Where this starter's actual usage meets each hitter's
measured holes and damage, on the same map. An edge is only reported
where the pitcher genuinely goes — a hole against a pitch he does not
throw is not a matchup — and only where the rate is measurably worse than
league for a typical hitter in that same spot. Every line carries its
sample size. Batter-versus-pitcher history is shown as trivia and
is not used in any of it: the samples that actually occur are
far too small to support a conclusion, and most public matchup content is
built on them anyway.
1. Sam Antonacci
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes middle and away — and he puts 9% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.429 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.310 league average in that spot. (10 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 66% to get a hit and 12% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
0 for 3 lifetime. At 3 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
2. Munetaka Murakami
Edge: pitcherHe throws the four-seam off the plate on 18% of his pitches to this side. The batter swings and misses 45% of the time there, against 31% for a typical hitter — +14 points. (21 swings.)
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes middle-middle — and he puts 6% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.692 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.397 league average in that spot. (17 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 59% to get a hit and 22% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
3. Miguel Vargas
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes middle-middle — and he puts 8% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.545 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.397 league average in that spot. (22 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 66% to get a hit and 19% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
0 for 2 lifetime. At 2 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
4. Colson Montgomery
Edge: pitcherHe throws the four-seam off the plate on 18% of his pitches to this side. The batter swings and misses 43% of the time there, against 31% for a typical hitter — +12 points. (59 swings.)
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes down-middle — and he puts 8% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.576 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.359 league average in that spot. (18 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 59% to get a hit and 16% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
0 for 2 lifetime. At 2 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
5. Andrew Benintendi
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes middle-middle — and he puts 6% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.473 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.397 league average in that spot. (27 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 56% to get a hit and 8% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
1 for 3 lifetime. At 3 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
6. Braden Montgomery
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes middle-middle — and he puts 6% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.528 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.397 league average in that spot. (14 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 63% to get a hit and 8% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
0 for 3 lifetime. At 3 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
7. Tristan Peters
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes middle and away — and he puts 9% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.390 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.310 league average in that spot. (20 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 61% to get a hit and 11% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
1 for 2 lifetime. At 2 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
8. Chase Meidroth
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes middle and in — and he puts 5% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.432 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.335 league average in that spot. (19 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 62% to get a hit and 10% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
0 for 2 lifetime. At 2 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
9. Drew Romo
Not enough of a track record in the spots this pitcher uses to say anything useful. No verdict rather than a guess.
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 46% to get a hit and 6% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
0 for 2 lifetime. At 2 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.