Where this starter's actual usage meets each hitter's
measured holes and damage, on the same map. An edge is only reported
where the pitcher genuinely goes — a hole against a pitch he does not
throw is not a matchup — and only where the rate is measurably worse than
league for a typical hitter in that same spot. Every line carries its
sample size. Batter-versus-pitcher history is shown as trivia and
is not used in any of it: the samples that actually occur are
far too small to support a conclusion, and most public matchup content is
built on them anyway.
1. Sam Antonacci
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes up and away — and he puts 7% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.426 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.272 league average in that spot. (19 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 65% to get a hit and 5% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
2 for 3 lifetime. At 3 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
2. Munetaka Murakami
Edge: pitcherHe throws the four-seam off the plate on 18% of his pitches to this side. The batter swings and misses 46% of the time there, against 31% for a typical hitter — +16 points. (30 swings.)
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes middle-middle — and he puts 7% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.568 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.393 league average in that spot. (30 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 61% to get a hit and 15% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
1 for 3 lifetime. At 3 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
3. Miguel Vargas
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes middle-middle — and he puts 5% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.502 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.393 league average in that spot. (29 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 64% to get a hit and 14% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
1 for 3 lifetime. At 3 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
4. Andrew Benintendi
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes up-middle — and he puts 5% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.400 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.330 league average in that spot. (22 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 62% to get a hit and 9% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
0 for 2 lifetime. At 2 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
5. Colson Montgomery
Edge: pitcherHe throws the four-seam off the plate on 18% of his pitches to this side. The batter swings and misses 47% of the time there, against 31% for a typical hitter — +16 points. (83 swings.)
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes down-middle — and he puts 6% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.510 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.356 league average in that spot. (18 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 58% to get a hit and 11% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
6. Randal Grichuk
Not enough of a track record in the spots this pitcher uses to say anything useful. No verdict rather than a guess.
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 57% to get a hit and 10% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
7. Tristan Peters
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes middle and away — and he puts 6% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.420 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.309 league average in that spot. (29 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 60% to get a hit and 11% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
0 for 2 lifetime. At 2 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
8. Chase Meidroth
Not enough of a track record in the spots this pitcher uses to say anything useful. No verdict rather than a guess.
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 64% to get a hit and 8% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
0 for 2 lifetime. At 2 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
9. Drew Romo
Not enough of a track record in the spots this pitcher uses to say anything useful. No verdict rather than a guess.
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 54% to get a hit and 7% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
0 for 2 lifetime. At 2 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.