Where this starter's actual usage meets each hitter's
measured holes and damage, on the same map. An edge is only reported
where the pitcher genuinely goes — a hole against a pitch he does not
throw is not a matchup — and only where the rate is measurably worse than
league for a typical hitter in that same spot. Every line carries its
sample size. Batter-versus-pitcher history is shown as trivia and
is not used in any of it: the samples that actually occur are
far too small to support a conclusion, and most public matchup content is
built on them anyway.
1. Sam Antonacci
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes up and away — and he puts 7% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.401 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.273 league average in that spot. (21 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 66% to get a hit and 6% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
1 for 3 lifetime. At 3 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
2. Kyle Teel
Edge: pitcherHe throws the four-seam off the plate on 8% of his pitches to this side. The batter swings and misses 35% of the time there, against 31% for a typical hitter — +4 points. (19 swings.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 59% to get a hit and 10% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
3. Miguel Vargas
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes middle-middle — and he puts 7% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.457 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.393 league average in that spot. (36 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 69% to get a hit and 10% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
1 for 6 lifetime. At 6 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
4. Munetaka Murakami
Edge: pitcherHe throws the four-seam off the plate on 8% of his pitches to this side. The batter swings and misses 48% of the time there, against 31% for a typical hitter — +17 points. (38 swings.)
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes middle-middle — and he puts 8% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.503 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.393 league average in that spot. (32 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 60% to get a hit and 11% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
1 for 6 lifetime. At 6 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
5. Andrew Benintendi
Edge: pitcherHe throws the sinker middle and away on 2% of his pitches to this side. The batter swings and misses 27% of the time there, against 9% for a typical hitter — +18 points. (17 swings.)
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes middle-middle — and he puts 8% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.441 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.393 league average in that spot. (32 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 58% to get a hit and 10% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
0 for 6 lifetime. At 6 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
6. Tristan Peters
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes middle and away — and he puts 7% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.391 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.310 league average in that spot. (31 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 64% to get a hit and 9% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
1 for 4 lifetime. At 4 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
7. Chase Meidroth
Not enough of a track record in the spots this pitcher uses to say anything useful. No verdict rather than a guess.
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 66% to get a hit and 9% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
1 for 6 lifetime. At 6 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
8. Colson Montgomery
Edge: pitcherHe throws the four-seam off the plate on 8% of his pitches to this side. The batter swings and misses 47% of the time there, against 31% for a typical hitter — +16 points. (101 swings.)
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes down-middle — and he puts 7% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.492 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.356 league average in that spot. (19 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 54% to get a hit and 10% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.
3 for 6 lifetime. At 6 plate appearances this is trivia, not evidence — it is shown because people ask for it, and it is not used anywhere in the analysis above.
9. Braden Montgomery
Edge: pitcherHe throws the sinker off the plate on 7% of his pitches to this side. The batter swings and misses 30% of the time there, against 22% for a typical hitter — +7 points. (15 swings.)
Edge: batterWhen the ball goes middle-middle — and he puts 8% of his pitches there — the batter does real damage: 0.467 expected value per ball in play, against a 0.393 league average in that spot. (29 balls in play.)
Tonight's published, gradeable numbers for this batter: 57% to get a hit and 7% to homer. Those are what the record grades — the notes above only explain why.