichael Wacha2.52%0under0.000
Griffin ConineMIAMichael Wacha0.558%0under0.334
Griffin ConineMIAMichael Wacha1.519%0under0.036
Griffin ConineMIAMichael Wacha2.54%0under0.001
Heriberto HernándezMIAMichael Wacha0.564%1over0.131
Heriberto HernándezMIAMichael Wacha1.524%1under0.060
Heriberto HernándezMIAMichael Wacha2.54%1under0.002
Jakob MarseeMIAMichael Wacha0.563%1over0.137
Jakob MarseeMIAMichael Wacha1.523%1under0.052
Jakob MarseeMIAMichael Wacha2.55%1under0.002
Javier SanojaMIAMichael Wacha0.567%1over0.109
Javier SanojaMIAMichael Wacha1.527%1under0.071
Javier SanojaMIAMichael Wacha2.55%1under0.002
Joe MackMIAMichael Wacha0.557%1over0.188
Joe MackMIAMichael Wacha1.517%1under0.029
Joe MackMIAMichael Wacha2.53%1under0.001
Kyle StowersMIAMichael Wacha0.563%1over0.140
Kyle StowersMIAMichael Wacha1.522%1under0.050
Kyle StowersMIAMichael Wacha2.54%1under0.002
Otto LopezMIAMichael Wacha0.569%0under0.473
Otto LopezMIAMichael Wacha1.526%0under0.067
Otto LopezMIAMichael Wacha2.55%0under0.002
Andrew VaughnMILKevin Gausman0.563%1over0.138
Andrew VaughnMILKevin Gausman1.523%1under0.053
Andrew VaughnMILKevin Gausman2.53%1under0.001
Brice TurangMILKevin Gausman0.566%0under0.431
Brice TurangMILKevin Gausman1.522%0under0.048
Brice TurangMILKevin Gausman2.54%0under0.002
Christian YelichMILKevin Gausman0.563%1over0.134
Christian YelichMILKevin Gausman1.522%1under0.048
Christian YelichMILKevin Gausman2.53%1under0.001
David HamiltonMILKevin Gausman0.559%1over0.170
David HamiltonMILKevin Gausman1.519%1under0.036
David HamiltonMILKevin Gausman2.53%1under0.001
Garrett MitchellMILKevin Gausman0.558%1over0.174
Garrett MitchellMILKevin Gausman1.520%1under0.040
Garrett MitchellMILKevin Gausman2.54%1under0.001
Jackson ChourioMILKevin Gausman0.562%0under0.390
Jackson ChourioMILKevin Gausman1.524%0under0.057
Jackson ChourioMILKevin Gausman2.54%0under0.002
Jake BauersMILKevin Gausman0.562%0under0.384
Jake BauersMILKevin Gausman1.522%0under0.048
Jake BauersMILKevin Gausman2.54%0under0.001
Joey OrtizMILKevin Gausman0.561%1over0.153
Joey OrtizMILKevin Gausman1.521%1under0.042
Joey OrtizMILKevin Gausman2.54%1under0.001
William ContrerasMILKevin Gausman0.563%0under0.394
William ContrerasMILKevin Gausman1.527%0under0.070
William ContrerasMILKevin Gausman2.55%0under0.002
Brandon LowePITBlade Tidwell0.566%0under0.434
Brandon LowePITBlade Tidwell1.521%0under0.044
Brandon LowePITBlade Tidwell2.53%0under0.001
Bryan ReynoldsPITBlade Tidwell0.566%0under0.429
Bryan ReynoldsPITBlade Tidwell1.522%0under0.046
Bryan ReynoldsPITBlade Tidwell2.54%0under0.002
Jacob GonzalezPITBlade Tidwell0.556%0under0.318
Jacob GonzalezPITBlade Tidwell1.517%0under0.028
Jacob GonzalezPITBlade Tidwell2.53%0under0.001
Jake MangumPITBlade Tidwell0.562%1over0.142
Jake MangumPITBlade Tidwell1.522%1under0.048
Jake MangumPITBlade Tidwell2.54%1under0.002
Jared TrioloPITBlade Tidwell0.557%0under0.326
Jared TrioloPITBlade Tidwell1.519%0under0.036
Jared TrioloPITBlade Tidwell2.53%0under0.001
Nick GonzalesPITBlade Tidwell0.565%1over0.119
Nick GonzalesPITBlade Tidwell1.525%1under0.063
Nick GonzalesPITBlade Tidwell2.54%1under0.002
Oneil CruzPITBlade Tidwell0.566%0under0.435
Oneil CruzPITBlade Tidwell1.523%0under0.051
Oneil CruzPITBlade Tidwell2.54%0under0.001
Rafael Flores Jr.PITBlade Tidwell0.563%1over0.138
Rafael Flores Jr.PITBlade Tidwell1.521%1under0.044
Rafael Flores Jr.PITBlade Tidwell2.54%1under0.001
Spencer HorwitzPITBlade Tidwell0.566%voided scratch
Spencer HorwitzPITBlade Tidwell1.526%voided scratch
Spencer HorwitzPITBlade Tidwell2.55%voided scratch
Brock RoddenSEAJack Perkins0.547%1over0.280
Brock RoddenSEAJack Perkins1.511%1under0.012
Brock RoddenSEAJack Perkins2.52%1under0.000
Cal RaleighSEAJack Perkins0.557%1over0.185
Cal RaleighSEAJack Perkins1.519%1under0.036
Cal RaleighSEAJack Perkins2.53%1under0.001
Cole YoungSEAJack Perkins0.564%2over0.128
Cole YoungSEAJack Perkins1.521%2over0.618
Cole YoungSEAJack Perkins2.54%2under0.001
Dominic CanzoneSEAJack Perkins0.563%1over0.137
Dominic CanzoneSEAJack Perkins1.521%1under0.043
Dominic CanzoneSEAJack Perkins2.54%1under0.002
J.P. CrawfordSEAJack Perkins0.559%1over0.170
J.P. CrawfordSEAJack Perkins1.518%1under0.032
J.P. CrawfordSEAJack Perkins2.53%1under0.001
Josh NaylorSEAJack Perkins0.567%0under0.442
Josh NaylorSEAJack Perkins1.524%0under0.056
Josh NaylorSEAJack Perkins2.54%0under0.002
Julio RodríguezSEAJack Perkins0.562%1over0.147
Julio RodríguezSEAJack Perkins1.522%1under0.048
Julio RodríguezSEAJack Perkins2.54%1under0.002
Randy ArozarenaSEAJack Perkins0.565%1over0.123
Randy ArozarenaSEAJack Perkins1.524%1under0.059
Randy ArozarenaSEAJack Perkins2.55%1under0.002
Andrew KniznerSFLake Bachar0.551%0under0.256
Andrew KniznerSFLake Bachar1.514%0under0.019
Andrew KniznerSFLake Bachar2.52%0under0.001
Bryce EldridgeSFLake Bachar0.565%0under0.420
Bryce EldridgeSFLake Bachar1.520%0under0.039
Bryce EldridgeSFLake Bachar2.53%0under0.001
Christian KossSFLake Bachar0.554%0under0.289
Christian KossSFLake Bachar1.516%0under0.026
Christian KossSFLake Bachar2.53%0under0.001
Drew GilbertSFLake Bachar0.556%1over0.196
Drew GilbertSFLake Bachar1.517%1under0.029
Drew GilbertSFLake Bachar2.53%1under0.001
Jonah CoxSFLake Bachar0.557%0under0.323
Jonah CoxSFLake Bachar1.518%0under0.032
Jonah CoxSFLake Bachar2.53%0under0.001
Rafael DeversSFLake Bachar0.565%0under0.420
Rafael DeversSFLake Bachar1.520%0under0.040
Rafael DeversSFLake Bachar2.53%0under0.001
Shay WhitcombSFLake Bachar0.553%0under0.281
Shay WhitcombSFLake Bachar1.514%0under0.020
Shay WhitcombSFLake Bachar2.53%0under0.001
Turner HillSFLake Bachar0.561%voided scratch
Turner HillSFLake Bachar1.521%voided scratch
Turner HillSFLake Bachar2.54%voided scratch
Iván HerreraSTLTarik Skubal0.560%voided scratch
Iván HerreraSTLTarik Skubal1.521%voided scratch
Iván HerreraSTLTarik Skubal2.55%voided scratch
Jordan WalkerSTLTarik Skubal0.559%2over0.167
Jordan WalkerSTLTarik Skubal1.522%2over0.611
Jordan WalkerSTLTarik Skubal2.54%2under0.002
Joshua BáezSTLTarik Skubal0.552%1over0.227
Joshua BáezSTLTarik Skubal1.514%1under0.020
Joshua BáezSTLTarik Skubal2.52%1under0.001
José FermínSTLTarik Skubal0.558%1over0.180
José FermínSTLTarik Skubal1.517%1under0.030
José FermínSTLTarik Skubal2.53%1under0.001
Nathan ChurchSTLTarik Skubal0.559%1over0.170
Nathan ChurchSTLTarik Skubal1.520%1under0.041
Nathan ChurchSTLTarik Skubal2.53%1under0.001
Pedro PagésSTLTarik Skubal0.549%1over0.263
Pedro PagésSTLTarik Skubal1.514%1under0.019
Pedro PagésSTLTarik Skubal2.52%1under0.000
Ramón UríasSTLTarik Skubal0.547%1over0.278
Ramón UríasSTLTarik Skubal1.513%1under0.016
Ramón UríasSTLTarik Skubal2.52%1under0.001
Thomas SaggeseSTLTarik Skubal0.554%1over0.212
Thomas SaggeseSTLTarik Skubal1.515%1under0.022
Thomas SaggeseSTLTarik Skubal2.52%1under0.000
Cedric MullinsTBCal Quantrill0.559%0under0.346
Cedric MullinsTBCal Quantrill1.519%0under0.038
Cedric MullinsTBCal Quantrill2.54%0under0.002
Chandler SimpsonTBCal Quantrill0.571%0under0.505
Chandler SimpsonTBCal Quantrill1.527%0under0.075
Chandler SimpsonTBCal Quantrill2.56%0under0.003
Jonathan ArandaTBCal Quantrill0.568%0under0.458
Jonathan ArandaTBCal Quantrill1.527%0under0.073
Jonathan ArandaTBCal Quantrill2.55%0under0.003
Jonny DeLucaTBCal Quantrill0.561%0under0.373
Jonny DeLucaTBCal Quantrill1.523%0under0.054
Jonny DeLucaTBCal Quantrill2.54%0under0.002
Jorge MateoTBCal Quantrill0.556%voided scratch
Jorge MateoTBCal Quantrill1.516%voided scratch
Jorge MateoTBCal Quantrill2.53%voided scratch
Junior CamineroTBCal Quantrill0.567%0under0.450
Junior CamineroTBCal Quantrill1.525%0under0.061
Junior CamineroTBCal Quantrill2.55%0under0.003
Nick FortesTBCal Quantrill0.554%1over0.211
Nick FortesTBCal Quantrill1.519%1under0.035
Nick FortesTBCal Quantrill2.53%1under0.001
Richie PalaciosTBCal Quantrill0.559%0under0.346
Richie PalaciosTBCal Quantrill1.519%0under0.038
Richie PalaciosTBCal Quantrill2.54%0under0.002
Yandy DíazTBCal Quantrill0.568%2over0.102
Yandy DíazTBCal Quantrill1.527%2over0.532
Yandy DíazTBCal Quantrill2.55%2under0.003
Brandon NimmoTEXShane McClanahan0.565%0under0.420
Brandon NimmoTEXShane McClanahan1.524%0under0.058
Brandon NimmoTEXShane McClanahan2.55%0under0.002
Cody FreemanTEXShane McClanahan0.562%voided scratch
Cody FreemanTEXShane McClanahan1.524%voided scratch
Cody FreemanTEXShane McClanahan2.55%voided scratch
Corey SeagerTEXShane McClanahan0.564%1over0.128
Corey SeagerTEXShane McClanahan1.522%1under0.046
Corey SeagerTEXShane McClanahan2.53%1under0.001
Elias DíazTEXShane McClanahan0.555%1over0.200
Elias DíazTEXShane McClanahan1.516%1under0.025
Elias DíazTEXShane McClanahan2.53%1under0.001
Ezequiel DuranTEXShane McClanahan0.563%1over0.138
Ezequiel DuranTEXShane McClanahan1.523%1under0.052
Ezequiel DuranTEXShane McClanahan2.54%1under0.002
Jake BurgerTEXShane McClanahan0.557%1over0.183
Jake BurgerTEXShane McClanahan1.520%1under0.039
Jake BurgerTEXShane McClanahan2.54%1under0.001
Justin FoscueTEXShane McClanahan0.556%1over0.191
Justin FoscueTEXShane McClanahan1.517%1under0.028
Justin FoscueTEXShane McClanahan2.53%1under0.001
Logan O'HoppeTEXShane McClanahan0.557%1over0.181
Logan O'HoppeTEXShane McClanahan1.510%1under0.011
Logan O'HoppeTEXShane McClanahan2.51%1under0.000
Wyatt LangfordTEXShane McClanahan0.563%1over0.136
Wyatt LangfordTEXShane McClanahan1.524%1under0.056
Wyatt LangfordTEXShane McClanahan2.56%1under0.004
Andrés GiménezTORTanner Bibee0.558%1over0.180
Andrés GiménezTORTanner Bibee1.519%1under0.035
Andrés GiménezTORTanner Bibee2.53%1under0.001
Brandon ValenzuelaTORTanner Bibee0.556%voided scratch
Brandon ValenzuelaTORTanner Bibee1.516%voided scratch
Brandon ValenzuelaTORTanner Bibee2.53%voided scratch
Brett BatemanTORTanner Bibee0.564%3over0.126
Brett BatemanTORTanner Bibee1.525%3over0.557
Brett BatemanTORTanner Bibee2.55%3over0.902
Ernie ClementTORTanner Bibee0.563%1over0.139
Ernie ClementTORTanner Bibee1.524%1under0.058
Ernie ClementTORTanner Bibee2.54%1under0.002
Jesús SánchezTORTanner Bibee0.556%1over0.198
Jesús SánchezTORTanner Bibee1.517%1under0.029
Jesús SánchezTORTanner Bibee2.52%1under0.001
Josh SmithTORTanner Bibee0.553%0under0.282
Josh SmithTORTanner Bibee1.516%0under0.024
Josh SmithTORTanner Bibee2.52%0under0.000
Nathan LukesTORTanner Bibee0.564%2over0.133
Nathan LukesTORTanner Bibee1.525%2over0.568
Nathan LukesTORTanner Bibee2.55%2under0.002
Sean KeysTORTanner Bibee0.553%1over0.222
Sean KeysTORTanner Bibee1.517%1under0.027
Sean KeysTORTanner Bibee2.53%1under0.001
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TORTanner Bibee0.568%0under0.463
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TORTanner Bibee1.528%0under0.081
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TORTanner Bibee2.55%0under0.002

Home runs

141 graded, 18 voided
BatterTeamOpposing starterLineP(over)ActualResultBrier
Alika WilliamsATHKade Anderson0.55%0under0.002
Brian ServenATHKade Anderson0.511%voided scratch
Henry BolteATHKade Anderson0.59%0under0.008
Jeff McNeilATHKade Anderson0.58%0under0.006
Jonah HeimATHKade Anderson0.59%0under0.008
Lawrence ButlerATHKade Anderson0.510%0under0.010
Max MuncyATHKade Anderson0.58%0under0.006
Michael StefanicATHKade Anderson0.56%0under0.004
Zack GelofATHKade Anderson0.512%1over0.766
Blaze AlexanderBALJake Bennett0.58%0under0.007
Carlos NarváezBALJake Bennett0.58%0under0.007
Christian Encarnacion-StrandBALJake Bennett0.515%1over0.716
Coby MayoBALJake Bennett0.516%0under0.026
Dylan BeaversBALJake Bennett0.510%voided scratch
Gunnar HendersonBALJake Bennett0.59%0under0.008
Leody TaverasBALJake Bennett0.59%voided scratch
Luis Robert Jr.BALJake Bennett0.516%1over0.712
Pete AlonsoBALJake Bennett0.526%1over0.553
Adley RutschmanBOSBrandon Young0.59%2over0.826
Caleb DurbinBOSBrandon Young0.56%0under0.003
Eli WhiteBOSBrandon Young0.59%0under0.008
Isiah Kiner-FalefaBOSBrandon Young0.58%0under0.007
Jarren DuranBOSBrandon Young0.510%0under0.011
Mickey GasperBOSBrandon Young0.516%0under0.024
Nick SogardBOSBrandon Young0.59%1over0.830
Roman AnthonyBOSBrandon Young0.510%voided scratch
Wilyer AbreuBOSBrandon Young0.516%0under0.025
Alex BregmanCHCLogan Henderson0.514%0under0.021
Carson KellyCHCLogan Henderson0.510%0under0.010
Ian HappCHCLogan Henderson0.512%0under0.014
Michael BuschCHCLogan Henderson0.513%0under0.017
Michael ConfortoCHCLogan Henderson0.59%0under0.009
Nico HoernerCHCLogan Henderson0.59%0under0.008
Pedro RamírezCHCLogan Henderson0.510%0under0.010
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHCLogan Henderson0.517%voided scratch
Seiya SuzukiCHCLogan Henderson0.512%0under0.013
Angel GenaoCLEJosé Soriano0.58%voided scratch
Austin HedgesCLEJosé Soriano0.57%0under0.005
Brayan RocchioCLEJosé Soriano0.58%0under0.006
Chase DeLauterCLEJosé Soriano0.58%0under0.007
Jo AdellCLEJosé Soriano0.511%voided scratch
José RamírezCLEJosé Soriano0.57%0under0.004
Nathaniel LoweCLEJosé Soriano0.510%voided scratch
Steven KwanCLEJosé Soriano0.53%0under0.001
Travis BazzanaCLEJosé Soriano0.58%0under0.006
Andrew BenintendiCWSHunter Brown0.59%0under0.008
Braden MontgomeryCWSHunter Brown0.59%0under0.008
Chase MeidrothCWSHunter Brown0.59%0under0.008
Colson MontgomeryCWSHunter Brown0.511%0under0.012
Jake RogersCWSHunter Brown0.59%0under0.008
Miguel VargasCWSHunter Brown0.511%0under0.013
Munetaka MurakamiCWSHunter Brown0.515%0under0.023
Sam AntonacciCWSHunter Brown0.55%0under0.002
Tristan PetersCWSHunter Brown0.511%0under0.012
Christian WalkerHOULuis Castillo0.59%0under0.009
Daulton VarshoHOULuis Castillo0.511%0under0.013
Isaac ParedesHOULuis Castillo0.58%0under0.006
Jeremy PeñaHOULuis Castillo0.511%0under0.012
Jose AltuveHOULuis Castillo0.59%1over0.827
LaMonte Wade Jr.HOULuis Castillo0.58%0under0.007
Taylor TrammellHOULuis Castillo0.59%0under0.009
Yainer DiazHOULuis Castillo0.510%0under0.011
Yordan AlvarezHOULuis Castillo0.514%0under0.020
Bobby Witt Jr.KCSandy Alcantara0.511%0under0.012
Carter JensenKCSandy Alcantara0.521%1over0.627
Isaac CollinsKCSandy Alcantara0.59%voided scratch
Jac CaglianoneKCSandy Alcantara0.517%0under0.029
Josh RojasKCSandy Alcantara0.56%0under0.004
Kyle IsbelKCSandy Alcantara0.58%0under0.006
Michael MasseyKCSandy Alcantara0.59%0under0.009
Salvador PerezKCSandy Alcantara0.511%0under0.013
Vinnie PasquantinoKCSandy Alcantara0.513%0under0.016
Alex CallLADQuinn Mathews0.57%0under0.005
Enrique HernándezLADQuinn Mathews0.58%0under0.006
Freddie FreemanLADQuinn Mathews0.58%0under0.007
Kyle TuckerLADQuinn Mathews0.56%0under0.004
Miguel RojasLADQuinn Mathews0.56%0under0.003
Mookie BettsLADQuinn Mathews0.59%voided scratch
Teoscar HernándezLADQuinn Mathews0.510%voided scratch
Tommy EdmanLADQuinn Mathews0.59%voided scratch
Will SmithLADQuinn Mathews0.59%0under0.008
Agustín RamírezMIAMichael Wacha0.57%1over0.870
Graham PauleyMIAMichael Wacha0.58%0under0.006
Griffin ConineMIAMichael Wacha0.515%0under0.022
Heriberto HernándezMIAMichael Wacha0.518%1over0.668
Jakob MarseeMIAMichael Wacha0.510%0under0.009
Javier SanojaMIAMichael Wacha0.58%0under0.006
Joe MackMIAMichael Wacha0.59%0under0.007
Kyle StowersMIAMichael Wacha0.518%0under0.033
Otto LopezMIAMichael Wacha0.59%0under0.008
Andrew VaughnMILKevin Gausman0.58%1over0.847
Brice TurangMILKevin Gausman0.510%0under0.009
Christian YelichMILKevin Gausman0.511%0under0.012
David HamiltonMILKevin Gausman0.56%0under0.004
Garrett MitchellMILKevin Gausman0.58%0under0.006
Jackson ChourioMILKevin Gausman0.516%0under0.026
Jake BauersMILKevin Gausman0.514%0under0.021
Joey OrtizMILKevin Gausman0.510%0under0.010
William ContrerasMILKevin Gausman0.511%0under0.013
Brandon LowePITBlade Tidwell0.515%0under0.021
Bryan ReynoldsPITBlade Tidwell0.59%0under0.008
Jacob GonzalezPITBlade Tidwell0.57%0under0.004
Jake MangumPITBlade Tidwell0.58%0under0.007
Jared TrioloPITBlade Tidwell0.57%0under0.005
Nick GonzalesPITBlade Tidwell0.54%0under0.002
Oneil CruzPITBlade Tidwell0.515%0under0.021
Rafael Flores Jr.PITBlade Tidwell0.511%0under0.013
Spencer HorwitzPITBlade Tidwell0.57%voided scratch
Brock RoddenSEAJack Perkins0.57%0under0.004
Cal RaleighSEAJack Perkins0.513%0under0.016
Cole YoungSEAJack Perkins0.57%0under0.005
Dominic CanzoneSEAJack Perkins0.59%0under0.008
J.P. CrawfordSEAJack Perkins0.55%0under0.002
Josh NaylorSEAJack Perkins0.57%0under0.005
Julio RodríguezSEAJack Perkins0.510%0under0.009
Randy ArozarenaSEAJack Perkins0.510%0under0.010
Andrew KniznerSFLake Bachar0.57%0under0.005
Bryce EldridgeSFLake Bachar0.511%0under0.012
Christian KossSFLake Bachar0.58%0under0.006
Drew GilbertSFLake Bachar0.59%0under0.009
Jonah CoxSFLake Bachar0.511%0under0.012
Rafael DeversSFLake Bachar0.515%0under0.023
Shay WhitcombSFLake Bachar0.59%0under0.007
Turner HillSFLake Bachar0.57%voided scratch
Iván HerreraSTLTarik Skubal0.59%voided scratch
Jordan WalkerSTLTarik Skubal0.511%0under0.013
Joshua BáezSTLTarik Skubal0.513%0under0.017
José FermínSTLTarik Skubal0.58%0under0.006
Nathan ChurchSTLTarik Skubal0.56%0under0.004
Pedro PagésSTLTarik Skubal0.56%0under0.003
Ramón UríasSTLTarik Skubal0.511%0under0.012
Thomas SaggeseSTLTarik Skubal0.511%0under0.012
Cedric MullinsTBCal Quantrill0.59%0under0.008
Chandler SimpsonTBCal Quantrill0.53%0under0.001
Jonathan ArandaTBCal Quantrill0.512%0under0.013
Jonny DeLucaTBCal Quantrill0.57%0under0.005
Jorge MateoTBCal Quantrill0.57%voided scratch
Junior CamineroTBCal Quantrill0.513%0under0.017
Nick FortesTBCal Quantrill0.54%0under0.002
Richie PalaciosTBCal Quantrill0.56%0under0.004
Yandy DíazTBCal Quantrill0.513%0under0.017
Brandon NimmoTEXShane McClanahan0.59%0under0.008
Cody FreemanTEXShane McClanahan0.55%voided scratch
Corey SeagerTEXShane McClanahan0.511%1over0.797
Elias DíazTEXShane McClanahan0.59%0under0.009
Ezequiel DuranTEXShane McClanahan0.510%0under0.009
Jake BurgerTEXShane McClanahan0.513%0under0.018
Justin FoscueTEXShane McClanahan0.511%0under0.012
Logan O'HoppeTEXShane McClanahan0.57%0under0.005
Wyatt LangfordTEXShane McClanahan0.57%0under0.004
Andrés GiménezTORTanner Bibee0.57%0under0.005
Brandon ValenzuelaTORTanner Bibee0.57%voided scratch
Brett BatemanTORTanner Bibee0.53%0under0.001
Ernie ClementTORTanner Bibee0.54%0under0.001
Jesús SánchezTORTanner Bibee0.510%0under0.010
Josh SmithTORTanner Bibee0.59%0under0.007
Nathan LukesTORTanner Bibee0.59%0under0.009
Sean KeysTORTanner Bibee0.58%0under0.006
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TORTanner Bibee0.59%0under0.008

Run totals

9 graded
GameMeanP(over 8.5)ActualCRPS
TB at TEX8.6747%61.442
ATH at SEA9.1151%111.536
SF at PIT8.8549%71.202
STL at LAD8.5146%51.832
MIA at KC9.2953%101.164
CWS at HOU9.2553%81.102
TOR at CLE8.9050%91.038
MIL at CHC9.1552%33.752
BOS at BAL8.8849%111.591

Brier is the squared error of a probability (0 perfect, 0.25 a coin flip, 1 confidently wrong). Totals are scored by CRPS over the whole distribution instead, so the two are not comparable. Machine-readable versions of everything here are in the raw artifacts.