CALIBRATE BASEBALLBack to the recordgame prep, generated 2026-07-19 21:32 UTC
Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
2026-07-19, 12:15 PM ET, Rogers Centre.
Sean Burke (R) against
Trey Yesavage (R).
Every number derives from the public Statcast store and the engine's published
boards. Charts are code-drawn. Probabilities, not picks.
Trey Yesavage (RHP)
1237 pitches, K% 20% vs LHB / 25% vs RHB
League percentiles, starter pool
K%4822%
BB%1013%
CSW%4627%
Whiff%8228%
Chase%3629%
xwOBA vs79.285
Hard-hit%7035%
GB%1435%
published K forecast: E[K] 4.8
recent starts, K (n=5)
606/18 BOS
506/24 HOU
306/29 NYM
707/05 SEA
107/11 SD
Arsenal, shape and results
Pitch
vL%
vR%
MPH
IVB
HB
RPM
Whiff
CSW
Chase
xwOBA
RV/100
4-seam
47%
44%
94.4
+20
-4
2260
16%
24%
24%
.307
-0.7
splitter
42%
15%
82.9
+7
-12
1396
40%
27%
30%
.252
-0.8
slider
11%
41%
87.8
+5
-3
2271
36%
32%
34%
.273
+0.1
Locations, catcher view
4-seamsplitterslider
Movement
How to attack
Hunt the 4-seam early: 46% usage, only 16% whiffs, 51% in-zone.
Lay off the splitter below the zone: 40% whiffs, only 30% of them are strikes.
Two strikes: expect the splitter (41% of 2-strike pitches vs 30% overall).
Sean Burke (RHP)
1709 pitches, K% 26% vs LHB / 26% vs RHB
League percentiles, starter pool
K%7426%
BB%628%
CSW%7829%
Whiff%4422%
Chase%7132%
xwOBA vs70.297
Hard-hit%6536%
GB%2537%
published K forecast: E[K] 5.4
recent starts, K (n=5)
606/13 LAD
606/23 CLE
806/29 BAL
1107/04 CLE
907/10 ATH
Arsenal, shape and results
Pitch
vL%
vR%
MPH
IVB
HB
RPM
Whiff
CSW
Chase
xwOBA
RV/100
4-seam
41%
33%
94.8
+19
-5
2578
23%
28%
36%
.283
-1.0
knuckle-curve
26%
13%
79.8
-14
+5
2451
24%
31%
27%
.271
+0.3
slider
9%
31%
86.9
+4
+5
2513
31%
37%
32%
.292
-0.3
sinker
12%
20%
94.7
+15
-13
2392
8%
21%
30%
.351
+0.8
cutter
8%
3%
90.7
+11
+3
2660
27%
35%
41%
.292
-1.3
Locations, catcher view
4-seamknuckle-curveslider
Movement
Attack plan vs Toronto Blue Jays
Knuckle-curve/slider: top breaking whiffs are Okamoto (41%), Valenzuela (39%).
Careful with Urías: 93% contact, 13% K rate vs RHP; pitch to contact at the edges.
White Sox bats vs Trey Yesavage
Season quality vs tonight's starter hand, percentile-colored vs league: red elite, paper average, blue poor. P columns are the engine's published board numbers for this game. Batting order as posted.
#
Batter
xwOBA
K%
Chase%
Contact%
HH%
P(1+ hit)
P(1+ HR)
14-day
1
Sam Antonacci (L)
.387
14%
21%
86%
40%
66%
12%
▼ -1%
2
Munetaka Murakami (L)
.396
31%
22%
60%
59%
59%
16%
▼ -16%
3
Miguel Vargas (R)
.381
18%
21%
82%
42%
65%
19%
▲ +4%
4
Colson Montgomery (L)
.323
32%
31%
65%
46%
58%
15%
▲ +1%
5
Andrew Benintendi (L)
.335
22%
30%
76%
50%
62%
14%
▲ +8%
6
Braden Montgomery (S)
.323
17%
27%
81%
40%
60%
8%
▲ +5%
7
Junior Perez (R)
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
▼ -2%
8
Tristan Peters (L)
.320
17%
34%
81%
34%
62%
11%
▼ -2%
9
Drew Romo (S)
.245
26%
34%
70%
29%
46%
10%
·
Toronto Blue Jays bats, where our staff attacks
Whiff by pitch group vs our starter's hand. Blue cells are the attack zones. P columns are the published board numbers. Batting order as posted.
#
Batter
FB whiff
BRK whiff
OFF whiff
xwOBA
P(1+ hit)
P(1+ HR)
14-day
1
Ernie Clement (R)
9%
25%
12%
.271
64%
7%
▼ -6%
2
Nathan Lukes (L)
15%
16%
13%
.314
66%
8%
▲ +3%
3
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)
14%
28%
18%
.338
69%
14%
▼ -13%
4
Kazuma Okamoto (R)
29%
41%
32%
.318
61%
18%
▲ +3%
5
Daulton Varsho (L)
18%
18%
23%
.298
58%
11%
▲ +6%
6
Alejandro Kirk (R)
5%
27%
·
.289
·
·
▲ +9%
7
Brandon Valenzuela (S)
15%
39%
34%
.328
62%
13%
▼ -2%
8
Luis Urías (R)
7%
·
·
.317
·
·
▲ +3%
9
Jonatan Clase (S)
31%
·
·
.260
55%
9%
≈ +0%
Bullpens
Sorted by 30-day workload. Day cells show pitches on the three
most recent league game dates; dark means heavy recent use. Season rates
percentile-colored vs all pitchers with 150+ pitches.