Where this starter's actual usage meets each hitter's
measured holes and damage, on the same map. An edge is only reported
where the pitcher genuinely goes — a hole against a pitch he does not
throw is not a matchup — and only where the rate is measurably worse than
league for a typical hitter in that same spot. Every line carries its
sample size. Batter-versus-pitcher history is shown as trivia and
is not used in any of it: the samples that actually occur are
far too small to support a conclusion, and most public matchup content is
built on them anyway.
1. Sam Antonacci
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes up and away — and he puts 5% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.437 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.272 league average in that spot. (13 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 61% to get a hit and 11% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
0 for 6 lifetime. At 6 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
2. Munetaka Murakami
Edge: pitcherHe throws the four-seam off the plate on 14% of his pitches to this side. The batter swings and misses 46% of the time there, against 31% for a typical hitter — +15 points. (26 swings.)
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes middle-middle — and he puts 8% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.643 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.395 league average in that spot. (22 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 56% to get a hit and 17% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
3. Miguel Vargas
Edge: pitcherHe throws the sinker up-middle on 3% of his pitches to this side. The batter swings and misses 18% of the time there, against 12% for a typical hitter — +6 points. (17 swings.)
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes middle-middle — and he puts 7% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.533 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.395 league average in that spot. (27 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 67% to get a hit and 15% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
3 for 6 lifetime. At 6 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
4. Colson Montgomery
Edge: pitcherHe throws the four-seam off the plate on 14% of his pitches to this side. The batter swings and misses 46% of the time there, against 31% for a typical hitter — +15 points. (69 swings.)
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes down-middle — and he puts 8% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.552 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.357 league average in that spot. (18 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 58% to get a hit and 14% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
0 for 4 lifetime. At 4 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
5. Andrew Benintendi
Edge: pitcherHe throws the four-seam up-middle on 3% of his pitches to this side. The batter swings and misses 23% of the time there, against 18% for a typical hitter — +6 points. (26 swings.)
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes up-middle — and he puts 7% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.407 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.332 league average in that spot. (18 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 56% to get a hit and 10% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
1 for 4 lifetime. At 4 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
6. Braden Montgomery
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes middle-middle — and he puts 8% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.524 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.395 league average in that spot. (16 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 58% to get a hit and 10% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
2 for 4 lifetime. At 4 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
7. Tristan Peters
Not enough of a track record in the spots this pitcher uses to say anything useful. No verdict rather than a guess.
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 54% to get a hit and 10% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
1 for 4 lifetime. At 4 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
8. Chase Meidroth
Edge: pitcherHe throws the sinker middle-middle on 3% of his pitches to this side. The batter swings and misses 15% of the time there, against 5% for a typical hitter — +10 points. (21 swings.)
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes middle and away — and he puts 7% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.366 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.310 league average in that spot. (20 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 67% to get a hit and 11% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
2 for 4 lifetime. At 4 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
9. Drew Romo
Not enough of a track record in the spots this pitcher uses to say anything useful. No verdict rather than a guess.
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 47% to get a hit and 5% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.