Where this starter's actual usage meets each hitter's
measured holes and damage, on the same map. An edge is only reported
where the pitcher genuinely goes — a hole against a pitch he does not
throw is not a matchup — and only where the rate is measurably worse than
league for a typical hitter in that same spot. Every line carries its
sample size. Batter-versus-pitcher history is shown as trivia and
is not used in any of it: the samples that actually occur are
far too small to support a conclusion, and most public matchup content is
built on them anyway.
1. Miguel Vargas
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes down and away — and he puts 7% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.519 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.261 league average in that spot. (14 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 67% to get a hit and 9% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
1 for 2 lifetime. At 2 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
2. Tommy Pham
Not enough of a track record in the spots this pitcher uses to say anything useful. No verdict rather than a guess.
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 51% to get a hit and 8% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
3. Randal Grichuk
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes down and away — and he puts 7% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.578 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.261 league average in that spot. (18 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 65% to get a hit and 12% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
0 for 1 lifetime. At 1 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
4. Munetaka Murakami
Not enough of a track record in the spots this pitcher uses to say anything useful. No verdict rather than a guess.
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 58% to get a hit and 10% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
0 for 1 lifetime. At 1 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
5. Chase Meidroth
Not enough of a track record in the spots this pitcher uses to say anything useful. No verdict rather than a guess.
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 66% to get a hit and 9% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
1 for 2 lifetime. At 2 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
6. Kyle Teel
Not enough of a track record in the spots this pitcher uses to say anything useful. No verdict rather than a guess.
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 59% to get a hit and 10% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
1 for 1 lifetime. At 1 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
7. Brenton Doyle
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes down-middle — and he puts 8% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.418 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.355 league average in that spot. (13 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 48% to get a hit and 10% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
8. Colson Montgomery
Edge: pitcherHe throws the sinker off the plate on 25% of his pitches to this side. The batter swings and misses 39% of the time there, against 22% for a typical hitter — +17 points. (37 swings.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 54% to get a hit and 12% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
1 for 3 lifetime. At 3 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
9. Braden Montgomery
Not enough of a track record in the spots this pitcher uses to say anything useful. No verdict rather than a guess.
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 56% to get a hit and 7% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
1 for 1 lifetime. At 1 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.