2026-09-17

Every probability published for this slate, beside what actually happened. Published before first pitch, graded that night, never edited. Rows that show a void carry the reason; they stay on the record rather than being removed.

← 2026-09-16 all days 2026-09-18 →

Strikeouts

105 graded
PitcherTeamOppLineP(over)KResultBrier
Aaron NolaPHINYM2.588%4over0.014
Aaron NolaPHINYM3.574%4over0.066
Aaron NolaPHINYM4.557%4under0.322
Aaron NolaPHINYM5.539%4under0.149
Aaron NolaPHINYM6.523%4under0.053
Aaron NolaPHINYM7.512%4under0.013
Aaron NolaPHINYM8.55%4under0.003
Brady SingerCINLAD1.594%0under0.875
Brady SingerCINLAD2.582%0under0.673
Brady SingerCINLAD3.565%0under0.423
Brady SingerCINLAD4.546%0under0.211
Brady SingerCINLAD5.528%0under0.081
Brady SingerCINLAD6.515%0under0.022
Brady SingerCINLAD7.57%0under0.004
Drew RasmussenTBATH3.579%3under0.626
Drew RasmussenTBATH4.564%3under0.413
Drew RasmussenTBATH5.548%3under0.231
Drew RasmussenTBATH6.533%3under0.109
Drew RasmussenTBATH7.521%3under0.043
Drew RasmussenTBATH8.512%3under0.014
Drew RasmussenTBATH9.56%3under0.004
Erick FeddeCWSDET1.591%6over0.007
Erick FeddeCWSDET2.578%6over0.049
Erick FeddeCWSDET3.560%6over0.162
Erick FeddeCWSDET4.541%6over0.351
Erick FeddeCWSDET5.524%6over0.572
Erick FeddeCWSDET6.512%6under0.015
Erick FeddeCWSDET7.55%6under0.003
Framber ValdezDETCWS1.593%8over0.005
Framber ValdezDETCWS2.580%8over0.038
Framber ValdezDETCWS3.563%8over0.137
Framber ValdezDETCWS4.544%8over0.314
Framber ValdezDETCWS5.527%8over0.533
Framber ValdezDETCWS6.514%8over0.739
Framber ValdezDETCWS7.56%8over0.879
Jeffrey SpringsATHTB1.589%4over0.011
Jeffrey SpringsATHTB2.574%4over0.067
Jeffrey SpringsATHTB3.555%4over0.205
Jeffrey SpringsATHTB4.536%4under0.127
Jeffrey SpringsATHTB5.520%4under0.040
Jeffrey SpringsATHTB6.59%4under0.009
Jeffrey SpringsATHTB7.54%4under0.001
Justin WrobleskiLADCIN2.586%3over0.019
Justin WrobleskiLADCIN3.571%3under0.509
Justin WrobleskiLADCIN4.553%3under0.279
Justin WrobleskiLADCIN5.535%3under0.120
Justin WrobleskiLADCIN6.520%3under0.039
Justin WrobleskiLADCIN7.59%3under0.008
Justin WrobleskiLADCIN8.54%3under0.001
Kyle HarrisonMILPIT2.586%2under0.741
Kyle HarrisonMILPIT3.572%2under0.516
Kyle HarrisonMILPIT4.555%2under0.299
Kyle HarrisonMILPIT5.537%2under0.141
Kyle HarrisonMILPIT6.523%2under0.052
Kyle HarrisonMILPIT7.512%2under0.014
Kyle HarrisonMILPIT8.56%2under0.003
Michael KingSDCOL2.586%6over0.019
Michael KingSDCOL3.571%6over0.083
Michael KingSDCOL4.553%6over0.222
Michael KingSDCOL5.535%6over0.424
Michael KingSDCOL6.520%6under0.040
Michael KingSDCOL7.59%6under0.009
Michael KingSDCOL8.54%6under0.002
Nolan McLeanNYMPHI2.588%5over0.015
Nolan McLeanNYMPHI3.574%5over0.068
Nolan McLeanNYMPHI4.556%5over0.190
Nolan McLeanNYMPHI5.539%5under0.150
Nolan McLeanNYMPHI6.523%5under0.054
Nolan McLeanNYMPHI7.512%5under0.014
Nolan McLeanNYMPHI8.55%5under0.003
Seth LugoKCHOU1.591%5over0.009
Seth LugoKCHOU2.577%5over0.055
Seth LugoKCHOU3.558%5over0.178
Seth LugoKCHOU4.539%5over0.376
Seth LugoKCHOU5.523%5under0.051
Seth LugoKCHOU6.511%5under0.012
Seth LugoKCHOU7.55%5under0.002
Sonny GrayBOSTEX2.588%6over0.015
Sonny GrayBOSTEX3.574%6over0.069
Sonny GrayBOSTEX4.556%6over0.191
Sonny GrayBOSTEX5.538%6over0.379
Sonny GrayBOSTEX6.523%6under0.053
Sonny GrayBOSTEX7.512%6under0.014
Sonny GrayBOSTEX8.55%6under0.003
Taj BradleyMINLAA3.586%9over0.021
Taj BradleyMINLAA4.573%9over0.072
Taj BradleyMINLAA5.558%9over0.175
Taj BradleyMINLAA6.543%9over0.326
Taj BradleyMINLAA7.530%9over0.496
Taj BradleyMINLAA8.519%9over0.653
Taj BradleyMINLAA9.512%9under0.014
Tanner GordonCOLSD1.587%3over0.018
Tanner GordonCOLSD2.570%3over0.092
Tanner GordonCOLSD3.550%3under0.246
Tanner GordonCOLSD4.531%3under0.096
Tanner GordonCOLSD5.517%3under0.028
Tanner GordonCOLSD6.57%3under0.005
Tanner GordonCOLSD7.53%3under0.001
Walbert UreñaLAAMIN2.587%9over0.016
Walbert UreñaLAAMIN3.573%9over0.072
Walbert UreñaLAAMIN4.556%9over0.197
Walbert UreñaLAAMIN5.538%9over0.388
Walbert UreñaLAAMIN6.522%9over0.602
Walbert UreñaLAAMIN7.511%9over0.789
Walbert UreñaLAAMIN8.55%9over0.902

Hits

414 graded, 60 voided
BatterTeamOpposing starterLineP(over)ActualResultBrier
Alika WilliamsATHDrew Rasmussen0.551%—voided scratch—
Alika WilliamsATHDrew Rasmussen1.516%—voided scratch—
Alika WilliamsATHDrew Rasmussen2.53%—voided scratch—
Denzel ClarkeATHDrew Rasmussen0.548%1over0.273
Denzel ClarkeATHDrew Rasmussen1.513%1under0.017
Denzel ClarkeATHDrew Rasmussen2.52%1under0.000
Donovan WaltonATHDrew Rasmussen0.553%0under0.281
Donovan WaltonATHDrew Rasmussen1.516%0under0.027
Donovan WaltonATHDrew Rasmussen2.53%0under0.001
Henry BolteATHDrew Rasmussen0.561%1over0.151
Henry BolteATHDrew Rasmussen1.524%1under0.056
Henry BolteATHDrew Rasmussen2.54%1under0.002
Jeff McNeilATHDrew Rasmussen0.566%0under0.432
Jeff McNeilATHDrew Rasmussen1.525%0under0.064
Jeff McNeilATHDrew Rasmussen2.55%0under0.003
Jonah HeimATHDrew Rasmussen0.558%—voided scratch—
Jonah HeimATHDrew Rasmussen1.520%—voided scratch—
Jonah HeimATHDrew Rasmussen2.54%—voided scratch—
Lawrence ButlerATHDrew Rasmussen0.560%2over0.158
Lawrence ButlerATHDrew Rasmussen1.521%2over0.625
Lawrence ButlerATHDrew Rasmussen2.54%2under0.002
Tommy WhiteATHDrew Rasmussen0.558%0under0.337
Tommy WhiteATHDrew Rasmussen1.520%0under0.040
Tommy WhiteATHDrew Rasmussen2.54%0under0.001
Zack GelofATHDrew Rasmussen0.557%1over0.185
Zack GelofATHDrew Rasmussen1.520%1under0.039
Zack GelofATHDrew Rasmussen2.53%1under0.001
Adley RutschmanBOSTyler Alexander0.565%1over0.121
Adley RutschmanBOSTyler Alexander1.526%1under0.066
Adley RutschmanBOSTyler Alexander2.56%1under0.004
Caleb DurbinBOSTyler Alexander0.563%0under0.394
Caleb DurbinBOSTyler Alexander1.523%0under0.055
Caleb DurbinBOSTyler Alexander2.56%0under0.004
Jahmai JonesBOSTyler Alexander0.554%0under0.289
Jahmai JonesBOSTyler Alexander1.515%0under0.024
Jahmai JonesBOSTyler Alexander2.53%0under0.001
Jarren DuranBOSTyler Alexander0.559%0under0.346
Jarren DuranBOSTyler Alexander1.521%0under0.042
Jarren DuranBOSTyler Alexander2.55%0under0.002
Nick SogardBOSTyler Alexander0.564%0under0.406
Nick SogardBOSTyler Alexander1.524%0under0.059
Nick SogardBOSTyler Alexander2.55%0under0.003
Roman AnthonyBOSTyler Alexander0.561%—voided scratch—
Roman AnthonyBOSTyler Alexander1.523%—voided scratch—
Roman AnthonyBOSTyler Alexander2.54%—voided scratch—
Trevor StoryBOSTyler Alexander0.564%2over0.127
Trevor StoryBOSTyler Alexander1.525%2over0.560
Trevor StoryBOSTyler Alexander2.55%2under0.002
Willson ContrerasBOSTyler Alexander0.566%1over0.114
Willson ContrerasBOSTyler Alexander1.525%1under0.063
Willson ContrerasBOSTyler Alexander2.56%1under0.003
Wilyer AbreuBOSTyler Alexander0.565%1over0.124
Wilyer AbreuBOSTyler Alexander1.526%1under0.066
Wilyer AbreuBOSTyler Alexander2.55%1under0.003
Dane MyersCINJustin Wrobleski0.567%0under0.443
Dane MyersCINJustin Wrobleski1.526%0under0.070
Dane MyersCINJustin Wrobleski2.56%0under0.004
Elly De La CruzCINJustin Wrobleski0.568%0under0.468
Elly De La CruzCINJustin Wrobleski1.527%0under0.073
Elly De La CruzCINJustin Wrobleski2.56%0under0.004
Héctor RodríguezCINJustin Wrobleski0.557%1over0.188
Héctor RodríguezCINJustin Wrobleski1.518%1under0.033
Héctor RodríguezCINJustin Wrobleski2.54%1under0.001
Juan BritoCINJustin Wrobleski0.562%—voided scratch—
Juan BritoCINJustin Wrobleski1.522%—voided scratch—
Juan BritoCINJustin Wrobleski2.54%—voided scratch—
Ke'Bryan HayesCINJustin Wrobleski0.553%0under0.286
Ke'Bryan HayesCINJustin Wrobleski1.515%0under0.024
Ke'Bryan HayesCINJustin Wrobleski2.52%0under0.001
Matt McLainCINJustin Wrobleski0.560%—voided scratch—
Matt McLainCINJustin Wrobleski1.518%—voided scratch—
Matt McLainCINJustin Wrobleski2.54%—voided scratch—
Sal StewartCINJustin Wrobleski0.567%2over0.112
Sal StewartCINJustin Wrobleski1.527%2over0.539
Sal StewartCINJustin Wrobleski2.55%2under0.003
TJ FriedlCINJustin Wrobleski0.548%2over0.273
TJ FriedlCINJustin Wrobleski1.514%2over0.737
TJ FriedlCINJustin Wrobleski2.52%2under0.001
Tyler StephensonCINJustin Wrobleski0.562%1over0.148
Tyler StephensonCINJustin Wrobleski1.522%1under0.048
Tyler StephensonCINJustin Wrobleski2.54%1under0.001
Brett SullivanCOLMichael King0.559%—voided scratch—
Brett SullivanCOLMichael King1.519%—voided scratch—
Brett SullivanCOLMichael King2.54%—voided scratch—
Cole CarriggCOLMichael King0.567%1over0.112
Cole CarriggCOLMichael King1.525%1under0.064
Cole CarriggCOLMichael King2.55%1under0.003
Connor NorbyCOLMichael King0.564%1over0.133
Connor NorbyCOLMichael King1.522%1under0.050
Connor NorbyCOLMichael King2.54%1under0.001
Jake McCarthyCOLMichael King0.568%1over0.104
Jake McCarthyCOLMichael King1.528%1under0.077
Jake McCarthyCOLMichael King2.56%1under0.003
Kyle KarrosCOLMichael King0.564%1over0.130
Kyle KarrosCOLMichael King1.524%1under0.056
Kyle KarrosCOLMichael King2.55%1under0.002
Mickey MoniakCOLMichael King0.561%2over0.150
Mickey MoniakCOLMichael King1.524%2over0.581
Mickey MoniakCOLMichael King2.54%2under0.001
TJ RumfieldCOLMichael King0.568%1over0.102
TJ RumfieldCOLMichael King1.527%1under0.071
TJ RumfieldCOLMichael King2.55%1under0.003
Troy JohnstonCOLMichael King0.563%0under0.400
Troy JohnstonCOLMichael King1.524%0under0.056
Troy JohnstonCOLMichael King2.55%0under0.002
Zac VeenCOLMichael King0.551%—voided scratch—
Zac VeenCOLMichael King1.515%—voided scratch—
Zac VeenCOLMichael King2.52%—voided scratch—
Braden MontgomeryCWSFramber Valdez0.555%0under0.307
Braden MontgomeryCWSFramber Valdez1.517%0under0.028
Braden MontgomeryCWSFramber Valdez2.53%0under0.001
Brenton DoyleCWSFramber Valdez0.552%2over0.231
Brenton DoyleCWSFramber Valdez1.516%2over0.702
Brenton DoyleCWSFramber Valdez2.53%2under0.001
Chase MeidrothCWSFramber Valdez0.568%1over0.105
Chase MeidrothCWSFramber Valdez1.527%1under0.073
Chase MeidrothCWSFramber Valdez2.56%1under0.003
Jake RogersCWSFramber Valdez0.555%—voided scratch—
Jake RogersCWSFramber Valdez1.515%—voided scratch—
Jake RogersCWSFramber Valdez2.52%—voided scratch—
Luisangel AcuñaCWSFramber Valdez0.553%0under0.281
Luisangel AcuñaCWSFramber Valdez1.515%0under0.022
Luisangel AcuñaCWSFramber Valdez2.53%0under0.001
Miguel VargasCWSFramber Valdez0.568%0under0.467
Miguel VargasCWSFramber Valdez1.529%0under0.082
Miguel VargasCWSFramber Valdez2.57%0under0.005
Munetaka MurakamiCWSFramber Valdez0.563%2over0.139
Munetaka MurakamiCWSFramber Valdez1.523%2over0.593
Munetaka MurakamiCWSFramber Valdez2.54%2under0.001
Randal GrichukCWSFramber Valdez0.563%0under0.400
Randal GrichukCWSFramber Valdez1.522%0under0.049
Randal GrichukCWSFramber Valdez2.54%0under0.002
Tommy PhamCWSFramber Valdez0.553%0under0.280
Tommy PhamCWSFramber Valdez1.514%0under0.020
Tommy PhamCWSFramber Valdez2.52%0under0.000
Brett CallahanDETErick Fedde0.555%0under0.306
Brett CallahanDETErick Fedde1.517%0under0.030
Brett CallahanDETErick Fedde2.53%0under0.001
Colt KeithDETErick Fedde0.559%—voided scratch—
Colt KeithDETErick Fedde1.518%—voided scratch—
Colt KeithDETErick Fedde2.53%—voided scratch—
Dillon DinglerDETErick Fedde0.567%1over0.110
Dillon DinglerDETErick Fedde1.530%1under0.088
Dillon DinglerDETErick Fedde2.57%1under0.004
Hao-Yu LeeDETErick Fedde0.565%—voided scratch—
Hao-Yu LeeDETErick Fedde1.523%—voided scratch—
Hao-Yu LeeDETErick Fedde2.54%—voided scratch—
John PeckDETErick Fedde0.562%1over0.144
John PeckDETErick Fedde1.522%1under0.047
John PeckDETErick Fedde2.54%1under0.002
Kevin McGonigleDETErick Fedde0.569%—voided scratch—
Kevin McGonigleDETErick Fedde1.528%—voided scratch—
Kevin McGonigleDETErick Fedde2.56%—voided scratch—
Max ClarkDETErick Fedde0.567%1over0.107
Max ClarkDETErick Fedde1.526%1under0.068
Max ClarkDETErick Fedde2.55%1under0.003
Riley GreeneDETErick Fedde0.568%1over0.103
Riley GreeneDETErick Fedde1.528%1under0.078
Riley GreeneDETErick Fedde2.56%1under0.003
Spencer TorkelsonDETErick Fedde0.560%1over0.161
Spencer TorkelsonDETErick Fedde1.521%1under0.043
Spencer TorkelsonDETErick Fedde2.54%1under0.001
Cam SmithHOUSeth Lugo0.557%0under0.330
Cam SmithHOUSeth Lugo1.518%0under0.032
Cam SmithHOUSeth Lugo2.53%0under0.001
Daulton VarshoHOUSeth Lugo0.560%1over0.160
Daulton VarshoHOUSeth Lugo1.520%1under0.040
Daulton VarshoHOUSeth Lugo2.53%1under0.001
Isaac ParedesHOUSeth Lugo0.567%1over0.106
Isaac ParedesHOUSeth Lugo1.527%1under0.073
Isaac ParedesHOUSeth Lugo2.55%1under0.003
Jeremy PeñaHOUSeth Lugo0.566%2over0.114
Jeremy PeñaHOUSeth Lugo1.527%2over0.539
Jeremy PeñaHOUSeth Lugo2.57%2under0.004
Jose AltuveHOUSeth Lugo0.565%1over0.124
Jose AltuveHOUSeth Lugo1.526%1under0.067
Jose AltuveHOUSeth Lugo2.55%1under0.003
LaMonte Wade Jr.HOUSeth Lugo0.552%2over0.226
LaMonte Wade Jr.HOUSeth Lugo1.514%2over0.736
LaMonte Wade Jr.HOUSeth Lugo2.52%2under0.000
Taylor TrammellHOUSeth Lugo0.554%1over0.209
Taylor TrammellHOUSeth Lugo1.517%1under0.028
Taylor TrammellHOUSeth Lugo2.53%1under0.001
Yainer DiazHOUSeth Lugo0.566%1over0.114
Yainer DiazHOUSeth Lugo1.526%1under0.066
Yainer DiazHOUSeth Lugo2.56%1under0.003
Yordan AlvarezHOUSeth Lugo0.571%2over0.086
Yordan AlvarezHOUSeth Lugo1.529%2over0.505
Yordan AlvarezHOUSeth Lugo2.56%2under0.003
Bobby Witt Jr.KCMiguel Ullola0.569%0under0.476
Bobby Witt Jr.KCMiguel Ullola1.526%0under0.067
Bobby Witt Jr.KCMiguel Ullola2.55%0under0.002
Carter JensenKCMiguel Ullola0.567%2over0.109
Carter JensenKCMiguel Ullola1.526%2over0.548
Carter JensenKCMiguel Ullola2.54%2under0.002
Isaac CollinsKCMiguel Ullola0.559%0under0.347
Isaac CollinsKCMiguel Ullola1.519%0under0.037
Isaac CollinsKCMiguel Ullola2.53%0under0.001
Jac CaglianoneKCMiguel Ullola0.562%0under0.385
Jac CaglianoneKCMiguel Ullola1.523%0under0.053
Jac CaglianoneKCMiguel Ullola2.54%0under0.002
John RaveKCMiguel Ullola0.558%1over0.177
John RaveKCMiguel Ullola1.519%1under0.036
John RaveKCMiguel Ullola2.54%1under0.001
Kyle IsbelKCMiguel Ullola0.554%0under0.289
Kyle IsbelKCMiguel Ullola1.518%0under0.033
Kyle IsbelKCMiguel Ullola2.53%0under0.001
Maikel GarciaKCMiguel Ullola0.563%0under0.398
Maikel GarciaKCMiguel Ullola1.520%0under0.038
Maikel GarciaKCMiguel Ullola2.53%0under0.001
Michael MasseyKCMiguel Ullola0.568%—voided scratch—
Michael MasseyKCMiguel Ullola1.527%—voided scratch—
Michael MasseyKCMiguel Ullola2.56%—voided scratch—
Salvador PerezKCMiguel Ullola0.566%0under0.429
Salvador PerezKCMiguel Ullola1.524%0under0.056
Salvador PerezKCMiguel Ullola2.54%0under0.002
Denzer GuzmanLAATaj Bradley0.556%1over0.194
Denzer GuzmanLAATaj Bradley1.519%1under0.034
Denzer GuzmanLAATaj Bradley2.53%1under0.001
Jose SiriLAATaj Bradley0.551%0under0.262
Jose SiriLAATaj Bradley1.515%0under0.024
Jose SiriLAATaj Bradley2.52%0under0.001
Josh LoweLAATaj Bradley0.550%1over0.249
Josh LoweLAATaj Bradley1.514%1under0.020
Josh LoweLAATaj Bradley2.53%1under0.001
Mike TroutLAATaj Bradley0.561%—voided scratch—
Mike TroutLAATaj Bradley1.521%—voided scratch—
Mike TroutLAATaj Bradley2.55%—voided scratch—
Moisés BallesterosLAATaj Bradley0.555%1over0.200
Moisés BallesterosLAATaj Bradley1.518%1under0.033
Moisés BallesterosLAATaj Bradley2.53%1under0.001
Oswald PerazaLAATaj Bradley0.551%2over0.242
Oswald PerazaLAATaj Bradley1.516%2over0.698
Oswald PerazaLAATaj Bradley2.52%2under0.001
Tyler HeinemanLAATaj Bradley0.546%0under0.214
Tyler HeinemanLAATaj Bradley1.514%0under0.020
Tyler HeinemanLAATaj Bradley2.52%0under0.000
Wade MecklerLAATaj Bradley0.564%—voided scratch—
Wade MecklerLAATaj Bradley1.525%—voided scratch—
Wade MecklerLAATaj Bradley2.55%—voided scratch—
Zach NetoLAATaj Bradley0.565%0under0.424
Zach NetoLAATaj Bradley1.524%0under0.059
Zach NetoLAATaj Bradley2.54%0under0.002
Alex FreelandLADBrady Singer0.559%0under0.353
Alex FreelandLADBrady Singer1.520%0under0.041
Alex FreelandLADBrady Singer2.54%0under0.002
Freddie FreemanLADBrady Singer0.569%2over0.099
Freddie FreemanLADBrady Singer1.528%2over0.512
Freddie FreemanLADBrady Singer2.56%2under0.004
Hunter FeducciaLADBrady Singer0.559%0under0.347
Hunter FeducciaLADBrady Singer1.517%0under0.031
Hunter FeducciaLADBrady Singer2.54%0under0.001
Kyle TuckerLADBrady Singer0.566%4over0.113
Kyle TuckerLADBrady Singer1.527%4over0.536
Kyle TuckerLADBrady Singer2.56%4over0.893
Max MuncyLADBrady Singer0.566%2over0.116
Max MuncyLADBrady Singer1.525%2over0.560
Max MuncyLADBrady Singer2.55%2under0.002
Miguel RojasLADBrady Singer0.555%2over0.200
Miguel RojasLADBrady Singer1.517%2over0.690
Miguel RojasLADBrady Singer2.53%2under0.001
Teoscar HernándezLADBrady Singer0.562%1over0.146
Teoscar HernándezLADBrady Singer1.522%1under0.048
Teoscar HernándezLADBrady Singer2.55%1under0.002
Tommy EdmanLADBrady Singer0.566%0under0.430
Tommy EdmanLADBrady Singer1.526%0under0.067
Tommy EdmanLADBrady Singer2.55%0under0.002
Andrew VaughnMILWilber Dotel0.557%0under0.326
Andrew VaughnMILWilber Dotel1.518%0under0.031
Andrew VaughnMILWilber Dotel2.53%0under0.001
Bo NaylorMILWilber Dotel0.557%1over0.186
Bo NaylorMILWilber Dotel1.517%1under0.027
Bo NaylorMILWilber Dotel2.53%1under0.001
Brice TurangMILWilber Dotel0.567%1over0.107
Brice TurangMILWilber Dotel1.527%1under0.072
Brice TurangMILWilber Dotel2.55%1under0.003
David HamiltonMILWilber Dotel0.559%1over0.169
David HamiltonMILWilber Dotel1.519%1under0.037
David HamiltonMILWilber Dotel2.53%1under0.001
Gary SánchezMILWilber Dotel0.556%1over0.196
Gary SánchezMILWilber Dotel1.518%1under0.032
Gary SánchezMILWilber Dotel2.53%1under0.001
Jackson ChourioMILWilber Dotel0.568%0under0.467
Jackson ChourioMILWilber Dotel1.527%0under0.075
Jackson ChourioMILWilber Dotel2.57%0under0.005
Joey OrtizMILWilber Dotel0.563%—voided scratch—
Joey OrtizMILWilber Dotel1.522%—voided scratch—
Joey OrtizMILWilber Dotel2.55%—voided scratch—
Luis LaraMILWilber Dotel0.564%0under0.415
Luis LaraMILWilber Dotel1.525%0under0.063
Luis LaraMILWilber Dotel2.55%0under0.003
Sal FrelickMILWilber Dotel0.564%2over0.133
Sal FrelickMILWilber Dotel1.521%2over0.617
Sal FrelickMILWilber Dotel2.55%2under0.002
Brooks LeeMINWalbert Ureña0.562%2over0.144
Brooks LeeMINWalbert Ureña1.523%2over0.591
Brooks LeeMINWalbert Ureña2.54%2under0.002
Josh BellMINWalbert Ureña0.565%1over0.125
Josh BellMINWalbert Ureña1.525%1under0.064
Josh BellMINWalbert Ureña2.55%1under0.002
Kody ClemensMINWalbert Ureña0.563%1over0.140
Kody ClemensMINWalbert Ureña1.522%1under0.049
Kody ClemensMINWalbert Ureña2.54%1under0.002
Luke KeaschallMINWalbert Ureña0.565%1over0.125
Luke KeaschallMINWalbert Ureña1.526%1under0.068
Luke KeaschallMINWalbert Ureña2.56%1under0.003
Royce LewisMINWalbert Ureña0.559%—voided scratch—
Royce LewisMINWalbert Ureña1.521%—voided scratch—
Royce LewisMINWalbert Ureña2.53%—voided scratch—
Victor CaratiniMINWalbert Ureña0.559%1over0.169
Victor CaratiniMINWalbert Ureña1.519%1under0.036
Victor CaratiniMINWalbert Ureña2.53%1under0.001
Walker JenkinsMINWalbert Ureña0.553%3over0.223
Walker JenkinsMINWalbert Ureña1.516%3over0.714
Walker JenkinsMINWalbert Ureña2.52%3over0.951
A.J. EwingNYMAaron Nola0.565%—voided scratch—
A.J. EwingNYMAaron Nola1.525%—voided scratch—
A.J. EwingNYMAaron Nola2.55%—voided scratch—
Bo BichetteNYMAaron Nola0.567%1over0.112
Bo BichetteNYMAaron Nola1.527%1under0.074
Bo BichetteNYMAaron Nola2.56%1under0.003
Brett BatyNYMAaron Nola0.549%0under0.239
Brett BatyNYMAaron Nola1.514%0under0.018
Brett BatyNYMAaron Nola2.52%0under0.001
Carson BengeNYMAaron Nola0.567%1over0.109
Carson BengeNYMAaron Nola1.527%1under0.072
Carson BengeNYMAaron Nola2.55%1under0.002
Francisco AlvarezNYMAaron Nola0.554%0under0.297
Francisco AlvarezNYMAaron Nola1.518%0under0.032
Francisco AlvarezNYMAaron Nola2.53%0under0.001
Francisco LindorNYMAaron Nola0.565%0under0.420
Francisco LindorNYMAaron Nola1.522%0under0.048
Francisco LindorNYMAaron Nola2.54%0under0.002
Jared YoungNYMAaron Nola0.565%0under0.423
Jared YoungNYMAaron Nola1.524%0under0.057
Jared YoungNYMAaron Nola2.54%0under0.002
Juan SotoNYMAaron Nola0.567%0under0.443
Juan SotoNYMAaron Nola1.526%0under0.070
Juan SotoNYMAaron Nola2.55%0under0.002
Alec BohmPHINolan McLean0.565%1over0.123
Alec BohmPHINolan McLean1.525%1under0.062
Alec BohmPHINolan McLean2.54%1under0.002
Brandon MarshPHINolan McLean0.556%1over0.192
Brandon MarshPHINolan McLean1.518%1under0.034
Brandon MarshPHINolan McLean2.53%1under0.001
Bryce HarperPHINolan McLean0.561%3over0.151
Bryce HarperPHINolan McLean1.523%3over0.587
Bryce HarperPHINolan McLean2.55%3over0.909
Bryson StottPHINolan McLean0.562%2over0.145
Bryson StottPHINolan McLean1.523%2over0.592
Bryson StottPHINolan McLean2.54%2under0.002
Garrett StubbsPHINolan McLean0.549%0under0.242
Garrett StubbsPHINolan McLean1.514%0under0.019
Garrett StubbsPHINolan McLean2.52%0under0.001
Justin CrawfordPHINolan McLean0.553%1over0.222
Justin CrawfordPHINolan McLean1.517%1under0.027
Justin CrawfordPHINolan McLean2.53%1under0.001
Kyle SchwarberPHINolan McLean0.562%0under0.385
Kyle SchwarberPHINolan McLean1.522%0under0.048
Kyle SchwarberPHINolan McLean2.54%0under0.001
Luis ArraezPHINolan McLean0.569%0under0.479
Luis ArraezPHINolan McLean1.530%0under0.089
Luis ArraezPHINolan McLean2.57%0under0.005
Trea TurnerPHINolan McLean0.563%0under0.395
Trea TurnerPHINolan McLean1.523%0under0.054
Trea TurnerPHINolan McLean2.54%0under0.001
Brandon LowePITKyle Harrison0.562%1over0.146
Brandon LowePITKyle Harrison1.525%1under0.061
Brandon LowePITKyle Harrison2.55%1under0.002
Bryan ReynoldsPITKyle Harrison0.563%1over0.135
Bryan ReynoldsPITKyle Harrison1.524%1under0.057
Bryan ReynoldsPITKyle Harrison2.54%1under0.002
Henry DavisPITKyle Harrison0.545%1over0.305
Henry DavisPITKyle Harrison1.513%1under0.016
Henry DavisPITKyle Harrison2.52%1under0.000
Jared TrioloPITKyle Harrison0.554%1over0.213
Jared TrioloPITKyle Harrison1.516%1under0.027
Jared TrioloPITKyle Harrison2.52%1under0.001
Konnor GriffinPITKyle Harrison0.566%1over0.118
Konnor GriffinPITKyle Harrison1.525%1under0.060
Konnor GriffinPITKyle Harrison2.55%1under0.002
Nick GonzalesPITKyle Harrison0.565%0under0.422
Nick GonzalesPITKyle Harrison1.525%0under0.061
Nick GonzalesPITKyle Harrison2.54%0under0.002
Oneil CruzPITKyle Harrison0.562%1over0.141
Oneil CruzPITKyle Harrison1.524%1under0.058
Oneil CruzPITKyle Harrison2.55%1under0.002
Rafael Flores Jr.PITKyle Harrison0.560%0under0.357
Rafael Flores Jr.PITKyle Harrison1.520%0under0.039
Rafael Flores Jr.PITKyle Harrison2.54%0under0.001
Ronny SimonPITKyle Harrison0.562%1over0.147
Ronny SimonPITKyle Harrison1.522%1under0.049
Ronny SimonPITKyle Harrison2.52%1under0.001
Dustin HarrisSDTanner Gordon0.563%3over0.134
Dustin HarrisSDTanner Gordon1.523%3over0.593
Dustin HarrisSDTanner Gordon2.55%3over0.899
Fernando Tatis Jr.SDTanner Gordon0.569%1over0.098
Fernando Tatis Jr.SDTanner Gordon1.530%1under0.088
Fernando Tatis Jr.SDTanner Gordon2.57%1under0.005
Jackson MerrillSDTanner Gordon0.560%1over0.163
Jackson MerrillSDTanner Gordon1.527%1under0.074
Jackson MerrillSDTanner Gordon2.58%1under0.007
Jake CronenworthSDTanner Gordon0.563%—voided scratch—
Jake CronenworthSDTanner Gordon1.523%—voided scratch—
Jake CronenworthSDTanner Gordon2.55%—voided scratch—
Luis CampusanoSDTanner Gordon0.566%0under0.440
Luis CampusanoSDTanner Gordon1.524%0under0.057
Luis CampusanoSDTanner Gordon2.55%0under0.002
Manny MachadoSDTanner Gordon0.567%0under0.443
Manny MachadoSDTanner Gordon1.525%0under0.065
Manny MachadoSDTanner Gordon2.56%0under0.004
Samad TaylorSDTanner Gordon0.564%—voided scratch—
Samad TaylorSDTanner Gordon1.523%—voided scratch—
Samad TaylorSDTanner Gordon2.55%—voided scratch—
Ty FranceSDTanner Gordon0.568%3over0.102
Ty FranceSDTanner Gordon1.527%3over0.530
Ty FranceSDTanner Gordon2.57%3over0.874
Xander BogaertsSDTanner Gordon0.564%3over0.130
Xander BogaertsSDTanner Gordon1.522%3over0.601
Xander BogaertsSDTanner Gordon2.54%3over0.918
Chandler SimpsonTBJeffrey Springs0.568%—voided scratch—
Chandler SimpsonTBJeffrey Springs1.532%—voided scratch—
Chandler SimpsonTBJeffrey Springs2.56%—voided scratch—
Jonathan ArandaTBJeffrey Springs0.568%1over0.100
Jonathan ArandaTBJeffrey Springs1.528%1under0.076
Jonathan ArandaTBJeffrey Springs2.57%1under0.004
Jonny DeLucaTBJeffrey Springs0.565%0under0.429
Jonny DeLucaTBJeffrey Springs1.529%0under0.083
Jonny DeLucaTBJeffrey Springs2.56%0under0.003
Junior CamineroTBJeffrey Springs0.568%0under0.463
Junior CamineroTBJeffrey Springs1.528%0under0.080
Junior CamineroTBJeffrey Springs2.56%0under0.004
Liam HicksTBJeffrey Springs0.559%2over0.164
Liam HicksTBJeffrey Springs1.525%2over0.562
Liam HicksTBJeffrey Springs2.54%2under0.002
Richie PalaciosTBJeffrey Springs0.553%1over0.217
Richie PalaciosTBJeffrey Springs1.517%1under0.028
Richie PalaciosTBJeffrey Springs2.53%1under0.001
Ryan ViladeTBJeffrey Springs0.561%0under0.372
Ryan ViladeTBJeffrey Springs1.521%0under0.043
Ryan ViladeTBJeffrey Springs2.54%0under0.002
Taylor WallsTBJeffrey Springs0.556%1over0.194
Taylor WallsTBJeffrey Springs1.520%1under0.038
Taylor WallsTBJeffrey Springs2.55%1under0.002
Yandy DíazTBJeffrey Springs0.571%0under0.504
Yandy DíazTBJeffrey Springs1.530%0under0.088
Yandy DíazTBJeffrey Springs2.58%0under0.006
Brandon NimmoTEXSonny Gray0.566%0under0.432
Brandon NimmoTEXSonny Gray1.524%0under0.057
Brandon NimmoTEXSonny Gray2.54%0under0.002
Corey SeagerTEXSonny Gray0.563%1over0.137
Corey SeagerTEXSonny Gray1.522%1under0.049
Corey SeagerTEXSonny Gray2.54%1under0.001
Danny JansenTEXSonny Gray0.552%2over0.232
Danny JansenTEXSonny Gray1.517%2over0.690
Danny JansenTEXSonny Gray2.53%2under0.001
Evan CarterTEXSonny Gray0.556%0under0.317
Evan CarterTEXSonny Gray1.518%0under0.033
Evan CarterTEXSonny Gray2.53%0under0.001
Ezequiel DuranTEXSonny Gray0.564%0under0.410
Ezequiel DuranTEXSonny Gray1.523%0under0.054
Ezequiel DuranTEXSonny Gray2.54%0under0.002
Jake BurgerTEXSonny Gray0.560%0under0.359
Jake BurgerTEXSonny Gray1.520%0under0.040
Jake BurgerTEXSonny Gray2.53%0under0.001
Josh JungTEXSonny Gray0.568%1over0.100
Josh JungTEXSonny Gray1.524%1under0.059
Josh JungTEXSonny Gray2.55%1under0.003
Nicky LopezTEXSonny Gray0.553%0under0.286
Nicky LopezTEXSonny Gray1.518%0under0.031
Nicky LopezTEXSonny Gray2.53%0under0.001
Wyatt LangfordTEXSonny Gray0.562%0under0.382
Wyatt LangfordTEXSonny Gray1.521%0under0.045
Wyatt LangfordTEXSonny Gray2.53%0under0.001

Home runs

138 graded, 20 voided
BatterTeamOpposing starterLineP(over)ActualResultBrier
Alika WilliamsATHDrew Rasmussen0.57%—voided scratch—
Denzel ClarkeATHDrew Rasmussen0.510%0under0.010
Donovan WaltonATHDrew Rasmussen0.59%0under0.009
Henry BolteATHDrew Rasmussen0.514%0under0.019
Jeff McNeilATHDrew Rasmussen0.510%0under0.009
Jonah HeimATHDrew Rasmussen0.510%—voided scratch—
Lawrence ButlerATHDrew Rasmussen0.515%1over0.729
Tommy WhiteATHDrew Rasmussen0.510%0under0.011
Zack GelofATHDrew Rasmussen0.515%0under0.021
Adley RutschmanBOSTyler Alexander0.514%0under0.019
Caleb DurbinBOSTyler Alexander0.57%0under0.005
Jahmai JonesBOSTyler Alexander0.512%0under0.016
Jarren DuranBOSTyler Alexander0.516%0under0.024
Nick SogardBOSTyler Alexander0.512%0under0.013
Roman AnthonyBOSTyler Alexander0.515%—voided scratch—
Trevor StoryBOSTyler Alexander0.510%1over0.818
Willson ContrerasBOSTyler Alexander0.514%0under0.019
Wilyer AbreuBOSTyler Alexander0.514%0under0.019
Dane MyersCINJustin Wrobleski0.511%0under0.013
Elly De La CruzCINJustin Wrobleski0.533%0under0.109
Héctor RodríguezCINJustin Wrobleski0.512%0under0.016
Juan BritoCINJustin Wrobleski0.511%—voided scratch—
Ke'Bryan HayesCINJustin Wrobleski0.512%0under0.014
Matt McLainCINJustin Wrobleski0.516%—voided scratch—
Sal StewartCINJustin Wrobleski0.517%1over0.681
TJ FriedlCINJustin Wrobleski0.59%0under0.008
Tyler StephensonCINJustin Wrobleski0.519%0under0.035
Brett SullivanCOLMichael King0.59%—voided scratch—
Cole CarriggCOLMichael King0.515%0under0.022
Connor NorbyCOLMichael King0.512%0under0.014
Jake McCarthyCOLMichael King0.511%0under0.013
Kyle KarrosCOLMichael King0.512%0under0.014
Mickey MoniakCOLMichael King0.515%0under0.023
TJ RumfieldCOLMichael King0.511%0under0.012
Troy JohnstonCOLMichael King0.510%0under0.009
Zac VeenCOLMichael King0.510%—voided scratch—
Braden MontgomeryCWSFramber Valdez0.57%0under0.006
Brenton DoyleCWSFramber Valdez0.511%0under0.011
Chase MeidrothCWSFramber Valdez0.510%0under0.011
Jake RogersCWSFramber Valdez0.510%—voided scratch—
Luisangel AcuñaCWSFramber Valdez0.58%0under0.006
Miguel VargasCWSFramber Valdez0.510%0under0.009
Munetaka MurakamiCWSFramber Valdez0.514%1over0.735
Randal GrichukCWSFramber Valdez0.512%0under0.014
Tommy PhamCWSFramber Valdez0.510%0under0.010
Brett CallahanDETErick Fedde0.512%0under0.015
Colt KeithDETErick Fedde0.512%—voided scratch—
Dillon DinglerDETErick Fedde0.515%0under0.023
Hao-Yu LeeDETErick Fedde0.513%—voided scratch—
John PeckDETErick Fedde0.510%0under0.010
Kevin McGonigleDETErick Fedde0.516%—voided scratch—
Max ClarkDETErick Fedde0.510%0under0.010
Riley GreeneDETErick Fedde0.518%0under0.031
Spencer TorkelsonDETErick Fedde0.517%0under0.030
Cam SmithHOUSeth Lugo0.515%0under0.021
Daulton VarshoHOUSeth Lugo0.513%1over0.757
Isaac ParedesHOUSeth Lugo0.511%0under0.012
Jeremy PeñaHOUSeth Lugo0.515%1over0.717
Jose AltuveHOUSeth Lugo0.511%0under0.011
LaMonte Wade Jr.HOUSeth Lugo0.59%1over0.826
Taylor TrammellHOUSeth Lugo0.512%1over0.770
Yainer DiazHOUSeth Lugo0.513%0under0.017
Yordan AlvarezHOUSeth Lugo0.515%1over0.716
Bobby Witt Jr.KCMiguel Ullola0.517%0under0.028
Carter JensenKCMiguel Ullola0.519%0under0.035
Isaac CollinsKCMiguel Ullola0.57%0under0.005
Jac CaglianoneKCMiguel Ullola0.515%0under0.023
John RaveKCMiguel Ullola0.512%0under0.014
Kyle IsbelKCMiguel Ullola0.59%0under0.009
Maikel GarciaKCMiguel Ullola0.59%0under0.008
Michael MasseyKCMiguel Ullola0.510%—voided scratch—
Salvador PerezKCMiguel Ullola0.515%0under0.022
Denzer GuzmanLAATaj Bradley0.59%0under0.008
Jose SiriLAATaj Bradley0.511%0under0.012
Josh LoweLAATaj Bradley0.510%0under0.011
Mike TroutLAATaj Bradley0.510%—voided scratch—
Moisés BallesterosLAATaj Bradley0.511%0under0.012
Oswald PerazaLAATaj Bradley0.53%0under0.001
Tyler HeinemanLAATaj Bradley0.54%0under0.001
Wade MecklerLAATaj Bradley0.56%—voided scratch—
Zach NetoLAATaj Bradley0.513%0under0.016
Alex FreelandLADBrady Singer0.510%0under0.010
Freddie FreemanLADBrady Singer0.510%0under0.010
Hunter FeducciaLADBrady Singer0.510%0under0.010
Kyle TuckerLADBrady Singer0.512%1over0.771
Max MuncyLADBrady Singer0.516%0under0.027
Miguel RojasLADBrady Singer0.59%1over0.835
Teoscar HernándezLADBrady Singer0.515%0under0.022
Tommy EdmanLADBrady Singer0.515%0under0.022
Andrew VaughnMILWilber Dotel0.57%0under0.005
Bo NaylorMILWilber Dotel0.510%1over0.809
Brice TurangMILWilber Dotel0.510%0under0.010
David HamiltonMILWilber Dotel0.58%0under0.006
Gary SánchezMILWilber Dotel0.510%0under0.009
Jackson ChourioMILWilber Dotel0.513%0under0.016
Joey OrtizMILWilber Dotel0.510%—voided scratch—
Luis LaraMILWilber Dotel0.59%0under0.007
Sal FrelickMILWilber Dotel0.510%0under0.010
Brooks LeeMINWalbert Ureña0.510%0under0.011
Josh BellMINWalbert Ureña0.511%0under0.013
Kody ClemensMINWalbert Ureña0.513%0under0.016
Luke KeaschallMINWalbert Ureña0.510%0under0.010
Royce LewisMINWalbert Ureña0.59%—voided scratch—
Victor CaratiniMINWalbert Ureña0.57%0under0.005
Walker JenkinsMINWalbert Ureña0.58%1over0.843
A.J. EwingNYMAaron Nola0.511%—voided scratch—
Bo BichetteNYMAaron Nola0.515%0under0.021
Brett BatyNYMAaron Nola0.510%0under0.010
Carson BengeNYMAaron Nola0.514%0under0.020
Francisco AlvarezNYMAaron Nola0.513%0under0.016
Francisco LindorNYMAaron Nola0.517%0under0.030
Jared YoungNYMAaron Nola0.511%0under0.013
Juan SotoNYMAaron Nola0.517%0under0.029
Alec BohmPHINolan McLean0.510%0under0.011
Brandon MarshPHINolan McLean0.510%0under0.010
Bryce HarperPHINolan McLean0.512%0under0.015
Bryson StottPHINolan McLean0.510%0under0.010
Garrett StubbsPHINolan McLean0.54%0under0.001
Justin CrawfordPHINolan McLean0.56%0under0.004
Kyle SchwarberPHINolan McLean0.516%0under0.025
Luis ArraezPHINolan McLean0.56%0under0.003
Trea TurnerPHINolan McLean0.512%0under0.015
Brandon LowePITKyle Harrison0.514%0under0.019
Bryan ReynoldsPITKyle Harrison0.513%0under0.016
Henry DavisPITKyle Harrison0.510%1over0.818
Jared TrioloPITKyle Harrison0.56%0under0.003
Konnor GriffinPITKyle Harrison0.510%0under0.009
Nick GonzalesPITKyle Harrison0.58%0under0.006
Oneil CruzPITKyle Harrison0.516%0under0.025
Rafael Flores Jr.PITKyle Harrison0.514%0under0.020
Ronny SimonPITKyle Harrison0.59%0under0.009
Dustin HarrisSDTanner Gordon0.57%0under0.005
Fernando Tatis Jr.SDTanner Gordon0.522%0under0.051
Jackson MerrillSDTanner Gordon0.522%0under0.048
Jake CronenworthSDTanner Gordon0.58%—voided scratch—
Luis CampusanoSDTanner Gordon0.511%0under0.011
Manny MachadoSDTanner Gordon0.515%0under0.023
Samad TaylorSDTanner Gordon0.55%—voided scratch—
Ty FranceSDTanner Gordon0.515%0under0.021
Xander BogaertsSDTanner Gordon0.511%1over0.784
Chandler SimpsonTBJeffrey Springs0.53%—voided scratch—
Jonathan ArandaTBJeffrey Springs0.517%0under0.028
Jonny DeLucaTBJeffrey Springs0.511%0under0.012
Junior CamineroTBJeffrey Springs0.519%0under0.037
Liam HicksTBJeffrey Springs0.510%0under0.009
Richie PalaciosTBJeffrey Springs0.511%0under0.012
Ryan ViladeTBJeffrey Springs0.516%0under0.027
Taylor WallsTBJeffrey Springs0.58%0under0.006
Yandy DíazTBJeffrey Springs0.518%0under0.033
Brandon NimmoTEXSonny Gray0.512%0under0.014
Corey SeagerTEXSonny Gray0.518%0under0.032
Danny JansenTEXSonny Gray0.510%0under0.010
Evan CarterTEXSonny Gray0.58%0under0.007
Ezequiel DuranTEXSonny Gray0.512%0under0.015
Jake BurgerTEXSonny Gray0.522%0under0.050
Josh JungTEXSonny Gray0.511%1over0.791
Nicky LopezTEXSonny Gray0.54%0under0.002
Wyatt LangfordTEXSonny Gray0.511%0under0.012

Run totals

9 graded
GameMeanP(over 8.5)ActualCRPS
BOS at TEX8.9449%71.209
ATH at TB8.7749%111.632
MIL at PIT9.4254%111.425
PHI at NYM8.8649%33.601
MIN at LAA8.5346%91.090
KC at HOU9.2753%81.098
SD at COL9.6056%111.327
LAD at CIN9.2753%101.146
DET at CWS9.0351%42.912

Brier is the squared error of a probability (0 perfect, 0.25 a coin flip, 1 confidently wrong). Totals are scored by CRPS over the whole distribution instead, so the two are not comparable. Machine-readable versions of everything here are in the raw artifacts.